Portland Thorns W v North Carolina Courage W prediction
Team pages: Portland Thorns W · North Carolina Courage W · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Portland Thorns W v North Carolina Courage W, NWSL Women on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 03:00 BST.
The match
Portland Thorns W host North Carolina Courage W in NWSL Women on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 03:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Portland Thorns W or North Carolina Courage W (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
North Carolina Courage W have scored 51 goals, the most of the 16 clubs (2026 so far). 12 of North Carolina Courage W’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).
Portland Thorns W have scored in 13 consecutive matches in all competitions. North Carolina Courage W have scored in 14 consecutive matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
10 of Portland Thorns W’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 12 of Portland Thorns W’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%). At home, Portland Thorns W have three wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.75 and conceding 1.38. Portland Thorns W have scored 47 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 16 clubs (2026 so far). Portland Thorns W have conceded 41 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 16 clubs.
Both teams scored in nine of North Carolina Courage W’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, North Carolina Courage W have four wins, no draws and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 2.13 and conceding 1.63. North Carolina Courage W have conceded 41 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 16 clubs (2026 so far).
Portland Thorns W are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Portland Thorns W (seventh) and North Carolina Courage W (ninth) are two points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have North Carolina Courage W the stronger side, 75 rating points above Portland Thorns W (North Carolina Courage W 1519, Portland Thorns W 1444, after at least 181 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
Portland Thorns W are unbeaten in the last four meetings with North Carolina Courage W. The most recent meeting, on 4 April 2026, finished North Carolina Courage W 2–2 Portland Thorns W.
Team news
Predicted Portland Thorns W XI (4-2-3-1): M. Arnold, J. Perry, M. Vignola, R. Reyes, S. Hiatt, J. Fleming, P. Tordin, N. Nijstad, C. Hanks, M. Weaver, S. Wilson — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Sophia Wilson (6.0 per match over 18 appearances, 10 goals and four assists) and Pietra Tordin (5.2 per match over 19 appearances, five goals and four assists) have been Portland Thorns W’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Portland Thorns W (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Sophia Wilson averages 4.2 shots per 90 over 1504 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Pietra Tordin averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 1616 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted North Carolina Courage W XI (4-2-3-1): K. Sheridan, R. Williams, U. Shiragaki, F. Rauch, N. Staude, S. Koyama, E. Parkinson, A. Sanchez, V. Boe Risa, R. Jackson, E. Ijeh — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Sanchez (6.1 per match over 21 appearances, 14 goals and five assists) and M. Matsukubo (4.6 per match over five appearances, two assists) have been North Carolina Courage W’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for North Carolina Courage W (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Sanchez averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 1568 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. M. Matsukubo averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 381 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last five appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · NWSL Women · Providence Park
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Portland Thorns W 2 · draws 3 · North Carolina Courage W 1 · 2 goals/game
- Recent form: Portland Thorns W 1W 3D 1L · North Carolina Courage W 1W 0D 4L
Portland Thorns W v North Carolina Courage W (NWSL Women): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 20 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Portland Thorns W for / against | Line | North Carolina Courage W for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.88 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.38 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3.63 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 17.38 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12.5 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 7 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.5 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.25 for · 10.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10 for · 9.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.63 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
Portland Thorns W
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Nijstad n 5 | 79.4 | 2.9 | 1.1 | — |
| Cassandra Bogere n 8 | 37.8 | 2.4 | 0.6 | — |
| N. Nijstad n 8 | 86.1 | 2.2 | 1.6 | — |
| J. Dufour n 8 | 30.6 | 1.5 | 1.1 | — |
| Mallie McKenzie n 8 | 23.1 | 1.5 | 0 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Wilson n 8 | 82.8 | 4.9 | 2.4 |
| Pietra Tordin n 8 | 90.6 | 3.1 | 1.2 |
| Caiya Hanks n 8 | 59.9 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| Shae Harvey n 6 | 13.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| Reilyn Turner n 8 | 55.6 | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shae Harvey n 6 | 13.3 | 1.1 | 0 |
| Sophia Wilson n 8 | 82.8 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| J. Dufour n 8 | 30.6 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Marie Müller n 8 | 44.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Morgan Weaver n 8 | 42.3 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Jessie Fleming n 8 | 91.3 | 3.7 |
| Cassandra Bogere n 8 | 37.8 | 3.6 |
| N. Nijstad n 8 | 86.1 | 3.3 |
| Mallie McKenzie n 8 | 23.1 | 2.9 |
| N. Nijstad n 5 | 79.4 | 2.3 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Arnold n 8 | 91.3 | 3.1 |
North Carolina Courage W
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Weatherholt n 8 | 12.4 | 2.7 | 1.8 | — |
| Chioma Okafor n 8 | 24.3 | 1.9 | 1.4 | — |
| F. Rauch n 8 | 75.5 | 1.8 | 0.7 | — |
| R. Jackson n 8 | 71.8 | 1.7 | 0.6 | — |
| I. Garner n 5 | 14.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Sanchez n 8 | 84 | 3.9 | 2.3 |
| Chioma Okafor n 8 | 24.3 | 3.7 | 0.9 |
| G. Paul n 8 | 51.6 | 2.8 | 0.2 |
| Lucas Pasquoto n 8 | 32.3 | 2.1 | 0.3 |
| H. Betfort n 8 | 13.3 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Sanchez n 8 | 84 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| Chioma Okafor n 8 | 24.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| E. Ijeh n 8 | 75.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| R. Jackson n 8 | 71.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| V. Boe Risa n 8 | 40.9 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| D. Weatherholt n 8 | 12.4 | 3.6 |
| F. Rauch n 8 | 75.5 | 2.7 |
| E. Hase n 8 | 50.5 | 2.7 |
| R. Williams n 8 | 85.4 | 2.5 |
| N. Jacobs n 8 | 74 | 2.3 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| K. Sheridan n 8 | 85.4 | 2.8 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Portland Thorns W v North Carolina Courage W — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-04-04 North Carolina Courage W 2–2 Portland Thorns W
- 2025-08-16 North Carolina Courage W 1–1 Portland Thorns W
- 2025-03-30 Portland Thorns W 0–0 North Carolina Courage W
- 2024-06-09 Portland Thorns W 1–0 North Carolina Courage W
- 2024-04-13 North Carolina Courage W 2–0 Portland Thorns W
- 2023-08-21 Portland Thorns W 2–1 North Carolina Courage W
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Portland Thorns W v North Carolina Courage W?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Portland Thorns W v North Carolina Courage W is Home or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Portland Thorns W and North Carolina Courage W?
- In their last 6 meetings, Portland Thorns W won 2, North Carolina Courage W won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Portland Thorns W and North Carolina Courage W?
- Recent form — Portland Thorns W 1W 3D 1L; North Carolina Courage W 1W 0D 4L.
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