Chornomorets v Karpaty prediction

Premier League – Ukraine · · Stadion Chornomorets

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Away win the free pick for Chornomorets v Karpaty, Premier League – Ukraine on Sun, 25 Oct 2026 11:00 GMT.

Free pick
Away win
Best price: 1.50 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Away win in the last 90 days, 85.4% of 103 landed (95% range 77.4–91%); it had given them 76% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Chornomorets host Karpaty in the Premier League – Ukraine on Sunday 25 October (kick-off 11:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Karpaty to win.

The key numbers

Chornomorets are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. Karpaty are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of Chornomorets’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in eight of Chornomorets’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Chornomorets have one win, four draws and four defeats in their last 9 home matches in all competitions — 0.78 points per game, scoring 0.67 and conceding 1.22. Chornomorets have scored five goals, the second-fewest of the 16 clubs (2026/27 so far). Chornomorets have conceded 11 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 16 clubs.

Eight of Karpaty’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of Karpaty’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Karpaty have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.57 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 0.86. Karpaty have scored 17 goals, the third-most of the 16 clubs (2026/27 so far). Karpaty have conceded eight goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 16 clubs.

Chornomorets (14th) and Karpaty (fifth) are 10 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Karpaty the stronger side, 277 rating points above Chornomorets (Karpaty 1726, Chornomorets 1449, after at least 158 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 30 March 2025, finished Karpaty 4–0 Chornomorets.

Team news

Predicted Chornomorets XI (4-2-3-1): C. Aniagboso, M. Jarju, M. Farina, O. Gusev, M. Melnychenko, K. Popov, G. Robakidze, V. Faraseyenko, O. Pushkarev, A. Avagimian, C. Mba — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, C. Aniagboso (2.3 per match over four appearances) and K. Popov (1.8 per match over four appearances, two goals) have been Chornomorets’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Chornomorets (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), C. Aniagboso averages 0.0 saves per 90 over 360 minutes. K. Popov averages 0.0 key passes per 90 over 298 minutes.

Predicted Karpaty XI (4-3-3): R. Mysak, V. Baboglo, I. Calero, J. Pedroso, R. Vantukh, A. Chachua, Moha, F. Vieira, J. Sery, N. Rusyn, X. Alkain — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, R. Mysak (4.1 per match over three appearances) and Xeber Alkain (1.9 per match over four appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Karpaty’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Karpaty (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), R. Mysak averages 2.7 saves per 90 over 270 minutes. Xeber Alkain averages 0.3 key passes per 90 over 346 minutes.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Premier League – Ukraine · Stadion Chornomorets
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Chornomorets 1 · draws 1 · Karpaty 4 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Chornomorets 0W 2D 3L · Karpaty 1W 2D 2L

Chornomorets v Karpaty (Premier League – Ukraine): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 22 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

246
Markets analysed

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Chornomorets v Karpaty — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ChornomoretsDLDLL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
KarpatyLWDLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Chornomorets 1 · 1 draw · Karpaty 4 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2025-03-30 Karpaty 4–0 Chornomorets
  • 2024-09-21 Chornomorets 0–1 Karpaty
  • 2019-05-21 Chornomorets 3–1 Karpaty
  • 2019-04-23 Karpaty 0–0 Chornomorets
  • 2018-10-28 Chornomorets 0–5 Karpaty
  • 2018-07-29 Karpaty 1–0 Chornomorets
League standing · 2026/27
Chornomorets#14 pos5 pts8 pl-6 GD
Karpaty#5 pos15 pts9 pl+9 GD
Goals per game
Chornomorets scored0.63
Karpaty scored1.89
Chornomorets conceded1.38
Karpaty conceded0.89

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 246 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Chornomorets v Karpaty?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Chornomorets v Karpaty is Away win (best price 1.50 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Chornomorets and Karpaty?
In their last 6 meetings, Chornomorets won 1, Karpaty won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Chornomorets and Karpaty?
Recent form — Chornomorets 0W 2D 3L; Karpaty 1W 2D 2L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →