FC Kharkiv v Livyi Bereh prediction

Premier League – Ukraine ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for FC Kharkiv v Livyi Bereh, Premier League – Ukraine on Mon, 19 Oct 2026 11:00 BST.

Free pick
Home win
Best price: 1.53 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 195 landed (95% range 71.1–82.7%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

FC Kharkiv host Livyi Bereh in the Premier League – Ukraine on Monday 19 October (kick-off 11:00 UK); the model’s free pick is FC Kharkiv to win.

The key numbers

FC Kharkiv have won their last four matches.

Three of Livyi Bereh’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (20%).

Form and the table

Six of FC Kharkiv’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in six of FC Kharkiv’s last 15 results (40%). At home, FC Kharkiv have five wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 9 home matches — 1.89 points per game, scoring 1.78 and conceding 0.56. FC Kharkiv have scored 14 goals, the fourth-most of the 16 clubs (2026/27 so far). FC Kharkiv have conceded five goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 16 clubs.

Both teams scored in five of Livyi Bereh’s last 15 results (33%). Away from home, Livyi Bereh have one win, three draws and five defeats in their last 9 away matches — 0.67 points per game, scoring 0.56 and conceding 1.22. Livyi Bereh have scored five goals, the third-fewest of the 16 clubs (2026/27 so far). Livyi Bereh have conceded six goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 16 clubs.

FC Kharkiv (fourth) and Livyi Bereh (12th) are eight points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have FC Kharkiv the stronger side, 362 rating points above Livyi Bereh (FC Kharkiv 1891, Livyi Bereh 1529, after at least 45 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

FC Kharkiv are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Livyi Bereh, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 1 June 2025, finished Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1–0 Livyi Bereh.

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, R. Zhmurko (2.0 per match over three appearances) and Sidney Silva Santos (1.2 per match over three appearances, one goal) have been Livyi Bereh’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Livyi Bereh (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), R. Zhmurko averages 0.0 saves per 90 over 270 minutes. Sidney Silva Santos averages 0.0 tackles per 90 over 270 minutes.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Premier League – Ukraine
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): FC Kharkiv 2 · draws 1 · Livyi Bereh 0 · 1.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: FC Kharkiv 4W 0D 1L · Livyi Bereh 1W 2D 2L

TACTIX runs FC Kharkiv v Livyi Bereh (Premier League – Ukraine) through its calibrated model across 246 markets, and publishes its market-by-market record openly (updated 16 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

246
Markets analysed

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind FC Kharkiv v Livyi Bereh — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FC KharkivLWWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.4 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Livyi BerehDDLWL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
FC Kharkiv 2 · 1 draw · Livyi Bereh 0 · 1.33 goals/game
  • 2025-06-01 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1–0 Livyi Bereh
  • 2025-05-29 Livyi Bereh 0–1 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
  • 2024-07-26 Livyi Bereh 1–1 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
League standing · 2026/27
FC Kharkiv#4 pos15 pts7 pl+9 GD
Livyi Bereh#12 pos7 pts7 pl-1 GD
Goals per game
FC Kharkiv scored2
Livyi Bereh scored0.71
FC Kharkiv conceded0.71
Livyi Bereh conceded0.86

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win FC Kharkiv v Livyi Bereh?
TACTIX’s free model pick for FC Kharkiv v Livyi Bereh is Home win (best price 1.53 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between FC Kharkiv and Livyi Bereh?
In their last 3 meetings, FC Kharkiv won 2, Livyi Bereh won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of FC Kharkiv and Livyi Bereh?
Recent form — FC Kharkiv 4W 0D 1L; Livyi Bereh 1W 2D 2L.

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