Orlando Pride W v Chicago Red Stars W result

Full-time · Orlando Pride W 1–0 Chicago Red Stars W

NWSL Women · · Inter&Co Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Orlando Pride W 1–0 Chicago Red Stars W — Orlando Pride W won this NWSL Women match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4357 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Orlando Pride W beat Chicago Red Stars W 1–0 at Inter&Co Stadium in NWSL Women on Saturday 25 July.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Orlando Pride W: J. Doyle (88’, assisted by C. Dyke).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with J. Doyle’s goal on 88 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Orlando Pride W 0.00, Chicago Red Stars W 0.00, from 28 shots to 10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

John Griggs, USA showed two yellow cards — against 1.4 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Orlando Pride W: Haley Hanson (90+3’); Chicago Red Stars W: Jameese Joseph (90+4’).

What it changes

Chicago Red Stars W have lost their last three matches in all competitions. Chicago Red Stars W have failed to score in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, K. Lund (Chicago Red Stars W) 9.1, A. Lemos (Orlando Pride W) 6.7 and C. Dyke (Orlando Pride W) 5.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Orlando Pride W or Chicago Red Stars W (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.3% of the time in the last 90 days (3366 of 4357).

Next up

Orlando Pride W next travel to Houston Dash W on 18 October 2026.

Chicago Red Stars W next host Seattle Reign FC W on 18 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Orlando Pride W: Houston Dash W v Orlando Pride W, Sunday 18 October — the preview. Next for Chicago Red Stars W: Chicago Red Stars W v Seattle Reign FC W, Monday 19 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Orlando Pride W 1–0 Chicago Red Stars W · NWSL Women
  • Venue: Inter&Co Stadium · Orlando
  • Referee: John Griggs, USA
  • Model coverage: 232 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Orlando Pride W 4 · draws 1 · Chicago Red Stars W 1 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Orlando Pride W 2W 0D 3L · Chicago Red Stars W 2W 0D 3L

Orlando Pride W 1–0 Chicago Red Stars W (NWSL Women): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 232 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 0.5
Goals
against 1.25 / 2.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.75
over 8 matches
2 / 3
Corners
against 3.83 / 4.6 · 0 of the last 3 over 9.5
over 5 matches
2.83 / 4.4
Shots on target
against 5 / 6 · 1 of the last 3 over 8.5
over 5 matches
1.17 / 1.2
Cards
against 1 / 1.4 · 1 of the last 3 over 3.5
over 5 matches
1.43 yellows
Referee · John Griggs, USA
0.29 home / 1.14 away
over 7 matches
232
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 July 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameOrlando Pride W for / againstLineChicago Red Stars W for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.25 against n 8
3.75our book
0.5 for · 2.13 against n 8
Corners won
2 for · 3.83 against n 6
9.5standard
3 for · 4.6 against n 5
Shots
9.33 for · 14.83 against n 6
19.5standard
11.2 for · 17.4 against n 5
Shots on target
2.83 for · 5 against n 6
8.5standard
4.4 for · 6 against n 5
Fouls committed
8.83 for · 7.33 against n 6
21.5standard
9.2 for · 9.8 against n 5
Cards shown
1.17 for · 1 against n 6
3.5standard
1.2 for · 1.4 against n 5

Referee: John Griggs, USA — 1.43 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 11.43 fouls over 7 matches (0.29 to the home side, 1.14 to the away side).

Orlando Pride W
Orlando Pride W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Luana Bertolucci n 822.9
2.54/1
2.53/1
—
B. Banda n 756.7
2.36/2
2.76/3
—
Oihane Hernández n 860.9
27/2
0.42/0
—
S. Jackson n 836.8
1.86/0
2.46/2
—
A. Lemos n 864.4
1.46/2
0.74/0
—
Orlando Pride W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
B. Banda n 756.7
5.47/6
2.36/2
S. Washington n 465.5
2.43/2
0.72/0
Seven Castain n 532.4
1.72/1
0.61/0
L. Ovalle n 874.1
1.45/2
0.63/1
Marta n 865.9
1.26/1
0.74/0
Orlando Pride W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Banda n 756.7
1.14/1
00/0
N. Payne n 339
0.81/0
00/0
Luana Bertolucci n 822.9
0.51/0
00/0
H. Anderson n 856.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
L. Ovalle n 874.1
00/0
0.32/0
Orlando Pride W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Luana Bertolucci n 822.9
3.94/2
K. Abello n 861.6
3.56/6
H. Mace n 870.9
3.36/5
J. Doyle n 838.5
3.26/3
Haley Hanson n 884.8
2.38/6
Orlando Pride W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Moorhouse n 879.4
3.86/4
Chicago Red Stars W
Chicago Red Stars W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
I. Chacón n 826.9
3.86/3
0.82/0
—
L. Nesbeth n 832.8
2.74/3
12/1
—
B. Franklin n 874.9
27/4
1.57/3
—
Jameese Joseph n 852.3
1.73/2
1.35/1
—
B. Pinto n 858
1.45/2
0.83/1
—
Chicago Red Stars W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Johnson n 89.3
3.63/0
1.21/0
Jameese Joseph n 852.3
1.95/2
0.63/0
R. Gareis n 857.1
1.65/1
13/1
B. Pinto n 858
1.45/2
14/1
J. Bike n 844.1
1.33/2
13/1
Chicago Red Stars W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Johnson n 89.3
1.21/0
00/0
B. Franklin n 874.9
0.53/0
00/0
Mallory Swanson n 366
0.51/0
00/0
R. Gareis n 857.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
Jameese Joseph n 852.3
0.42/0
00/0
Chicago Red Stars W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Johnson n 89.3
4.93/1
Maitane López n 871.8
4.48/7
L. Nesbeth n 832.8
4.17/2
M. Hayashi n 842
2.96/3
A. Farmer n 582.4
2.85/3
Chicago Red Stars W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
K. Lund n 890
3.67/5

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Orlando Pride WChicago Red Stars W
54%Possession46%
28Shots10
10Shots on target2
9Shots off target8
9Blocked shots1
20Shots inside the box3
8Corners1
2Offsides0
7Fouls7
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Saves10
481Passes406
85%Pass accuracy83%

Orlando Pride W player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Moorhouse9000000007.5
C. Dyke9001002207.3
Zara Sona Chavoshi9000000407.5
Haley Hanson90002022Y7.2
A. Lemos9000312508.2
L. Ovalle9000423106.2
Angelina8900320207.2
Marta7000324206.3
K. Abello6100002207.2
Oihane Hernández6100001106.9
S. Washington6100325108.3
H. Mace sub2900000106.6
N. Payne sub2900000006.9
Rafaelle Souza sub2900000106.9
J. Doyle sub2010110007.6
Luana Bertolucci sub10000000–

Chicago Red Stars W player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
K. Lund9000000008.7
Nádia Gomes9000102106.9
Maitane López9000000307.2
Jameese Joseph90002000Y5.9
M. Hayashi9000100106.3
B. Pinto9000101206.2
S. Staab8300000107.9
A. Farmer6200110006.6
T. E. Dellarose6200000006.7
J. Bike4500000107.2
I. Chacón4500000006.2
K. Hendrich sub4500000206.9
Leila Ouahabi sub4500101206.3
J. Grosso sub2800213006.5
M. Johnson sub2800100006.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Orlando Pride W v Chicago Red Stars W — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Orlando Pride WWLWLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Chicago Red Stars WWLWLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Orlando Pride W 4 · 1 draw · Chicago Red Stars W 1 · 4 goals/game
  • 2026-03-26 Chicago Red Stars W 0–3 Orlando Pride W
  • 2025-09-07 Chicago Red Stars W 5–2 Orlando Pride W
  • 2025-03-15 Orlando Pride W 6–0 Chicago Red Stars W
  • 2024-11-09 Orlando Pride W 4–1 Chicago Red Stars W
  • 2024-09-08 Chicago Red Stars W 0–1 Orlando Pride W
  • 2024-03-29 Orlando Pride W 1–1 Chicago Red Stars W
League standing · 2026
Orlando Pride W#11 pos33 pts27 pl-7 GD
Chicago Red Stars W#16 pos17 pts27 pl-48 GD
Goals per game
Orlando Pride W scored1.33
Chicago Red Stars W scored0.56
Orlando Pride W conceded1.59
Chicago Red Stars W conceded2.33

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Orlando Pride W v Chicago Red Stars W?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Orlando Pride W v Chicago Red Stars W was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Orlando Pride W and Chicago Red Stars W?
In their last 6 meetings, Orlando Pride W won 4, Chicago Red Stars W won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Orlando Pride W and Chicago Red Stars W?
Recent form — Orlando Pride W 2W 0D 3L; Chicago Red Stars W 2W 0D 3L.

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