The New Saints v Colwyn Bay result
Team pages: The New Saints · Colwyn Bay · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
The New Saints 5–1 Colwyn Bay — The New Saints won this Premier League – Wales match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.
The result
The New Saints beat Colwyn Bay 5–1 at Park Hall in the Cymru Premier on Friday 28 August. The New Saints are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions.
The goals
The New Saints led 3–0 at half-time. The goals — The New Saints: J. Lock (26’, 38’), Rhys Hughes (42’ pen), Jordan Williams (50’) and Dominic Corness (55’); Colwyn Bay: N. Peate (61’).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with J. Lock’s goal on 26 minutes.
What it changes
The New Saints move down from first to second (five league matches played).
Colwyn Bay move down from fifth to 10th (five league matches played).
The New Saints’s four-goal margin was the biggest of round 5, across eight matches.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 52.6% of the time in the last 90 days (90 of 171).
Next up
The New Saints next host Ammanford AFC on 23 October 2026.
Colwyn Bay next host Cardiff MET on 23 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for The New Saints: The New Saints v Ammanford AFC, Friday 23 October — the preview. Next for Colwyn Bay: Colwyn Bay v Cardiff MET, Friday 23 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: The New Saints 5–1 Colwyn Bay · Premier League – Wales
- Venue: Park Hall · Oswestry
- Referee: R. Wright
- Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): The New Saints 4 · draws 1 · Colwyn Bay 1 · 2.5 goals/game
- Recent form: The New Saints 4W 1D 0L · Colwyn Bay 2W 2D 1L
The New Saints 5–1 Colwyn Bay (Premier League – Wales): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 11 September 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind The New Saints v Colwyn Bay — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-03-20 The New Saints 0–2 Colwyn Bay
- 2026-02-13 Colwyn Bay 0–2 The New Saints
- 2026-01-13 The New Saints 1–0 Colwyn Bay
- 2025-08-25 Colwyn Bay 1–1 The New Saints
- 2023-10-31 The New Saints 6–1 Colwyn Bay
- 2023-08-29 Colwyn Bay 0–1 The New Saints
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently asked questions
- What was the model’s pick for The New Saints v Colwyn Bay?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for The New Saints v Colwyn Bay was Under 2.5 goals (best price 2.40 at Betfair).
- What is the head-to-head record between The New Saints and Colwyn Bay?
- In their last 6 meetings, The New Saints won 4, Colwyn Bay won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of The New Saints and Colwyn Bay?
- Recent form — The New Saints 4W 1D 0L; Colwyn Bay 2W 2D 1L.
Today’s boards
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.