Caernarfon Town v Colwyn Bay result

Full-time · Caernarfon Town 3–0 Colwyn Bay

Premier League – Wales · · The Oval

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Caernarfon Town 3–0 Colwyn Bay — Caernarfon Town won this Premier League – Wales match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67.3% of 1371 landed (95% range 64.8–69.8%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Caernarfon Town beat Colwyn Bay 3–0 at The Oval in the Cymru Premier on Saturday 15 August.

The goals

Caernarfon Town led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Caernarfon Town: D. Gosset (27’), Z. Clarke (65’) and A. Cieślewicz (73’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with D. Gosset’s goal on 27 minutes.

What it changes

Caernarfon Town stay seventh after this result (three league matches played).

Colwyn Bay move down from second to 11th (three league matches played).

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Colwyn Bay, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.3% of the time in the last 90 days (923 of 1371).

Next up

Caernarfon Town next host Briton Ferry on 23 October 2026.

Colwyn Bay next host Cardiff MET on 23 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Caernarfon Town: Caernarfon Town v Briton Ferry, Friday 23 October — the preview. Next for Colwyn Bay: Colwyn Bay v Cardiff MET, Friday 23 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Caernarfon Town 3–0 Colwyn Bay · Premier League – Wales
  • Venue: The Oval · Caernarfon
  • Referee: T. Owen
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Caernarfon Town 4 · draws 0 · Colwyn Bay 2 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Caernarfon Town 2W 0D 3L · Colwyn Bay 1W 3D 1L

Caernarfon Town 3–0 Colwyn Bay (Premier League – Wales): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 29 August 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

19
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Caernarfon Town v Colwyn Bay — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Caernarfon TownWLLWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
Colwyn BayLDDWD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Caernarfon Town 4 · 0 draws · Colwyn Bay 2 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2026-04-03 Colwyn Bay 0–2 Caernarfon Town
  • 2026-02-27 Caernarfon Town 3–0 Colwyn Bay
  • 2025-12-27 Caernarfon Town 1–2 Colwyn Bay
  • 2025-10-04 Colwyn Bay 1–0 Caernarfon Town
  • 2023-12-31 Caernarfon Town 2–1 Colwyn Bay
  • 2023-08-13 Colwyn Bay 0–4 Caernarfon Town
League standing · 2026/27
Caernarfon Town#4 pos26 pts13 pl+22 GD
Colwyn Bay#5 pos25 pts13 pl+7 GD
Goals per game
Caernarfon Town scored2.85
Colwyn Bay scored1.69
Caernarfon Town conceded1.15
Colwyn Bay conceded1.15

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Caernarfon Town v Colwyn Bay?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Caernarfon Town v Colwyn Bay was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Caernarfon Town and Colwyn Bay?
In their last 6 meetings, Caernarfon Town won 4, Colwyn Bay won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Caernarfon Town and Colwyn Bay?
Recent form — Caernarfon Town 2W 0D 3L; Colwyn Bay 1W 3D 1L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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