Caernarfon Town v The New Saints result
Team pages: Caernarfon Town · The New Saints · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Caernarfon Town 2–3 The New Saints — The New Saints won this Premier League – Wales match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.
The result
The New Saints won 3–2 at The Oval in the Cymru Premier on Monday 31 August. The New Saints are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions.
The goals
The New Saints led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — The New Saints: B. Wilson (15’), Rhys Hughes (21’) and Daniel Davies (76’); Caernarfon Town: O. Evans (42’) and A. Cieślewicz (55’).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Daniel Davies’s goal on 76 minutes.
What it changes
Caernarfon Town move down from third to sixth (six league matches played).
The New Saints stay second after this result (six league matches played).
Caernarfon Town have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions. The New Saints have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, the draw or The New Saints, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.3% of the time in the last 90 days (922 of 1371).
Next up
Caernarfon Town next host Briton Ferry on 23 October 2026.
The New Saints next host Ammanford AFC on 23 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Caernarfon Town: Caernarfon Town v Briton Ferry, Friday 23 October — the preview. Next for The New Saints: The New Saints v Ammanford AFC, Friday 23 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Caernarfon Town 2–3 The New Saints · Premier League – Wales
- Venue: The Oval · Caernarfon
- Referee: J. Walker
- Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Caernarfon Town 0 · draws 0 · The New Saints 6 · 2.67 goals/game
- Recent form: Caernarfon Town 4W 0D 1L · The New Saints 4W 1D 0L
Caernarfon Town 2–3 The New Saints (Premier League – Wales): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 14 September 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Caernarfon Town v The New Saints — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-03-27 Caernarfon Town 0–4 The New Saints
- 2026-02-20 The New Saints 2–1 Caernarfon Town
- 2025-11-28 The New Saints 2–0 Caernarfon Town
- 2025-10-07 Caernarfon Town 1–3 The New Saints
- 2025-03-11 The New Saints 2–0 Caernarfon Town
- 2025-02-11 Caernarfon Town 0–1 The New Saints
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.
Frequently asked questions
- What was the model’s pick for Caernarfon Town v The New Saints?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Caernarfon Town v The New Saints was Draw or Away (best price 1.16 at Betano).
- What is the head-to-head record between Caernarfon Town and The New Saints?
- In their last 6 meetings, Caernarfon Town won 0, The New Saints won 6 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Caernarfon Town and The New Saints?
- Recent form — Caernarfon Town 4W 0D 1L; The New Saints 4W 1D 0L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.