Nottingham Forest v Arsenal prediction

The match

Nottingham Forest host Arsenal in the Premier League on Sunday 18 October (kick-off 16:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Arsenal are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Nottingham Forest, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Eight of Nottingham Forest’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Nottingham Forest’s last 15 results (53%). At home, Nottingham Forest have two wins, three draws and three defeats in their last 8 home matches — 1.13 points per game, scoring 0.88 and conceding 0.88. Nottingham Forest have scored five goals, the third-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Nottingham Forest have conceded eight goals, the ninth-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Eight of Arsenal’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in five of Arsenal’s last 15 results (33%). Away from home, Arsenal have six wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 8 away matches — 2.38 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 0.88. Arsenal have scored 10 goals, the fifth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Arsenal have conceded five goals, the fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Nottingham Forest (14th) and Arsenal (second) are 10 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Arsenal the stronger side, 366 rating points above Nottingham Forest (Arsenal 1862, Nottingham Forest 1495, after at least 158 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 17 January 2026, finished Nottingham Forest 0–0 Arsenal.

Team news

Nottingham Forest have four names on the availability list: N. Savona (out, Knee Injury), R. Yates (out, Injury), I. Sangare (out, Calf Injury) and N. Milenkovic (out, Knee Injury) — the most recent squad report TACTIX holds (2026-10-12). Predicted Nottingham Forest XI (3-4-2-1): M. Sels, Murillo, Jair, O. Diomande, N. Williams, J. McAtee, X. Schlager, D. Muñoz, O. Aina, L. Delap, M. Gibbs-White — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Morgan Gibbs-White (4.8 per match over six appearances, one goal and two assists) and Neco Williams (3.4 per match over seven appearances) have been Nottingham Forest’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Nottingham Forest (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Morgan Gibbs-White averages 2.9 key passes per 90 over 591 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. Neco Williams averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 1246 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Arsenal have four names on the availability list: Bruno Guimaraes (out, Thigh Injury), W. Saliba (out, Back Injury), J. Timber (out, Ankle Injury) and G. Martinelli (out, Transfer negotiations) — the most recent squad report TACTIX holds (2026-10-12). Predicted Arsenal XI (4-2-3-1): D. Raya, G. Magalhães, R. Calafiori, E. Konsa, N. Madueke, B. Saka, D. Rice, M. Ødegaard, M. Lewis-Skelly, M. Merino, K. Havertz — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Bukayo Saka (4.8 per match over eight appearances, three goals) and David Raya (4.2 per match over eight appearances) have been Arsenal’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Arsenal (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Bukayo Saka averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 1239 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. David Raya averages 2.3 saves per 90 over 872 minutes, with two or more saves in six of the last 10 appearances.