GAP Connah S Quay FC v Penybont result
Team pages: GAP Connah S Quay FC · Penybont · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
GAP Connah S Quay FC 1–0 Penybont — GAP Connah S Quay FC won this Premier League – Wales match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
GAP Connah S Quay FC beat Penybont 1–0 at Essity Stadium in the Cymru Premier on Saturday 3 October. GAP Connah S Quay FC have scored in 13 consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — GAP Connah S Quay FC: Hussein Mehasseb (88’).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Hussein Mehasseb’s goal on 88 minutes.
What it changes
GAP Connah S Quay FC stay second after this result (12 league matches played).
Penybont move down from second to third (12 league matches played).
GAP Connah S Quay FC have won their last four matches in all competitions.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, GAP Connah S Quay FC or Penybont (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.4% of the time in the last 90 days (3537 of 4571).
Next up
GAP Connah S Quay FC next host Llandudno on 24 October 2026.
Penybont next travel to Holywell on 23 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for GAP Connah S Quay FC: GAP Connah S Quay FC v Llandudno, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Penybont: Holywell v Penybont, Friday 23 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: GAP Connah S Quay FC 1–0 Penybont · Premier League – Wales
- Venue: Essity Stadium · Flint
- Referee: I. A. Griffith
- Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): GAP Connah S Quay FC 3 · draws 1 · Penybont 2 · 1.67 goals/game
- Recent form: GAP Connah S Quay FC 3W 1D 1L · Penybont 5W 0D 0L
GAP Connah S Quay FC 1–0 Penybont (Premier League – Wales): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind GAP Connah S Quay FC v Penybont — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-03-21 GAP Connah S Quay FC 2–1 Penybont
- 2026-02-14 Penybont 0–0 GAP Connah S Quay FC
- 2025-11-08 GAP Connah S Quay FC 4–0 Penybont
- 2025-08-30 Penybont 0–1 GAP Connah S Quay FC
- 2025-01-04 Penybont 1–0 GAP Connah S Quay FC
- 2024-09-15 GAP Connah S Quay FC 0–1 Penybont
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently asked questions
- What was the model’s pick for GAP Connah S Quay FC v Penybont?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for GAP Connah S Quay FC v Penybont was Home or Away (best price 1.30 at William Hill).
- What is the head-to-head record between GAP Connah S Quay FC and Penybont?
- In their last 6 meetings, GAP Connah S Quay FC won 3, Penybont won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of GAP Connah S Quay FC and Penybont?
- Recent form — GAP Connah S Quay FC 3W 1D 1L; Penybont 5W 0D 0L.
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