Llandudno v Caernarfon Town result

Full-time · Llandudno 1–1 Caernarfon Town

Premier League – Wales · · Maesdu Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Llandudno 1–1 Caernarfon Town — this Premier League – Wales match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.62 at Bet365
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.7% of 630 landed (95% range 61.9–69.3%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Llandudno and Caernarfon Town drew 1–1 at Maesdu Park in the Cymru Premier on Tuesday 15 September. Caernarfon Town have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Caernarfon Town led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Caernarfon Town: N. Edwards (21’); Llandudno: Ben Maher (47’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ben Maher’s goal on 47 minutes.

What it changes

Llandudno stay sixth after this result (nine league matches played).

Caernarfon Town move down from second to fourth (nine league matches played).

Caernarfon Town are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Llandudno next travel to GAP Connah S Quay FC on 24 October 2026.

Caernarfon Town next host Briton Ferry on 23 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Llandudno: GAP Connah S Quay FC v Llandudno, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Caernarfon Town: Caernarfon Town v Briton Ferry, Friday 23 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Llandudno 1–1 Caernarfon Town · Premier League – Wales
  • Venue: Maesdu Park · Llandudno
  • Referee: A. Jones
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Llandudno 0 · draws 2 · Caernarfon Town 0 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Llandudno 2W 0D 3L · Caernarfon Town 4W 0D 1L

Llandudno 1–1 Caernarfon Town (Premier League – Wales): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 29 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

19
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Llandudno v Caernarfon Town — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LlandudnoLWLWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Caernarfon TownWWLWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 3.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Llandudno 0 · 2 draws · Caernarfon Town 0 · 4 goals/game
  • 2019-01-01 Llandudno 1–1 Caernarfon Town
  • 2018-12-29 Caernarfon Town 3–3 Llandudno
League standing · 2026/27
Llandudno#10 pos16 pts13 pl-1 GD
Caernarfon Town#4 pos26 pts13 pl+22 GD
Goals per game
Llandudno scored1.69
Caernarfon Town scored2.85
Llandudno conceded1.77
Caernarfon Town conceded1.15

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Llandudno v Caernarfon Town?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Llandudno v Caernarfon Town was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.62 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Llandudno and Caernarfon Town?
In their last 2 meetings, Llandudno won 0, Caernarfon Town won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Llandudno and Caernarfon Town?
Recent form — Llandudno 2W 0D 3L; Caernarfon Town 4W 0D 1L.

Today’s boards

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