Chornomorets v Karpaty prediction
Team pages: Chornomorets · Karpaty · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Away win the free pick for Chornomorets vs Karpaty, Premier League – Ukraine on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 16:00 BST.
The match
Chornomorets host Karpaty in the Premier League – Ukraine on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 16:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Karpaty to win.
The key numbers
Chornomorets are winless in their last five matches.
Form and the table
Seven of Chornomorets’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in eight of Chornomorets’s last 15 results (53%). At home, Chornomorets have one win, four draws and four defeats in their last 9 home matches — 0.78 points per game, scoring 0.67 and conceding 1.22. Chornomorets have scored four goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 16 clubs (2026/27 so far). Chornomorets have conceded nine goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 16 clubs.
Seven of Karpaty’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Karpaty’s last 15 results (40%). Away from home, Karpaty have three wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 8 away matches — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 0.75. Karpaty have scored 15 goals, the third-most of the 16 clubs (2026/27 so far). Karpaty have conceded six goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 16 clubs.
Chornomorets (14th) and Karpaty (fifth) are nine points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Karpaty the stronger side, 314 rating points above Chornomorets (Karpaty 1763, Chornomorets 1449, after at least 157 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 30 March 2025, finished Karpaty 4–0 Chornomorets.
Team news
Predicted Chornomorets XI (4-2-3-1): C. Aniagboso, M. Jarju, M. Farina, O. Pushkarev, O. Gusev, K. Popov, G. Robakidze, V. Faraseyenko, A. Avagimian, D. Alefirenko, C. Mba — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, C. Aniagboso (2.3 per match over four appearances) and K. Popov (1.8 per match over four appearances, two goals) have been Chornomorets’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Chornomorets (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), C. Aniagboso averages 0.0 saves per 90 over 360 minutes. K. Popov averages 0.0 key passes per 90 over 298 minutes.
Predicted Karpaty XI (4-1-4-1): R. Mysak, V. Baboglo, R. Vantukh, I. Calero, J. Pedroso, A. Chachua, Moha, X. Alkain, F. Vieira, M. Sapuga, J. Sery — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, J. Sery (1.4 per match over three appearances, one goal) and Xeber Alkain (1.4 per match over three appearances, one assist) have been Karpaty’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Premier League – Ukraine · Stadion Chornomorets
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Chornomorets 1 · draws 1 · Karpaty 4 · 2.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Chornomorets 0W 2D 3L · Karpaty 1W 2D 2L
Chornomorets v Karpaty (Premier League – Ukraine): TACTIX’s calibrated model has priced this fixture across 246 markets — the full record, losers included, is published live (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Chornomorets v Karpaty — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-03-30 Karpaty 4–0 Chornomorets
- 2024-09-21 Chornomorets 0–1 Karpaty
- 2019-05-21 Chornomorets 3–1 Karpaty
- 2019-04-23 Karpaty 0–0 Chornomorets
- 2018-10-28 Chornomorets 0–5 Karpaty
- 2018-07-29 Karpaty 1–0 Chornomorets
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Chornomorets vs Karpaty?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Chornomorets v Karpaty is Away win.
- What is the head-to-head record between Chornomorets and Karpaty?
- In their last 6 meetings, Chornomorets won 1, Karpaty won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Chornomorets and Karpaty?
- Recent form — Chornomorets 0W 2D 3L; Karpaty 1W 2D 2L.
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