Penybont v Briton Ferry result
Team pages: Penybont · Briton Ferry
The model’s pre-match pick
Penybont 3–2 Briton Ferry — Penybont won this Premier League – Wales match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.
The result
Penybont beat Briton Ferry 3–2 at Bryntirion Park in the Cymru Premier on Tuesday 15 September. Penybont are unbeaten in their last nine matches in all competitions. Briton Ferry have lost their last five matches in all competitions.
The goals
Penybont led 3–1 at half-time. The goals — Briton Ferry: T. Walters (9’) and O. Anderson (78’); Penybont: T. Walker (13’), C. Venables (41’) and J. Leko (43’). M. Melbourne (8’) was sent off.
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with C. Venables’s goal on 41 minutes.
What it changes
Penybont move up from fourth to third (nine league matches played).
Briton Ferry stay 12th after this result (nine league matches played).
It is Penybont’s first win over Briton Ferry since 11 August 2024, after three meetings without one (the 4 prior meetings TACTIX holds). Penybont have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Penybont to win, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.
Next up
Penybont next travel to Holywell on 23 October 2026.
Briton Ferry next travel to Caernarfon Town on 23 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Penybont: Holywell v Penybont, Friday 23 October — the preview. Next for Briton Ferry: Caernarfon Town v Briton Ferry, Friday 23 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Penybont 3–2 Briton Ferry · Premier League – Wales
- Venue: Bryntirion Park · Bridgend
- Referee: J. Harman
- Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 4): Penybont 1 · draws 2 · Briton Ferry 1 · 1.25 goals/game
- Recent form: Penybont 3W 2D 0L · Briton Ferry 1W 0D 4L
Penybont 3–2 Briton Ferry (Premier League – Wales): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 29 September 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Penybont v Briton Ferry — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-12-26 Penybont 1–1 Briton Ferry
- 2025-10-03 Briton Ferry 0–0 Penybont
- 2024-09-24 Penybont 0–1 Briton Ferry
- 2024-08-11 Briton Ferry 0–2 Penybont
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently asked questions
- What was the model’s pick for Penybont v Briton Ferry?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Penybont v Briton Ferry was Home win (best price 1.45 at Betano).
- What is the head-to-head record between Penybont and Briton Ferry?
- In their last 4 meetings, Penybont won 1, Briton Ferry won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.25 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Penybont and Briton Ferry?
- Recent form — Penybont 3W 2D 0L; Briton Ferry 1W 0D 4L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.