Holywell v Trefelin result

Full-time · Holywell 1–1 Trefelin

Premier League – Wales · · Bartons North Wales Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Holywell 1–1 Trefelin — this Premier League – Wales match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.52 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.7% of 641 landed (95% range 61.9–69.3%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Holywell and Trefelin drew 1–1 at Bartons North Wales Stadium in the Cymru Premier on Friday 4 September. Holywell are winless in at least their last seven matches in all competitions. Trefelin are winless in at least their last seven matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Trefelin: Louis Phillips (61’); Holywell: H. Morris (82’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with H. Morris’s goal on 82 minutes.

What it changes

Holywell stay 16th after this result (seven league matches played).

Trefelin move up from 15th to 14th (seven league matches played).

Holywell have scored in at least seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 65.7% of the time in the last 90 days (421 of 641).

Next up

Holywell next host Penybont on 23 October 2026.

Trefelin next host Flint Town United on 23 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Holywell: Holywell v Penybont, Friday 23 October — the preview. Next for Trefelin: Trefelin v Flint Town United, Friday 23 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Holywell 1–1 Trefelin · Premier League – Wales
  • Venue: Bartons North Wales Stadium · Holywell
  • Referee: I. A. Griffith
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Holywell 0W 0D 5L · Trefelin 0W 1D 4L

Holywell 1–1 Trefelin (Premier League – Wales): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 18 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

19
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Holywell v Trefelin — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
HolywellLLLLL
Last 5: 0W 0D 5L · 1.6 scored / 4 conceded per game
TrefelinLLLDL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.4 scored / 3 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Holywell#16 pos2 pts13 pl-30 GD
Trefelin#15 pos6 pts13 pl-23 GD
Goals per game
Holywell scored1.08
Trefelin scored0.62
Holywell conceded3.38
Trefelin conceded2.38

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Holywell v Trefelin?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Holywell v Trefelin was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.52 at Betano).
What is the recent form of Holywell and Trefelin?
Recent form — Holywell 0W 0D 5L; Trefelin 0W 1D 4L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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