Everton v Liverpool prediction

Premier League · · Hill Dickinson Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Everton v Liverpool, Premier League on Sat, 28 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Everton host Liverpool in the Premier League on Saturday 28 November (kick-off 15:00 UK).

Form and the table

Eight of Everton’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Everton’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Everton have three wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 1.50. Everton have scored eight goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Everton have conceded seven goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

10 of Liverpool’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Liverpool’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Liverpool have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.86 points per game, scoring 2.43 and conceding 1.86. Liverpool have scored nine goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Liverpool have conceded eight goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Liverpool have won their last three matches in all competitions. Everton (eighth) and Liverpool (fifth) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Liverpool the stronger side, 159 rating points above Everton (Liverpool 1712, Everton 1553, after at least 349 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Liverpool are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Everton. The most recent meeting, on 19 April 2026, finished Everton 1–2 Liverpool.

Team news

Predicted Everton XI (4-2-3-1): J. Pickford, J. Tarkowski, J. Branthwaite, V. Mykolenko, A. Maitland-Niles, K. Dewsbury-Hall, H. Armstrong, J. Garner, T. George, J. Grealish, T. Barry — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Thierno Barry (5.4 per match over nine appearances, six goals and one assist) and James Tarkowski (5.1 per match over eight appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Everton’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Everton (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Thierno Barry averages 3.4 shots per 90 over 735 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last nine appearances. James Tarkowski averages 1.8 tackles per 90 over 720 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last eight appearances.

Predicted Liverpool XI (4-2-3-1): A. Becker, V. van Dijk, J. Jacquet, M. Kerkez, R. Araújo, F. Wirtz, A. Mac Allister, D. Szoboszlai, V. Muñoz, C. Gakpo, A. Isak — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Cody Gakpo (7.0 per match over seven appearances, two goals and five assists) and Florian Wirtz (4.6 per match over 10 appearances, one goal and three assists) have been Liverpool’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Liverpool (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Cody Gakpo averages 1.6 shots per 90 over 1327 minutes, with a shot in five of the last 10 appearances. Florian Wirtz averages 3.1 key passes per 90 over 1656 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Premier League · Hill Dickinson Stadium
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Everton 1 · draws 1 · Liverpool 4 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Everton 2W 2D 1L · Liverpool 4W 0D 1L

Everton v Liverpool (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 2.25
Goals
against 0.88 / 1.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.38 / 6.5
Corners
against 5.13 / 4.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.75 / 5.38
Shots on target
against 3.63 / 3.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 1.75
Cards
against 2.25 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameEverton for / againstLineLiverpool for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.5standard
2.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
5.38 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
6.5 for · 4.88 against n 8
Shots
16.25 for · 12 against n 8
19.5standard
16.75 for · 12 against n 8
Shots on target
5.75 for · 3.63 against n 8
8.5standard
5.38 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.25 for · 11.75 against n 8
21.5standard
12.25 for · 9.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 2 against n 8
Everton
Everton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Alcaraz n 87.6
32/0
4.43/0
—
T. Iroegbunam n 848.9
2.58/2
0.21/0
—
H. Hackney n 831.8
1.83/1
1.11/1
—
Adam Aznou Ben Cheikh n 840.9
1.75/1
2.55/2
—
Beto n 826.5
1.73/1
00/0
—
Everton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Alcaraz n 87.6
7.45/0
32/0
T. Barry n 882
3.68/8
2.37/5
Beto n 826.5
36/1
0.41/0
I. Ndiaye n 864.5
2.15/4
0.73/1
T. Dibling n 836.6
1.83/2
0.92/1
Everton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Alcaraz n 87.6
1.51/0
00/0
T. Barry n 882
0.73/1
0.11/0
A. Maitland-Niles n 869
0.21/0
0.32/0
Christian Nørgaard n 852.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
H. Hackney n 831.8
00/0
0.41/0
Everton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Iroegbunam n 848.9
36/4
C. Alcaraz n 87.6
32/0
Adam Aznou Ben Cheikh n 840.9
2.86/3
James Garner n 864.6
2.66/2
Christian Nørgaard n 852.9
2.66/4
Everton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Pickford n 890
25/2
Liverpool
Liverpool — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Chiesa n 89.5
3.63/0
2.42/0
—
J. McConnell n 833.4
2.45/1
23/2
—
J. Gomez n 824.1
2.33/2
00/0
—
L. Koumas n 860.4
26/4
0.73/1
—
Víctor Muñoz n 842.9
1.84/2
1.64/2
—
Liverpool — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Wirtz n 870.9
2.96/4
13/3
Víctor Muñoz n 842.9
2.97/2
1.34/1
B. Barcola n 855.3
2.64/4
1.23/1
A. Mac Allister n 867.1
2.55/5
14/2
A. Isak n 865
2.48/5
15/1
Liverpool — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Gakpo n 871
0.32/0
0.84/1
A. Isak n 865
0.94/1
0.21/0
B. Barcola n 855.3
0.61/1
0.21/0
Jeremie Frimpong n 851.4
0.21/0
0.41/1
K. Tsimikas n 874.1
00/0
0.63/1
Liverpool — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Gomez n 824.1
3.33/1
Jérémy Jacquet n 878.6
3.17/7
T. Nyoni n 844.3
2.86/3
Jeremie Frimpong n 851.4
2.25/2
J. McConnell n 833.4
25/1
Liverpool — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Mamardashvili n 886
3.98/5
Alisson Becker n 890
2.35/3

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Everton v Liverpool — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
EvertonDWWDL
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 0.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
LiverpoolWLWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.6 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Everton 1 · 1 draw · Liverpool 4 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-04-19 Everton 1–2 Liverpool
  • 2025-09-20 Liverpool 2–1 Everton
  • 2025-04-02 Liverpool 1–0 Everton
  • 2025-02-12 Everton 2–2 Liverpool
  • 2024-04-24 Everton 2–0 Liverpool
  • 2023-10-21 Liverpool 2–0 Everton
League standing · 2026/27
Everton#8 pos10 pts7 pl+1 GD
Liverpool#5 pos12 pts7 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
Everton scored1.14
Liverpool scored1.29
Everton conceded1
Liverpool conceded1.14

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Everton and Liverpool?
In their last 6 meetings, Everton won 1, Liverpool won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Everton and Liverpool?
Recent form — Everton 2W 2D 1L; Liverpool 4W 0D 1L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →