Trefelin v Caernarfon Town result

Full-time · Trefelin 0–2 Caernarfon Town

Premier League – Wales · · Ynys Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Trefelin 0–2 Caernarfon Town — Caernarfon Town won this Premier League – Wales match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away win.

Free pick
Away win
Best price: 1.31 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Away win in the last 90 days, 85.4% of 103 landed (95% range 77.4–91%); it had given them 76% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Caernarfon Town won 2–0 at Ynys Park in the Cymru Premier on Friday 21 August. Trefelin have lost at least their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

Caernarfon Town led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Caernarfon Town: O. Evans (13’) and Z. Clarke (37’). J. Davies (90’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with O. Evans’s goal on 13 minutes.

What it changes

Trefelin stay 16th after this result (four league matches played).

Caernarfon Town move up from seventh to fifth (four league matches played).

Trefelin have failed to score in at least their last four matches in all competitions.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Caernarfon Town to win, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Trefelin next host Flint Town United on 23 October 2026.

Caernarfon Town next host Briton Ferry on 23 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Trefelin: Trefelin v Flint Town United, Friday 23 October — the preview. Next for Caernarfon Town: Caernarfon Town v Briton Ferry, Friday 23 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Trefelin 0–2 Caernarfon Town · Premier League – Wales
  • Venue: Ynys Park · Cwmafan
  • Referee: D. Morgan
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Trefelin 0W 0D 3L · Caernarfon Town 2W 0D 3L

Trefelin 0–2 Caernarfon Town (Premier League – Wales): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 4 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

19
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Trefelin v Caernarfon Town — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
TrefelinLLL
Last 3: 0W 0D 3L · 0 scored / 4 conceded per game
Caernarfon TownLLWLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Trefelin#15 pos6 pts13 pl-23 GD
Caernarfon Town#4 pos26 pts13 pl+22 GD
Goals per game
Trefelin scored0.62
Caernarfon Town scored2.85
Trefelin conceded2.38
Caernarfon Town conceded1.15

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Trefelin v Caernarfon Town?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Trefelin v Caernarfon Town was Away win (best price 1.31 at Betano).
What is the recent form of Trefelin and Caernarfon Town?
Recent form — Trefelin 0W 0D 3L; Caernarfon Town 2W 0D 3L.

Today’s boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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