Ammanford AFC v Caernarfon Town result
Team pages: Ammanford AFC · Caernarfon Town
The model’s pre-match pick
Ammanford AFC 0–5 Caernarfon Town — Caernarfon Town won this Premier League – Wales match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away win.
The result
Caernarfon Town won 5–0 at Ammanford Recreation Ground in the Cymru Premier on Friday 11 September. Ammanford AFC are winless in at least their last eight matches in all competitions.
The goals
Caernarfon Town led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Caernarfon Town: P. Mooney (22’, 90’), S. Bradley (37’, 68’ pen) and H. Wyn (90’). L. Davies (67’) was sent off.
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with P. Mooney’s goal on 22 minutes.
What it changes
Ammanford AFC move down from 13th to 14th (eight league matches played).
Caernarfon Town move up from fourth to second (eight league matches played).
Caernarfon Town’s five-goal margin was the biggest of round 8, across eight matches. Caernarfon Town have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions. Ammanford AFC have failed to score in their last three matches in all competitions.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Caernarfon Town to win, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 85.4% of the time in the last 90 days (88 of 103).
Next up
Ammanford AFC next travel to The New Saints on 23 October 2026.
Caernarfon Town next host Briton Ferry on 23 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Ammanford AFC: The New Saints v Ammanford AFC, Friday 23 October — the preview. Next for Caernarfon Town: Caernarfon Town v Briton Ferry, Friday 23 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Ammanford AFC 0–5 Caernarfon Town · Premier League – Wales
- Venue: Ammanford Recreation Ground · Ammanford
- Referee: I. A. Griffith
- Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: Ammanford AFC 0W 1D 4L · Caernarfon Town 4W 0D 1L
Ammanford AFC 0–5 Caernarfon Town (Premier League – Wales): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 25 September 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Ammanford AFC v Caernarfon Town — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently asked questions
- What was the model’s pick for Ammanford AFC v Caernarfon Town?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Ammanford AFC v Caernarfon Town was Away win (best price 1.22 at Betano).
- What is the recent form of Ammanford AFC and Caernarfon Town?
- Recent form — Ammanford AFC 0W 1D 4L; Caernarfon Town 4W 0D 1L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.