Polessya v Dynamo Kyiv prediction

Premier League – Ukraine · · Tsentralnyi Stadion

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TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Polessya v Dynamo Kyiv, Premier League – Ukraine on Sun, 18 Oct 2026 11:00 BST.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 2.00 at Betfair
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.6% of 648 landed (95% range 61.8–69.1%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Polessya host Dynamo Kyiv in the Premier League – Ukraine on Sunday 18 October (kick-off 11:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Polessya have scored in 11 consecutive matches. Polessya are unbeaten in their last five matches.

Dynamo Kyiv are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Polessya.

Form and the table

Nine of Polessya’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Polessya’s last 15 results (60%). At home, Polessya have six wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 8 home matches — 2.38 points per game, scoring 2.25 and conceding 1.00. Polessya have scored 17 goals, the second-most of the 16 clubs (2026/27 so far). Polessya have conceded seven goals, the sixth-fewest of the 16 clubs.

Dynamo Kyiv are unbeaten in their last four matches. Dynamo Kyiv have kept a clean sheet in their last four matches. Six of Dynamo Kyiv’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in four of Dynamo Kyiv’s last 15 results (27%). Away from home, Dynamo Kyiv have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 away matches — 1.43 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 1.14. Dynamo Kyiv have scored 10 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 16 clubs (2026/27 so far). Dynamo Kyiv have conceded five goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 16 clubs.

Polessya (second) and Dynamo Kyiv (third) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Polessya the stronger side, 61 rating points above Dynamo Kyiv (Polessya 1930, Dynamo Kyiv 1869, after at least 98 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 8 March 2026, finished Polessya 1–2 Dynamo Kyiv.

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, Igor Krasnopir (2.3 per match over three appearances, one goal) and Serhii Chobotenko (2.2 per match over three appearances) have been Polessya’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Polessya (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Igor Krasnopir averages 2.6 shots per 90 over 280 minutes, with a shot in four of the last five appearances. Serhii Chobotenko averages 0.7 tackles per 90 over 275 minutes.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Premier League – Ukraine · Tsentralnyi Stadion
  • Model coverage: 242 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Polessya 1 · draws 1 · Dynamo Kyiv 4 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Polessya 4W 1D 0L · Dynamo Kyiv 3W 1D 1L

Polessya v Dynamo Kyiv (Premier League – Ukraine): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 16 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

242
Markets analysed

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Polessya v Dynamo Kyiv — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PolessyaWWWWD
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Dynamo KyivLDWWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Polessya 1 · 1 draw · Dynamo Kyiv 4 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2026-03-08 Polessya 1–2 Dynamo Kyiv
  • 2025-08-31 Dynamo Kyiv 4–1 Polessya
  • 2025-05-09 Polessya 0–0 Dynamo Kyiv
  • 2024-11-10 Dynamo Kyiv 2–1 Polessya
  • 2024-04-21 Dynamo Kyiv 3–0 Polessya
  • 2023-10-06 Polessya 3–2 Dynamo Kyiv
League standing · 2026/27
Polessya#2 pos19 pts8 pl+10 GD
Dynamo Kyiv#3 pos16 pts7 pl+5 GD
Goals per game
Polessya scored2.13
Dynamo Kyiv scored1.43
Polessya conceded0.88
Dynamo Kyiv conceded0.71

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 242 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value vs the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Polessya v Dynamo Kyiv?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Polessya v Dynamo Kyiv is Over 2.5 goals (best price 2.00 at Betfair).
What is the head-to-head record between Polessya and Dynamo Kyiv?
In their last 6 meetings, Polessya won 1, Dynamo Kyiv won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Polessya and Dynamo Kyiv?
Recent form — Polessya 4W 1D 0L; Dynamo Kyiv 3W 1D 1L.

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