Haverfordwest County AFC v Caernarfon Town result

Full-time · Haverfordwest County AFC 1–2 Caernarfon Town

Premier League – Wales · · Bridge Meadow Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Haverfordwest County AFC 1–2 Caernarfon Town — Caernarfon Town won this Premier League – Wales match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away win.

Free pick
Away win
Best price: 1.65 at William Hill
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Away win in the last 90 days, 85.4% of 103 landed (95% range 77.4–91%); it had given them 76% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Caernarfon Town won 2–1 at Bridge Meadow Stadium in the Cymru Premier on Friday 9 October. Haverfordwest County AFC have lost their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

Caernarfon Town led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Caernarfon Town: Z. Clarke (12’ pen) and S. Bradley (85’); Haverfordwest County AFC: B. Ahmun (83’). L. Rees (80’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with S. Bradley’s goal on 85 minutes.

What it changes

Haverfordwest County AFC stay 12th after this result (13 league matches played).

Caernarfon Town move up from fifth to fourth (13 league matches played).

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Caernarfon Town to win, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Haverfordwest County AFC next travel to Barry Town on 24 October 2026.

Caernarfon Town next host Briton Ferry on 23 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Haverfordwest County AFC: Barry Town v Haverfordwest County AFC, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Caernarfon Town: Caernarfon Town v Briton Ferry, Friday 23 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Haverfordwest County AFC 1–2 Caernarfon Town · Premier League – Wales
  • Venue: Bridge Meadow Stadium · Haverfordwest
  • Referee: A. Jones
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Haverfordwest County AFC 1 · draws 5 · Caernarfon Town 0 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Haverfordwest County AFC 2W 0D 3L · Caernarfon Town 2W 2D 1L

Haverfordwest County AFC 1–2 Caernarfon Town (Premier League – Wales): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 22 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

19
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Haverfordwest County AFC v Caernarfon Town — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Haverfordwest County AFCWWLLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 0.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Caernarfon TownWDWDL
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 3.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Haverfordwest County AFC 1 · 5 draws · Caernarfon Town 0 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2025-11-08 Caernarfon Town 2–2 Haverfordwest County AFC
  • 2025-08-30 Haverfordwest County AFC 1–1 Caernarfon Town
  • 2025-05-18 Haverfordwest County AFC 3–1 Caernarfon Town
  • 2025-03-29 Haverfordwest County AFC 1–1 Caernarfon Town
  • 2025-02-08 Caernarfon Town 1–1 Haverfordwest County AFC
  • 2024-10-26 Haverfordwest County AFC 0–0 Caernarfon Town
League standing · 2026/27
Haverfordwest County AFC#12 pos10 pts13 pl-11 GD
Caernarfon Town#4 pos26 pts13 pl+22 GD
Goals per game
Haverfordwest County AFC scored0.62
Caernarfon Town scored2.85
Haverfordwest County AFC conceded1.46
Caernarfon Town conceded1.15

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Haverfordwest County AFC v Caernarfon Town?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Haverfordwest County AFC v Caernarfon Town was Away win (best price 1.65 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Haverfordwest County AFC and Caernarfon Town?
In their last 6 meetings, Haverfordwest County AFC won 1, Caernarfon Town won 0 and there were 5 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Haverfordwest County AFC and Caernarfon Town?
Recent form — Haverfordwest County AFC 2W 0D 3L; Caernarfon Town 2W 2D 1L.

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