Polessya v Zorya Luhansk result

Full-time · Polessya 1–2 Zorya Luhansk

Premier League – Ukraine · · Tsentralnyi Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Polessya · Zorya Luhansk · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Polessya 1–2 Zorya Luhansk — Zorya Luhansk won this Premier League – Ukraine match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 1356 landed (95% range 64.9–69.8%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Zorya Luhansk won 2–1 at Tsentralnyi Stadion in the Premier League – Ukraine on Monday 17 August. Polessya have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Zorya Luhansk came from behind: Polessya led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Polessya: Oleh Fedor (16’); Zorya Luhansk: A. Glushchenko (59’) and I. Nesterenko (63’, assisted by J. Bašić).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with A. Glushchenko’s goal on 59 minutes.

What it changes

Polessya move down from second to third (three league matches played).

Zorya Luhansk move up from sixth to fifth (three league matches played).

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Zorya Luhansk, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.4% of the time in the last 90 days (914 of 1356).

Next up

Polessya next host Obolon'-Brovar on 23 October 2026.

Zorya Luhansk next travel to Shakhtar Donetsk on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Polessya: Polessya v Obolon'-Brovar, Friday 23 October — the preview. Next for Zorya Luhansk: Shakhtar Donetsk v Zorya Luhansk, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Polessya 1–2 Zorya Luhansk · Premier League – Ukraine
  • Venue: Tsentralnyi Stadion · Zhytomyr
  • Referee: Oleksandr Afanasev, Ukraine
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Polessya 3 · draws 3 · Zorya Luhansk 0 · 1.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Polessya 3W 1D 1L · Zorya Luhansk 3W 1D 1L

Polessya 1–2 Zorya Luhansk (Premier League – Ukraine): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 20 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.88 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.38 / 0.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.2 / 4
Corners
against 2 / 4.67 · 1 of the last 2 over 9.5
over 3 matches
5.4 / 5
Shots on target
against 3.6 / 3.67 · 1 of the last 2 over 8.5
over 3 matches
1 / 2.4
Cards
against 1.2 / 1.8 · 1 of the last 2 over 3.5
over 5 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 August 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gamePolessya for / againstLineZorya Luhansk for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5our book
1.5 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
6.2 for · 2 against n 5
9.5standard
4 for · 4.67 against n 3
Shots
19.2 for · 7.6 against n 5
19.5standard
14 for · 12.33 against n 3
Shots on target
5.4 for · 3.6 against n 5
8.5standard
5 for · 3.67 against n 3
Fouls committed
7 for · 6.4 against n 5
21.5standard
10 for · 10 against n 3
Cards shown
1 for · 1.2 against n 5
3.5standard
2.4 for · 1.8 against n 5

Referee: Oleksandr Afanasev, Ukraine.

Polessya
Polessya — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Vladyslav Veleten n 848.4
1.93/2
0.92/1
—
G. Maisuradze n 866.9
1.76/2
0.21/0
—
I. Krasniqi n 876.3
1.55/4
0.63/1
A. Janjić
R. Babenko n 878
1.35/3
1.67/2
—
O. Fedor n 857.5
1.25/1
1.46/1
—
Polessya — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Gayduchyk n 845.5
3.77/4
2.56/3
M. Bragaru n 846.9
2.45/2
0.21/0
E. Sarapiy n 870.9
2.16/4
14/2
O. Gutsulyak n 863.5
1.86/2
1.25/1
O. Andrievskyi n 877.9
1.77/2
0.74/1
Polessya — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
O. Gutsulyak n 863.5
0.74/0
0.42/0
Vladyslav Veleten n 848.4
0.52/0
0.52/0
Igor Krasnopir n 858.9
0.42/0
0.42/0
O. Nazarenko n 856.4
0.42/0
0.42/0
O. Andrievskyi n 877.9
0.32/0
0.42/1
Polessya — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
B. Mykhailichenko n 890.6
1.54/2
R. Babenko n 878
14/2
O. Andrievskyi n 877.9
13/1
Leandro Andrade n 867.3
16/0
B. Krushynskyi n 885.1
0.95/1
Polessya — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
H. Bushchan n 890.6
2.66/4
Zorya Luhansk
Zorya Luhansk — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Dryshlyuk n 850.3
2.25/2
0.21/0
—
Sallieu Bah n 328.3
2.11/1
00/0
—
Juninho n 884.9
1.78/4
2.48/4
—
A. Janjić n 565.2
1.73/1
00/0
I. Krasniqi
Nemanja Anđušić n 490
1.53/2
1.33/2
—
Zorya Luhansk — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Slesar n 884.5
2.18/4
1.15/3
Sallieu Bah n 328.3
2.11/1
1.11/0
P. Budkivskyi n 885.1
1.66/5
0.84/2
D. Jelavić n 445.5
1.51/1
11/1
Nemanja Anđušić n 490
1.33/1
0.31/0
Zorya Luhansk — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Budkivskyi n 885.1
0.54/0
0.11/0
I. Gorbach n 836.8
00/0
0.61/1
R. Vantukh n 887.9
0.43/0
0.11/0
P. Mićin n 876.1
0.32/0
0.11/0
A. Slesar n 884.5
0.32/0
00/0
Zorya Luhansk — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
B. Kushnirenko n 882.1
1.15/3
I. Perduta n 884.6
0.96/1
G. Eskinja n 663.2
0.52/0
Juninho n 884.9
0.42/1
R. Vantukh n 887.9
0.32/0

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Polessya v Zorya Luhansk — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PolessyaWDLWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Zorya LuhanskWDWWL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Polessya 3 · 3 draws · Zorya Luhansk 0 · 1.33 goals/game
  • 2026-05-18 Zorya Luhansk 0–0 Polessya
  • 2025-11-30 Polessya 2–0 Zorya Luhansk
  • 2025-05-17 Zorya Luhansk 0–1 Polessya
  • 2024-11-25 Polessya 1–1 Zorya Luhansk
  • 2024-05-05 Polessya 1–1 Zorya Luhansk
  • 2023-10-28 Zorya Luhansk 0–1 Polessya
League standing · 2026/27
Polessya#2 pos22 pts9 pl+12 GD
Zorya Luhansk#7 pos14 pts9 pl-1 GD
Goals per game
Polessya scored2.22
Zorya Luhansk scored1.33
Polessya conceded0.89
Zorya Luhansk conceded1.44

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Polessya v Zorya Luhansk?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Polessya v Zorya Luhansk was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Polessya and Zorya Luhansk?
In their last 6 meetings, Polessya won 3, Zorya Luhansk won 0 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Polessya and Zorya Luhansk?
Recent form — Polessya 3W 1D 1L; Zorya Luhansk 3W 1D 1L.

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