Colwyn Bay v GAP Connah S Quay FC result

Full-time · Colwyn Bay 1–1 GAP Connah S Quay FC

Premier League – Wales ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Colwyn Bay 1–1 GAP Connah S Quay FC — this Premier League – Wales match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67.7% of 1351 landed (95% range 65.1–70.1%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Colwyn Bay and GAP Connah S Quay FC drew 1–1 in the Cymru Premier on Sunday 10 August. Colwyn Bay have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — GAP Connah S Quay FC: J. Oswell (27’); Colwyn Bay: N. Peate (36’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with N. Peate’s goal on 36 minutes.

What it changes

GAP Connah S Quay FC are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or GAP Connah S Quay FC, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.7% of the time in the last 90 days (914 of 1351).

Next up

Colwyn Bay next host Cardiff MET on 23 October 2026.

GAP Connah S Quay FC next host Llandudno on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Colwyn Bay: Colwyn Bay v Cardiff MET, Friday 23 October — the preview. Next for GAP Connah S Quay FC: GAP Connah S Quay FC v Llandudno, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Colwyn Bay 1–1 GAP Connah S Quay FC · Premier League – Wales
  • Referee: John Andrew Jones
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Colwyn Bay 0 · draws 0 · GAP Connah S Quay FC 2 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Colwyn Bay 2W 0D 3L · GAP Connah S Quay FC 2W 1D 2L

Colwyn Bay 1–1 GAP Connah S Quay FC (Premier League – Wales): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

19
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Colwyn Bay v GAP Connah S Quay FC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Colwyn BayLLWLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2 conceded per game
GAP Connah S Quay FCWWLLD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Colwyn Bay 0 · 0 draws · GAP Connah S Quay FC 2 · 4 goals/game
  • 2023-11-29 Colwyn Bay 2–3 GAP Connah S Quay FC
  • 2023-09-26 GAP Connah S Quay FC 2–1 Colwyn Bay
League standing · 2025/26
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Colwyn Bay#5 pos45 pts32 pl+4 GD
GAP Connah S Quay FC#2 pos58 pts32 pl+23 GD
Goals per game
Colwyn Bay scored1.28
GAP Connah S Quay FC scored1.91
Colwyn Bay conceded1.16
GAP Connah S Quay FC conceded1.19

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Colwyn Bay v GAP Connah S Quay FC?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Colwyn Bay v GAP Connah S Quay FC was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Colwyn Bay and GAP Connah S Quay FC?
In their last 2 meetings, Colwyn Bay won 0, GAP Connah S Quay FC won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Colwyn Bay and GAP Connah S Quay FC?
Recent form — Colwyn Bay 2W 0D 3L; GAP Connah S Quay FC 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s boards

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