Brentford v Leeds prediction
Team pages: Brentford · Leeds · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Brentford v Leeds, Premier League on Sat, 17 Apr 2027 15:00 BST posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Brentford host Leeds in the Premier League on Saturday 17 April (kick-off 15:00 UK).
The key numbers
Brentford have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions. Brentford are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Leeds.
Form and the table
11 of Brentford’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 10 of Brentford’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Brentford have three wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 1.86 and conceding 0.71. Brentford have scored 13 goals, the fourth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Brentford have conceded eight goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Six of Leeds’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in nine of Leeds’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Leeds have two wins, three draws and four defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.22 and conceding 1.78. Leeds have scored nine goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Leeds have conceded six goals, the third-fewest of the 20 clubs.
Leeds are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Brentford (sixth) and Leeds (seventh) are level on points, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Leeds the stronger side, 13 rating points above Brentford (Leeds 1676, Brentford 1664, after at least 159 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 30 August 2026, finished Leeds 1–1 Brentford.
Team news
Predicted Brentford XI (4-2-3-1): C. Kelleher, K. Ajer, K. Lewis-Potter, M. Kayode, J. Schuster, V. Janelt, K. Schade, M. Sangaré, J. Anthony, Y. Yarmolyuk, Thiago — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Nathan Collins (4.3 per match over four appearances, two goals) and Vitaly Janelt (4.1 per match over eight appearances, two goals) have been Brentford’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Brentford (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Nathan Collins averages 0.8 tackles per 90 over 479 minutes, with a tackle in three of the last seven appearances. Vitaly Janelt averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 703 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last nine appearances.
Predicted Leeds XI (3-4-2-1): J. Trafford, T. Muharemović, N. Elvedi, J. Justin, E. Ampadu, J. Bogle, A. Stach, G. Gudmundsson, A. Tanaka, N. Okafor, D. Calvert-Lewin — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, James Justin (4.9 per match over nine appearances, two goals) and Tarik Muharemović (4.2 per match over nine appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Leeds’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Leeds (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), James Justin averages 3.0 tackles per 90 over 799 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last nine appearances. Tarik Muharemović averages 0.9 tackles per 90 over 1430 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Premier League · Brentford Community Stadium
- Head-to-head (last 6): Brentford 1 · draws 4 · Leeds 1 · 2.33 goals/game
- Recent form: Brentford 2W 2D 1L · Leeds 1W 2D 2L
Brentford v Leeds (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Brentford for / against | Line | Leeds for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2.25 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.13 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.13 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 15.13 for · 15.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 13 for · 13.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.63 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.5 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 13.63 for · 8.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.13 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.75 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.88 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
Brentford
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fábio Carvalho n 8 | 36.9 | 2.4 | 1.5 | — |
| M. Sangaré n 8 | 52.4 | 2.1 | 0.6 | — |
| Thiago n 8 | 72.6 | 2 | 0.6 | — |
| Y. Yarmolyuk n 8 | 50.6 | 2 | 0.2 | — |
| E. Diouf n 8 | 33 | 2 | 1.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thiago n 8 | 72.6 | 2.5 | 1.1 |
| C. Wilson n 8 | 38.9 | 2 | 1.7 |
| D. Ouattara n 8 | 37.9 | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| Fábio Carvalho n 8 | 36.9 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| K. Schade n 8 | 73 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fábio Carvalho n 8 | 36.9 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| C. Wilson n 8 | 38.9 | 0.9 | 0 |
| J. Anthony n 8 | 64 | 0.2 | 0.7 |
| Y. Yarmolyuk n 8 | 50.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| D. Ouattara n 8 | 37.9 | 0 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Sangaré n 8 | 52.4 | 3.9 |
| V. Janelt n 8 | 76.6 | 2.8 |
| E. Diouf n 8 | 33 | 2.4 |
| D. Ouattara n 8 | 37.9 | 1.8 |
| M. Damsgaard n 8 | 70 | 1.6 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| C. Kelleher n 8 | 90 | 4.1 |
| E. Balcombe n 8 | 90 | 3.5 |
| H. Valdimarsson n 8 | 90 | 2.6 |
Leeds
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Stach n 8 | 63 | 2.3 | 0.9 | — |
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin n 8 | 58.3 | 2.3 | 1.2 | — |
| A. Tanaka n 8 | 55.8 | 2.2 | 0.8 | — |
| E. Ampadu n 8 | 90 | 2 | 0.5 | — |
| S. Longstaff n 8 | 26.8 | 1.7 | 0.8 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Tanaka n 8 | 55.8 | 2.2 | 0.4 |
| D. James n 8 | 45.5 | 2.2 | 1 |
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin n 8 | 58.3 | 1.9 | 1.4 |
| L. Nmecha n 8 | 30 | 1.9 | 0 |
| S. Longstaff n 8 | 26.8 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin n 8 | 58.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| L. Nmecha n 8 | 30 | 0 | 0.8 |
| H. Wilson n 8 | 37 | 0 | 0.6 |
| D. James n 8 | 45.5 | 0.5 | 0 |
| T. Muharemović n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Justin n 8 | 88.6 | 2.7 |
| A. Stach n 8 | 63 | 2.1 |
| E. Ampadu n 8 | 90 | 1.9 |
| A. Tanaka n 8 | 55.8 | 1.8 |
| M. Bard n 8 | 67.6 | 1.7 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Zetterer n 8 | 90 | 4.3 |
| J. Trafford n 8 | 90 | 3.4 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Brentford v Leeds — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-08-30 Leeds 1–1 Brentford
- 2026-03-21 Leeds 0–0 Brentford
- 2025-12-14 Brentford 1–1 Leeds
- 2023-01-22 Leeds 0–0 Brentford
- 2022-09-03 Brentford 5–2 Leeds
- 2022-05-22 Brentford 1–2 Leeds
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Brentford and Leeds?
- In their last 6 meetings, Brentford won 1, Leeds won 1 and there were 4 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Brentford and Leeds?
- Recent form — Brentford 2W 2D 1L; Leeds 1W 2D 2L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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