Waterford v Galway United prediction

Premier Division · · Waterford Regional Sports Centre

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for Waterford v Galway United, Premier Division on Mon, 19 Oct 2026 19:45 BST.

Free pick
Home or Draw
Best price: 1.38 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.5% of 1546 landed (95% range 73.3–77.6%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Waterford host Galway United in the Premier Division (Ireland) on Monday 19 October (kick-off 19:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Waterford or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Waterford have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Waterford are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Eight of Waterford’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Waterford’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Waterford have three wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 1.00. Waterford have scored 45 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 10 clubs (2026 so far). Waterford have conceded 56 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 10 clubs.

Seven of Galway United’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in nine of Galway United’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Galway United have two wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 1.17 points per game, scoring 1.17 and conceding 1.67. Galway United have scored 44 goals, the third-fewest of the 10 clubs (2026 so far). Galway United have conceded 48 goals, the fifth-most of the 10 clubs.

Waterford (ninth) and Galway United (seventh) are seven points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Waterford the stronger side, 15 rating points above Galway United (Waterford 1690, Galway United 1675, after at least 105 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Galway United are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Waterford. The most recent meeting, on 25 July 2026, finished Galway United 0–0 Waterford.

Team news

Predicted Waterford XI (4-4-2): S. McMullan, K. Long, J. Mahon, H. Cann, J. Houston, N. Mawene, E. McLaughlin, C. Noonan, B. Couto, T. Lonergan, P. Amond — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, T. Lonergan (4.6 per match over 29 appearances, 13 goals and four assists) and J. Mahon (3.7 per match over 30 appearances, five goals and one assist) have been Waterford’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Waterford (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), T. Lonergan averages 2.8 shots per 90 over 2268 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. J. Mahon averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 2641 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Galway United XI (3-4-1-2): H. da Cunha, A. O'Connor, G. Facchineri, W. Williams, J. Keohane, D. Hurley, A. Bolger, L. Devitt, C. Barratt, S. Walsh, K. Twardek — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, D. Hurley (3.7 per match over 25 appearances, one goal and five assists) and Hugo Alberto Pires da Cunha (3.6 per match over 12 appearances) have been Galway United’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Galway United (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), D. Hurley averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 2068 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. Hugo Alberto Pires da Cunha averages 3.6 saves per 90 over 1065 minutes, with two or more saves in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Premier Division · Waterford Regional Sports Centre
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Waterford 2 · draws 3 · Galway United 1 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Waterford 1W 2D 2L · Galway United 2W 1D 2L

Waterford v Galway United (Premier Division): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 19 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.13 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
7 / 3.13
Corners
against 5.38 / 6.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.38 / 3.63
Shots on target
against 4.25 / 4.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 1.5
Cards
against 2 / 2.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameWaterford for / againstLineGalway United for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8
3.25our book
1.38 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
7 for · 5.38 against n 8
9.5standard
3.13 for · 6.25 against n 8
Shots
15.63 for · 13.63 against n 8
19.5standard
11.25 for · 18.5 against n 8
Shots on target
5.38 for · 4.25 against n 8
8.5standard
3.63 for · 4.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.75 for · 9 against n 8
21.5standard
12.13 for · 10.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 2.5 against n 8
Waterford
Waterford — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. McMenamy n 823.1
3.44/3
1.53/0
—
S. Glenfield n 843.9
3.36/4
0.52/0
—
T. Lonergan n 891.1
37/7
1.44/4
—
N. Mawene n 875.6
2.47/4
0.95/1
—
L. Heeney n 832.4
2.13/2
13/0
—
Waterford — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Lonergan n 891.1
48/7
1.46/4
P. Amond n 890.1
28/5
1.25/3
D. McMenamy n 823.1
1.93/1
0.51/0
Evan McLaughlin n 872.8
1.76/3
0.84/1
J. Voilas n 847.4
1.73/2
0.92/2
Waterford — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Benny Couto n 890.9
0.11/0
0.96/1
P. Amond n 890.1
0.53/1
0.11/0
D. McMenamy n 823.1
00/0
0.51/0
T. Lonergan n 891.1
0.22/0
0.22/0
Evan McLaughlin n 872.8
0.32/0
00/0
Waterford — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Mawene n 875.6
3.98/7
J. Houston n 874.4
3.67/7
S. Glenfield n 843.9
3.37/4
Will Johnson n 886.9
3.18/7
Evan McLaughlin n 872.8
2.86/5
Waterford — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. McMullan n 891.1
3.36/5
Galway United
Galway United — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Connolly n 814.9
4.54/2
5.35/2
—
Frantz Pierrot n 830
4.13/3
1.92/2
—
L. Devitt n 858.5
1.75/3
1.56/1
—
S. Walsh n 877.4
1.68/2
13/2
—
A. Kazeem n 834.5
1.63/2
25/1
—
Galway United — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Walsh n 877.4
1.97/4
0.95/1
F. Lomboto n 823.4
1.93/1
00/0
Jimmy Keohane n 890
1.56/3
0.95/1
Frantz Pierrot n 830
1.52/2
00/0
A. Bolger n 888.3
1.46/3
0.84/1
Galway United — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Jimmy Keohane n 890
0.64/1
00/0
M. Wolfe n 837.8
0.61/1
00/0
K. Twardek n 873.3
0.32/0
0.21/0
S. Walsh n 877.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
A. Bolger n 888.3
0.32/0
00/0
Galway United — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Hurley n 877.6
2.87/5
W. Williams n 878.6
2.77/5
A. Kazeem n 834.5
2.64/2
L. Devitt n 858.5
2.15/3
Gianfranco Facchineri n 890
28/5
Galway United — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Hugo Alberto Pires da Cunha n 890
3.58/6

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Waterford v Galway United — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
WaterfordWDDLL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Galway UnitedLWLDW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Waterford 2 · 3 draws · Galway United 1 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-07-25 Galway United 0–0 Waterford
  • 2026-04-24 Waterford 1–1 Galway United
  • 2026-03-16 Galway United 4–3 Waterford
  • 2025-11-01 Waterford 1–1 Galway United
  • 2025-07-25 Galway United 2–4 Waterford
  • 2025-05-09 Waterford 1–0 Galway United
League standing · 2026
Waterford#9 pos34 pts33 pl-11 GD
Galway United#7 pos41 pts33 pl-4 GD
Goals per game
Waterford scored1.36
Galway United scored1.33
Waterford conceded1.7
Galway United conceded1.45

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Waterford v Galway United?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Waterford v Galway United is Home or Draw (best price 1.38 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Waterford and Galway United?
In their last 6 meetings, Waterford won 2, Galway United won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Waterford and Galway United?
Recent form — Waterford 1W 2D 2L; Galway United 2W 1D 2L.

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