Galway United v St Patrick's Athl. prediction
Team pages: Galway United · St Patrick's Athl. · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Galway United v St Patrick's Athl., Premier Division on Fri, 23 Oct 2026 19:45 BST.
The match
Galway United host St Patrick's Athl. in the Premier Division (Ireland) on Friday 23 October (kick-off 19:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Galway United or St Patrick's Athl. (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
St Patrick's Athl. have conceded 27 goals, the fewest of the 10 clubs (2026 so far).
Form and the table
Seven of Galway United’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in nine of Galway United’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Galway United have three wins, four draws and two defeats in their last 9 home matches in all competitions — 1.44 points per game, scoring 1.22 and conceding 1.00. Galway United have scored 44 goals, the third-fewest of the 10 clubs (2026 so far). Galway United have conceded 48 goals, the fifth-most of the 10 clubs.
Four of St Patrick's Athl.’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in five of St Patrick's Athl.’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, St Patrick's Athl. have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.86 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 0.71. St Patrick's Athl. have scored 53 goals, the third-most of the 10 clubs (2026 so far).
Galway United (seventh) and St Patrick's Athl. (third) are 18 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have St Patrick's Athl. the stronger side, 63 rating points above Galway United (St Patrick's Athl. 1738, Galway United 1675, after at least 105 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
St Patrick's Athl. are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Galway United. The most recent meeting, on 3 July 2026, finished St Patrick's Athl. 3–0 Galway United.
Team news
Predicted Galway United XI (3-5-2): H. da Cunha, A. O'Connor, G. Facchineri, W. Williams, J. Keohane, D. Hurley, A. Bolger, L. Devitt, C. Barratt, S. Walsh, K. Twardek — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, D. Hurley (3.7 per match over 25 appearances, one goal and five assists) and Hugo Alberto Pires da Cunha (3.6 per match over 12 appearances) have been Galway United’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Galway United (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), D. Hurley averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 2068 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. Hugo Alberto Pires da Cunha averages 3.6 saves per 90 over 1065 minutes, with two or more saves in 10 of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted St Patrick's Athl. XI (3-1-4-2): J. Anang, J. Redmond, S. Hoare, L. Turner, J. Lennon, B. Baggley, D. Nugent, Z. Elbouzedi, R. Sheridan, A. Keena, A. Olusanya — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, L. Turner (4.3 per match over 23 appearances, two goals and three assists) and J. Lennon (4.3 per match over 23 appearances, two goals and one assist) have been St Patrick's Athl.’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for St Patrick's Athl. (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), L. Turner averages 2.0 tackles per 90 over 1999 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances. J. Lennon averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 1850 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Premier Division · Eamonn Deacy Park
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Galway United 1 · draws 2 · St Patrick's Athl. 3 · 2.67 goals/game
- Recent form: Galway United 2W 1D 2L · St Patrick's Athl. 3W 0D 2L
Galway United v St Patrick's Athl. (Premier Division): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Galway United for / against | Line | St Patrick's Athl. for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.38 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.63 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.13 for · 6.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.63 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11.25 for · 18.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 16 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.63 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 6.13 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.13 for · 10.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 9.63 for · 9.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.5 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.38 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
Galway United
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Connolly n 8 | 14.9 | 4.5 | 5.3 | — |
| Frantz Pierrot n 8 | 30 | 4.1 | 1.9 | — |
| L. Devitt n 8 | 58.5 | 1.7 | 1.5 | — |
| S. Walsh n 8 | 77.4 | 1.6 | 1 | — |
| A. Kazeem n 8 | 34.5 | 1.6 | 2 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| S. Walsh n 8 | 77.4 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| F. Lomboto n 8 | 23.4 | 1.9 | 0 |
| Jimmy Keohane n 8 | 90 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| Frantz Pierrot n 8 | 30 | 1.5 | 0 |
| A. Bolger n 8 | 88.3 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Keohane n 8 | 90 | 0.6 | 0 |
| M. Wolfe n 8 | 37.8 | 0.6 | 0 |
| K. Twardek n 8 | 73.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| S. Walsh n 8 | 77.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| A. Bolger n 8 | 88.3 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| D. Hurley n 8 | 77.6 | 2.8 |
| W. Williams n 8 | 78.6 | 2.7 |
| A. Kazeem n 8 | 34.5 | 2.6 |
| L. Devitt n 8 | 58.5 | 2.1 |
| Gianfranco Facchineri n 8 | 90 | 2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Hugo Alberto Pires da Cunha n 8 | 90 | 3.5 |
St Patrick's Athl.
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Rooney n 5 | 11 | 4.9 | 1.6 | — |
| A. Olusanya n 8 | 59.6 | 2.3 | 0.4 | — |
| J. Brown n 8 | 50.3 | 1.6 | 1.1 | — |
| R. Palmer n 8 | 46 | 1.5 | 2.9 | — |
| Darragh Nugent n 8 | 47.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| R. Edmondson n 8 | 42.3 | 5.1 | 1.3 |
| A. Keena n 8 | 72.5 | 4 | 2.3 |
| A. Olusanya n 8 | 59.6 | 2.6 | 1.3 |
| K. Leavy n 8 | 75.1 | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| Chris Forrester n 8 | 41.6 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Keena n 8 | 72.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| A. Olusanya n 8 | 59.6 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| R. Sheridan n 8 | 41.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Z. Elbouzedi n 8 | 73.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| B. Baggley n 8 | 53 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| R. Palmer n 8 | 46 | 3.4 |
| J. Lennon n 8 | 91.4 | 3.1 |
| J. Redmond n 8 | 91.4 | 2.5 |
| J. McClelland n 8 | 57.6 | 2.3 |
| B. Baggley n 8 | 53 | 2.3 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Anang n 8 | 91.4 | 2.3 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Galway United v St Patrick's Athl. — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-07-03 St Patrick's Athl. 3–0 Galway United
- 2026-05-01 Galway United 2–2 St Patrick's Athl.
- 2026-03-02 St Patrick's Athl. 1–0 Galway United
- 2025-09-19 St Patrick's Athl. 1–1 Galway United
- 2025-06-20 Galway United 3–1 St Patrick's Athl.
- 2025-05-02 St Patrick's Athl. 2–0 Galway United
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Galway United v St Patrick's Athl.?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Galway United v St Patrick's Athl. is Home or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Galway United and St Patrick's Athl.?
- In their last 6 meetings, Galway United won 1, St Patrick's Athl. won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Galway United and St Patrick's Athl.?
- Recent form — Galway United 2W 1D 2L; St Patrick's Athl. 3W 0D 2L.
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