Cardiff MET v Penybont prediction

Premier League – Wales · · Cyncoed Campus

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TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for Cardiff MET v Penybont, Premier League – Wales on Fri, 30 Oct 2026 19:45 GMT.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67.6% of 1357 landed (95% range 65.1–70.1%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Cardiff MET host Penybont in the Cymru Premier on Friday 30 October (kick-off 19:45 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or Penybont, a Bronze-tier call.

Form and the table

Nine of Cardiff MET’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in seven of Cardiff MET’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Cardiff MET have three wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 2.13 and conceding 1.88. Cardiff MET have scored 24 goals, the seventh-most of the 16 clubs (2026/27 so far). Cardiff MET have conceded 16 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 16 clubs.

Nine of Penybont’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of Penybont’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Penybont have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.86 points per game, scoring 1.86 and conceding 1.14. Penybont have scored 25 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 16 clubs (2026/27 so far). Penybont have conceded 11 goals, the third-fewest of the 16 clubs.

Cardiff MET (seventh) and Penybont (third) are nine points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Penybont the stronger side, 261 rating points above Cardiff MET (Penybont 1835, Cardiff MET 1574, after at least 236 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Penybont are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Cardiff MET. The most recent meeting, on 13 January 2026, finished Penybont 1–1 Cardiff MET.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Premier League – Wales · Cyncoed Campus
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Cardiff MET 1 · draws 4 · Penybont 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Cardiff MET 2W 1D 2L · Penybont 4W 0D 1L

Cardiff MET v Penybont (Premier League – Wales): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

19
Markets analysed

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Cardiff MET v Penybont — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Cardiff METLDWWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
PenybontWWWLW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Cardiff MET 1 · 4 draws · Penybont 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-01-13 Penybont 1–1 Cardiff MET
  • 2025-09-23 Cardiff MET 0–4 Penybont
  • 2025-03-14 Penybont 0–0 Cardiff MET
  • 2025-01-24 Cardiff MET 2–1 Penybont
  • 2024-12-31 Penybont 2–2 Cardiff MET
  • 2024-10-15 Cardiff MET 1–1 Penybont
League standing · 2026/27
Cardiff MET#7 pos21 pts13 pl+8 GD
Penybont#3 pos30 pts13 pl+14 GD
Goals per game
Cardiff MET scored1.85
Penybont scored1.92
Cardiff MET conceded1.23
Penybont conceded0.85

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Cardiff MET v Penybont?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Cardiff MET v Penybont is Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Cardiff MET and Penybont?
In their last 6 meetings, Cardiff MET won 1, Penybont won 1 and there were 4 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Cardiff MET and Penybont?
Recent form — Cardiff MET 2W 1D 2L; Penybont 4W 0D 1L.

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