Penybont v Barry Town result

Full-time · Penybont 3–1 Barry Town

Premier League – Wales · · Bryntirion Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Penybont 3–1 Barry Town — Penybont won this Premier League – Wales match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.72 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.7% of 641 landed (95% range 61.9–69.3%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Penybont beat Barry Town 3–1 at Bryntirion Park in the Cymru Premier on Friday 9 October. It is Penybont’s first win over Barry Town since 22 August 2025, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

Penybont led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Barry Town: J. Lester (12’); Penybont: E. Cann (18’, 53’) and T. Walker (39’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with T. Walker’s goal on 39 minutes.

What it changes

Penybont stay third after this result (13 league matches played).

Barry Town move down from fourth to fifth (13 league matches played).

Barry Town have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Penybont next travel to Holywell on 23 October 2026.

Barry Town next host Haverfordwest County AFC on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Penybont: Holywell v Penybont, Friday 23 October — the preview. Next for Barry Town: Barry Town v Haverfordwest County AFC, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Penybont 3–1 Barry Town · Premier League – Wales
  • Venue: Bryntirion Park · Bridgend
  • Referee: C. Charlton-Fleming
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Penybont 3 · draws 1 · Barry Town 2 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Penybont 4W 0D 1L · Barry Town 2W 1D 2L

Penybont 3–1 Barry Town (Premier League – Wales): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 19 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

19
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Penybont v Barry Town — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PenybontWWWWL
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Barry TownWDLLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Penybont 3 · 1 draw · Barry Town 2 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-04-03 Penybont 0–2 Barry Town
  • 2026-03-03 Barry Town 1–0 Penybont
  • 2025-12-09 Penybont 1–1 Barry Town
  • 2025-08-22 Barry Town 2–3 Penybont
  • 2024-12-26 Barry Town 1–2 Penybont
  • 2024-10-04 Penybont 4–1 Barry Town
League standing · 2026/27
Penybont#3 pos30 pts13 pl+14 GD
Barry Town#6 pos25 pts13 pl+5 GD
Goals per game
Penybont scored1.92
Barry Town scored2.15
Penybont conceded0.85
Barry Town conceded1.77

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Penybont v Barry Town?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Penybont v Barry Town was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.72 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Penybont and Barry Town?
In their last 6 meetings, Penybont won 3, Barry Town won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Penybont and Barry Town?
Recent form — Penybont 4W 0D 1L; Barry Town 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s boards

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