Leeds v Brighton prediction
Team pages: Leeds · Brighton · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Leeds v Brighton, Premier League on Sat, 13 Mar 2027 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Leeds host Brighton in the Premier League on Saturday 13 March (kick-off 15:00 UK).
The key numbers
Brighton have scored 23 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Brighton have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions. Brighton have kept a clean sheet in their last four matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Six of Leeds’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in nine of Leeds’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Leeds have three wins, three draws and no defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.67 and conceding 0.67. Leeds have scored nine goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Leeds have conceded six goals, the third-fewest of the 20 clubs.
11 of Brighton’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in four of Brighton’s last 15 results in all competitions (27%). Away from home, Brighton have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.43. Brighton have conceded five goals, the fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Leeds are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Brighton are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions. Leeds (seventh) and Brighton (third) are six points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Brighton the stronger side, 198 rating points above Leeds (Brighton 1874, Leeds 1676, after at least 159 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 5 September 2026, finished Brighton 1–1 Leeds.
Team news
Predicted Leeds XI (3-4-2-1): J. Trafford, T. Muharemović, N. Elvedi, J. Justin, E. Ampadu, J. Bogle, A. Stach, G. Gudmundsson, A. Tanaka, N. Okafor, D. Calvert-Lewin — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, James Justin (4.9 per match over nine appearances, two goals) and Tarik Muharemović (4.2 per match over nine appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Leeds’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Leeds (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), James Justin averages 3.0 tackles per 90 over 799 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last nine appearances. Tarik Muharemović averages 0.9 tackles per 90 over 1430 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Brighton XI (4-2-3-1): B. Verbruggen, L. Vušković, F. Kadıoğlu, O. Boscagli, L. Dunk, D. Gómez, P. Groß, M. De Cuyper, Y. Ayari, J. Baixauli, C. Kostoulas — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Mats Wieffer (5.8 per match over four appearances, one goal) and Pascal Groß (5.1 per match over 11 appearances, four goals and four assists) have been Brighton’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Brighton (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Mats Wieffer averages 2.7 tackles per 90 over 362 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last five appearances. Pascal Groß averages 3.9 key passes per 90 over 1026 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Premier League · Elland Road
- Head-to-head (last 6): Leeds 1 · draws 3 · Brighton 2 · 2.17 goals/game
- Recent form: Leeds 1W 2D 2L · Brighton 5W 0D 0L
Leeds v Brighton (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Leeds for / against | Line | Brighton for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 3.25 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.13 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 6.38 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 13 for · 13.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 19.63 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.5 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 6.25 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.13 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.88 for · 9.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.88 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.25 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
Leeds
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Stach n 8 | 63 | 2.3 | 0.9 | — |
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin n 8 | 58.3 | 2.3 | 1.2 | — |
| A. Tanaka n 8 | 55.8 | 2.2 | 0.8 | — |
| E. Ampadu n 8 | 90 | 2 | 0.5 | — |
| S. Longstaff n 8 | 26.8 | 1.7 | 0.8 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Tanaka n 8 | 55.8 | 2.2 | 0.4 |
| D. James n 8 | 45.5 | 2.2 | 1 |
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin n 8 | 58.3 | 1.9 | 1.4 |
| L. Nmecha n 8 | 30 | 1.9 | 0 |
| S. Longstaff n 8 | 26.8 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin n 8 | 58.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| L. Nmecha n 8 | 30 | 0 | 0.8 |
| H. Wilson n 8 | 37 | 0 | 0.6 |
| D. James n 8 | 45.5 | 0.5 | 0 |
| T. Muharemović n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Justin n 8 | 88.6 | 2.7 |
| A. Stach n 8 | 63 | 2.1 |
| E. Ampadu n 8 | 90 | 1.9 |
| A. Tanaka n 8 | 55.8 | 1.8 |
| M. Bard n 8 | 67.6 | 1.7 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Zetterer n 8 | 90 | 4.3 |
| J. Trafford n 8 | 90 | 3.4 |
Brighton
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| José María Andrés Baixauli n 8 | 60.5 | 2.4 | 0.7 | — |
| M. Svoboda n 8 | 69 | 2.3 | 0.7 | — |
| P. David n 8 | 29.3 | 2.3 | 0.8 | — |
| J. Hadjam n 8 | 48.6 | 1.9 | 0.9 | — |
| L. Vušković n 8 | 78.8 | 1.7 | 1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P. David n 8 | 29.3 | 4.6 | 0.8 |
| C. Kostoulas n 8 | 66 | 3.1 | 1.2 |
| J. Hinshelwood n 8 | 60.5 | 3 | 2.2 |
| M. O'Riley n 8 | 34.8 | 2.3 | 1 |
| I. Osman n 8 | 46.6 | 2.2 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| G. Rutter n 8 | 40.6 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| J. Hinshelwood n 8 | 60.5 | 1.1 | 0 |
| P. Groß n 8 | 83.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| C. Kostoulas n 8 | 66 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| P. David n 8 | 29.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| D. Gómez n 8 | 80.3 | 3.1 |
| J. Hadjam n 8 | 48.6 | 2.5 |
| M. De Cuyper n 8 | 64.9 | 2.4 |
| M. Wieffer n 8 | 64.4 | 2.3 |
| M. Svoboda n 8 | 69 | 2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Jason Steele n 8 | 90 | 3.6 |
| B. Verbruggen n 8 | 90 | 2.3 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Leeds v Brighton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-09-05 Brighton 1–1 Leeds
- 2026-05-17 Leeds 1–0 Brighton
- 2025-11-01 Brighton 3–0 Leeds
- 2023-03-11 Leeds 2–2 Brighton
- 2022-08-27 Brighton 1–0 Leeds
- 2022-05-15 Leeds 1–1 Brighton
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Leeds and Brighton?
- In their last 6 meetings, Leeds won 1, Brighton won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Leeds and Brighton?
- Recent form — Leeds 1W 2D 2L; Brighton 5W 0D 0L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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