Zorya Luhansk v Chornomorets prediction

Premier League – Ukraine · · Slavutych-Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Away cards yellow under 2.5 the free pick for Zorya Luhansk vs Chornomorets, Premier League – Ukraine on Sat, 17 Oct 2026 11:00 BST.

Free pick
Away cards yellow under 2.5
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Zorya Luhansk host Chornomorets in the Premier League – Ukraine on Saturday 17 October (kick-off 11:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Chornomorets cards yellow under 2.5, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Chornomorets are winless in their last four matches.

Zorya Luhansk are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Chornomorets, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Eight of Zorya Luhansk’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in 10 of Zorya Luhansk’s last 15 results (67%). At home, Zorya Luhansk have two wins, two draws and four defeats in their last 8 home matches — 1.00 points per game, scoring 0.88 and conceding 1.38. Zorya Luhansk have scored 10 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 16 clubs (2026/27 so far). Zorya Luhansk have conceded 12 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 16 clubs.

Six of Chornomorets’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in seven of Chornomorets’s last 15 results (47%). Away from home, Chornomorets have one win, no draws and four defeats in their last 5 away matches — 0.60 points per game, scoring 0.60 and conceding 1.60. Chornomorets have scored four goals, the second-fewest of the 16 clubs (2026/27 so far). Chornomorets have conceded nine goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 16 clubs.

Zorya Luhansk (sixth) and Chornomorets (13th) are six points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Zorya Luhansk the stronger side, 224 rating points above Chornomorets (Zorya Luhansk 1692, Chornomorets 1468, after at least 179 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 14 December 2024, finished Zorya Luhansk 2–1 Chornomorets.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Premier League – Ukraine · Slavutych-Arena
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Zorya Luhansk 5 · draws 1 · Chornomorets 0 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Zorya Luhansk 1W 2D 2L · Chornomorets 1W 2D 2L

As of 16 October 2026, TACTIX’s model — calibration published live, losing picks included — covers Zorya Luhansk v Chornomorets across 246 markets; the key numbers are on this page. See the live track record →

Key stats

246
Markets analysed

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Zorya Luhansk v Chornomorets — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Zorya LuhanskLDDLW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
ChornomoretsWDLDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Zorya Luhansk 5 · 1 draw · Chornomorets 0 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2024-12-14 Zorya Luhansk 2–1 Chornomorets
  • 2024-08-10 Chornomorets 0–1 Zorya Luhansk
  • 2024-04-14 Zorya Luhansk 1–0 Chornomorets
  • 2023-09-30 Chornomorets 0–0 Zorya Luhansk
  • 2023-04-29 Zorya Luhansk 3–1 Chornomorets
  • 2022-10-18 Chornomorets 0–4 Zorya Luhansk
League standing · 2026/27
Zorya Luhansk#6 pos11 pts8 pl-2 GD
Chornomorets#13 pos5 pts7 pl-5 GD
Goals per game
Zorya Luhansk scored1.25
Chornomorets scored0.57
Zorya Luhansk conceded1.5
Chornomorets conceded1.29

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 246 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value vs the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Zorya Luhansk vs Chornomorets?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Zorya Luhansk v Chornomorets is Away cards yellow under 2.5.
What is the head-to-head record between Zorya Luhansk and Chornomorets?
In their last 6 meetings, Zorya Luhansk won 5, Chornomorets won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Zorya Luhansk and Chornomorets?
Recent form — Zorya Luhansk 1W 2D 2L; Chornomorets 1W 2D 2L.

Today’s boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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