Leeds v Nottingham Forest prediction
Team pages: Leeds · Nottingham Forest · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Leeds v Nottingham Forest, Premier League on Sat, 10 Apr 2027 15:00 BST posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Leeds host Nottingham Forest in the Premier League on Saturday 10 April (kick-off 15:00 UK).
The key numbers
Nottingham Forest have scored five goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Form and the table
Six of Leeds’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in nine of Leeds’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Leeds have three wins, three draws and no defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.67 and conceding 0.67. Leeds have scored nine goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Leeds have conceded six goals, the third-fewest of the 20 clubs.
Seven of Nottingham Forest’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Nottingham Forest’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Nottingham Forest have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 2.14 and conceding 2.00. Nottingham Forest have conceded nine goals, the ninth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Leeds are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Nottingham Forest have lost their last three matches in all competitions. Leeds (seventh) and Nottingham Forest (19th) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Leeds the stronger side, 148 rating points above Nottingham Forest (Leeds 1676, Nottingham Forest 1528, after at least 159 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
Leeds are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Nottingham Forest. The most recent meeting, on 25 August 2026, finished Nottingham Forest 0–2 Leeds.
Team news
Predicted Leeds XI (3-4-2-1): J. Trafford, T. Muharemović, N. Elvedi, J. Justin, E. Ampadu, J. Bogle, A. Stach, G. Gudmundsson, A. Tanaka, N. Okafor, D. Calvert-Lewin — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, James Justin (4.9 per match over nine appearances, two goals) and Tarik Muharemović (4.2 per match over nine appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Leeds’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Leeds (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), James Justin averages 3.0 tackles per 90 over 799 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last nine appearances. Tarik Muharemović averages 0.9 tackles per 90 over 1430 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Nottingham Forest XI (3-4-2-1): M. Sels, Murillo, Jair, O. Diomande, N. Williams, J. McAtee, X. Schlager, D. Muñoz, O. Aina, I. Sangaré, M. Gibbs-White — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Morgan Gibbs-White (4.7 per match over six appearances, one goal and two assists) and Xaver Schlager (3.6 per match over eight appearances) have been Nottingham Forest’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Nottingham Forest (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Morgan Gibbs-White averages 1.4 shots per 90 over 591 minutes, with a shot in five of the last 10 appearances. Xaver Schlager averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 1361 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Premier League · Elland Road
- Head-to-head (last 6): Leeds 4 · draws 0 · Nottingham Forest 2 · 2.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Leeds 1W 2D 2L · Nottingham Forest 1W 1D 3L
Leeds v Nottingham Forest (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Leeds for / against | Line | Nottingham Forest for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 0.63 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.13 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.5 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 13 for · 13.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 16 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.5 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.5 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.13 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 14.25 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.88 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.5 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
Leeds
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Stach n 8 | 63 | 2.3 | 0.9 | — |
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin n 8 | 58.3 | 2.3 | 1.2 | — |
| A. Tanaka n 8 | 55.8 | 2.2 | 0.8 | — |
| E. Ampadu n 8 | 90 | 2 | 0.5 | — |
| S. Longstaff n 8 | 26.8 | 1.7 | 0.8 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Tanaka n 8 | 55.8 | 2.2 | 0.4 |
| D. James n 8 | 45.5 | 2.2 | 1 |
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin n 8 | 58.3 | 1.9 | 1.4 |
| L. Nmecha n 8 | 30 | 1.9 | 0 |
| S. Longstaff n 8 | 26.8 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin n 8 | 58.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| L. Nmecha n 8 | 30 | 0 | 0.8 |
| H. Wilson n 8 | 37 | 0 | 0.6 |
| D. James n 8 | 45.5 | 0.5 | 0 |
| T. Muharemović n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Justin n 8 | 88.6 | 2.7 |
| A. Stach n 8 | 63 | 2.1 |
| E. Ampadu n 8 | 90 | 1.9 |
| A. Tanaka n 8 | 55.8 | 1.8 |
| M. Bard n 8 | 67.6 | 1.7 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Zetterer n 8 | 90 | 4.3 |
| J. Trafford n 8 | 90 | 3.4 |
Nottingham Forest
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Muñoz n 8 | 62 | 2.4 | 0.9 | — |
| X. Schlager n 8 | 87 | 1.8 | 1.4 | — |
| L. Delap n 8 | 68.3 | 1.8 | 1.3 | — |
| Murillo n 8 | 82.3 | 1.5 | 0.3 | — |
| Igor Jesus n 8 | 61.3 | 1.5 | 2 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Ndoye n 8 | 76.6 | 3.7 | 1.9 |
| L. Delap n 8 | 68.3 | 2.6 | 0.5 |
| C. Wood n 8 | 33.1 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| N. Williams n 8 | 90 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| Igor Jesus n 8 | 61.3 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Ndoye n 8 | 76.6 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| C. Hudson-Odoi n 8 | 35.8 | 0 | 0.6 |
| O. Hutchinson n 8 | 44.3 | 0 | 0.5 |
| L. Delap n 8 | 68.3 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Igor Jesus n 8 | 61.3 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| N. Domínguez n 8 | 55 | 3.3 |
| I. Sangaré n 8 | 50.9 | 3.3 |
| L. Netz n 8 | 44.1 | 3.3 |
| X. Schlager n 8 | 87 | 3.1 |
| O. Aina n 8 | 77.3 | 2.6 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Sels n 8 | 90 | 2.3 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Leeds v Nottingham Forest — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-08-25 Nottingham Forest 0–2 Leeds
- 2026-08-22 Nottingham Forest 0–1 Leeds
- 2026-02-06 Leeds 3–1 Nottingham Forest
- 2025-11-09 Nottingham Forest 3–1 Leeds
- 2023-04-04 Leeds 2–1 Nottingham Forest
- 2023-02-05 Nottingham Forest 1–0 Leeds
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Leeds and Nottingham Forest?
- In their last 6 meetings, Leeds won 4, Nottingham Forest won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Leeds and Nottingham Forest?
- Recent form — Leeds 1W 2D 2L; Nottingham Forest 1W 1D 3L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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