Leeds v Ipswich prediction

Premier League · · Elland Road

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Leeds v Ipswich, Premier League on Sat, 05 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Leeds host Ipswich in the Premier League on Saturday 5 December (kick-off 15:00 UK).

Form and the table

Six of Leeds’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in nine of Leeds’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Leeds have three wins, three draws and no defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.67 and conceding 0.67. Leeds have scored nine goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Leeds have conceded six goals, the third-fewest of the 20 clubs.

11 of Ipswich’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 10 of Ipswich’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Ipswich have two wins, two draws and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 2.00. Ipswich have scored 11 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Ipswich have conceded 15 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs.

Leeds are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Leeds (seventh) and Ipswich (10th) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Leeds the stronger side, 229 rating points above Ipswich (Leeds 1676, Ipswich 1447, after at least 45 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 23 December 2023, finished Leeds 4–0 Ipswich.

Team news

Predicted Leeds XI (3-4-2-1): J. Trafford, T. Muharemović, N. Elvedi, J. Justin, E. Ampadu, J. Bogle, A. Stach, G. Gudmundsson, A. Tanaka, N. Okafor, D. Calvert-Lewin — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, James Justin (4.9 per match over nine appearances, two goals) and Tarik Muharemović (4.2 per match over nine appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Leeds’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Leeds (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), James Justin averages 3.0 tackles per 90 over 799 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last nine appearances. Tarik Muharemović averages 0.9 tackles per 90 over 1430 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Ipswich XI (4-2-3-1): K. Scherpen, D. O'Shea, I. Diop, L. Davis, J. Greaves, J. Enciso, S. Lukić, E. Palacios, D. Maeda, A. Fatawu, Emersonn — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Marcelino Núñez (4.9 per match over four appearances, two goals) and Dara O'Shea (4.0 per match over eight appearances, one goal) have been Ipswich’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Ipswich (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Marcelino Núñez averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 359 minutes, with a key pass in two of the last five appearances. Dara O'Shea averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 1215 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Premier League · Elland Road
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Leeds 4 · draws 0 · Ipswich 2 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Leeds 1W 2D 2L · Ipswich 2W 0D 3L

Leeds v Ipswich (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.5 / 2.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 3.5
Corners
against 4 / 4.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 5
Shots on target
against 4.88 / 6.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 2.5
Cards
against 2.5 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameLeeds for / againstLineIpswich for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.5standard
1.75 for · 2.38 against n 8
Corners won
4.13 for · 4 against n 8
9.5standard
3.5 for · 4.13 against n 8
Shots
13 for · 13.75 against n 8
19.5standard
11.25 for · 17.63 against n 8
Shots on target
4.5 for · 4.88 against n 8
8.5standard
5 for · 6.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.13 for · 11.13 against n 8
21.5standard
11.5 for · 9.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 2.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2.5 for · 1.88 against n 8
Leeds
Leeds — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Stach n 863
2.36/4
0.93/2
—
Dominic Calvert-Lewin n 858.3
2.36/3
1.24/2
—
A. Tanaka n 855.8
2.25/4
0.84/0
—
E. Ampadu n 890
26/5
0.53/1
—
S. Longstaff n 826.8
1.73/1
0.82/0
—
Leeds — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Tanaka n 855.8
2.25/4
0.42/0
D. James n 845.5
2.26/3
12/2
Dominic Calvert-Lewin n 858.3
1.95/3
1.45/2
L. Nmecha n 830
1.94/1
00/0
S. Longstaff n 826.8
1.73/1
0.82/0
Leeds — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Dominic Calvert-Lewin n 858.3
0.63/0
0.21/0
L. Nmecha n 830
00/0
0.82/0
H. Wilson n 837
00/0
0.62/0
D. James n 845.5
0.52/0
00/0
T. Muharemović n 890
0.11/0
0.32/0
Leeds — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Justin n 888.6
2.78/6
A. Stach n 863
2.16/5
E. Ampadu n 890
1.97/5
A. Tanaka n 855.8
1.85/4
M. Bard n 867.6
1.75/3
Leeds — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Zetterer n 890
4.38/5
J. Trafford n 890
3.48/5
Ipswich
Ipswich — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Z. Flemming n 830.1
37/1
1.52/2
—
S. Lukić n 862.1
2.77/4
0.53/0
—
Kasey McAteer n 840.5
2.56/1
1.43/1
—
A. Fatawu n 856.1
2.26/2
2.67/5
—
Cédric Kipré n 860.5
1.55/2
0.62/1
—
Ipswich — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Z. Flemming n 830.1
4.16/3
1.93/2
Jaden Philogene-Bidace n 850
2.96/4
2.36/3
Emersonn n 860.9
2.45/5
0.73/1
Kasey McAteer n 840.5
2.25/2
1.74/2
J. Enciso n 881.1
2.17/5
0.74/1
Ipswich — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Chuba Akpom n 829.5
0.82/0
0.41/0
Jack Clarke n 838.8
0.31/0
0.93/0
Z. Flemming n 830.1
0.72/0
00/0
Emersonn n 860.9
0.42/0
0.21/0
Leif Davis n 873.6
0.32/0
0.32/0
Ipswich — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Florentino n 862.5
3.47/5
E. Palacios n 862
3.47/5
S. Lukić n 862.1
2.76/4
A. Fatawu n 856.1
2.25/4
Dara O'Shea n 890
27/4
Ipswich — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Christian Walton n 890
3.67/5
K. Scherpen n 890
2.55/2

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Leeds v Ipswich — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LeedsLWDLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.8 scored / 2 conceded per game
IpswichWLLWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.8 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Leeds 4 · 0 draws · Ipswich 2 · 4 goals/game
  • 2023-12-23 Leeds 4–0 Ipswich
  • 2023-08-26 Ipswich 3–4 Leeds
  • 2019-05-05 Ipswich 3–2 Leeds
  • 2018-10-24 Leeds 2–0 Ipswich
  • 2018-01-13 Ipswich 1–0 Leeds
  • 2017-09-23 Leeds 3–2 Ipswich
League standing · 2026/27
Leeds#7 pos10 pts7 pl+3 GD
Ipswich#10 pos9 pts7 pl-4 GD
Goals per game
Leeds scored1.29
Ipswich scored1.57
Leeds conceded0.86
Ipswich conceded2.14

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Leeds and Ipswich?
In their last 6 meetings, Leeds won 4, Ipswich won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Leeds and Ipswich?
Recent form — Leeds 1W 2D 2L; Ipswich 2W 0D 3L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →