Nottingham Forest v Brighton prediction

Premier League · · City Ground

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Nottingham Forest · Brighton · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Nottingham Forest v Brighton, Premier League on Sat, 05 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Nottingham Forest host Brighton in the Premier League on Saturday 5 December (kick-off 15:00 UK).

The key numbers

Nottingham Forest have scored five goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Brighton have scored 23 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Brighton have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of Nottingham Forest’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Nottingham Forest’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Nottingham Forest have one win, three draws and four defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 0.75 points per game, scoring 0.38 and conceding 0.88. Nottingham Forest have conceded nine goals, the ninth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

11 of Brighton’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in four of Brighton’s last 15 results in all competitions (27%). Away from home, Brighton have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.43. Brighton have conceded five goals, the fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Nottingham Forest have lost their last three matches in all competitions. Brighton are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions. Brighton have kept a clean sheet in their last four matches in all competitions. Nottingham Forest (19th) and Brighton (third) are 11 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Brighton the stronger side, 346 rating points above Nottingham Forest (Brighton 1874, Nottingham Forest 1528, after at least 159 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Brighton are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Nottingham Forest. The most recent meeting, on 1 March 2026, finished Brighton 2–1 Nottingham Forest.

Team news

Predicted Nottingham Forest XI (3-4-2-1): M. Sels, Murillo, Jair, O. Diomande, N. Williams, J. McAtee, X. Schlager, D. Muñoz, O. Aina, I. Sangaré, M. Gibbs-White — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Morgan Gibbs-White (4.7 per match over six appearances, one goal and two assists) and Xaver Schlager (3.6 per match over eight appearances) have been Nottingham Forest’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Nottingham Forest (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Morgan Gibbs-White averages 1.4 shots per 90 over 591 minutes, with a shot in five of the last 10 appearances. Xaver Schlager averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 1361 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Brighton XI (4-2-3-1): B. Verbruggen, L. Vušković, F. Kadıoğlu, O. Boscagli, L. Dunk, D. Gómez, P. Groß, M. De Cuyper, Y. Ayari, J. Baixauli, C. Kostoulas — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Mats Wieffer (5.8 per match over four appearances, one goal) and Pascal Groß (5.1 per match over 11 appearances, four goals and four assists) have been Brighton’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Brighton (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Mats Wieffer averages 2.7 tackles per 90 over 362 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last five appearances. Pascal Groß averages 3.9 key passes per 90 over 1026 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Premier League · City Ground
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Nottingham Forest 1 · draws 2 · Brighton 3 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Nottingham Forest 1W 1D 3L · Brighton 5W 0D 0L

Nottingham Forest v Brighton (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.63 / 3.25
Goals
against 1.38 / 0.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 6.38
Corners
against 4.5 / 4.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.5 / 6.25
Shots on target
against 3.5 / 3.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.5 / 2.25
Cards
against 1.88 / 1 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameNottingham Forest for / againstLineBrighton for / against
Goals scored
0.63 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
3.25 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.5 for · 4.5 against n 8
9.5standard
6.38 for · 4.63 against n 8
Shots
16 for · 10.88 against n 8
19.5standard
19.63 for · 10.63 against n 8
Shots on target
3.5 for · 3.5 against n 8
8.5standard
6.25 for · 3.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.25 for · 11.63 against n 8
21.5standard
12.88 for · 9.25 against n 8
Cards shown
2.5 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 1 against n 8
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Muñoz n 862
2.46/3
0.93/1
—
X. Schlager n 887
1.88/5
1.46/3
—
L. Delap n 868.3
1.86/4
1.36/2
—
Murillo n 882.3
1.55/2
0.32/0
—
Igor Jesus n 861.3
1.55/1
27/2
—
Nottingham Forest — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Ndoye n 876.6
3.78/8
1.96/4
L. Delap n 868.3
2.66/4
0.53/0
C. Wood n 833.1
1.44/0
0.72/0
N. Williams n 890
1.36/3
0.43/0
Igor Jesus n 861.3
1.36/1
1.16/0
Nottingham Forest — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Ndoye n 876.6
0.43/0
0.42/1
C. Hudson-Odoi n 835.8
00/0
0.62/0
O. Hutchinson n 844.3
00/0
0.52/0
L. Delap n 868.3
0.21/0
00/0
Igor Jesus n 861.3
0.21/0
00/0
Nottingham Forest — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Domínguez n 855
3.37/6
I. Sangaré n 850.9
3.35/3
L. Netz n 844.1
3.35/2
X. Schlager n 887
3.17/5
O. Aina n 877.3
2.66/6
Nottingham Forest — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Sels n 890
2.36/3
Brighton
Brighton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
José María Andrés Baixauli n 860.5
2.47/5
0.73/1
—
M. Svoboda n 869
2.36/3
0.73/1
—
P. David n 829.3
2.34/2
0.82/0
—
J. Hadjam n 848.6
1.94/3
0.94/0
—
L. Vušković n 878.8
1.76/3
15/1
—
Brighton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
P. David n 829.3
4.65/3
0.82/0
C. Kostoulas n 866
3.16/5
1.25/2
J. Hinshelwood n 860.5
37/4
2.27/3
M. O'Riley n 834.8
2.34/2
12/1
I. Osman n 846.6
2.24/3
0.72/1
Brighton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
G. Rutter n 840.6
0.61/1
0.83/0
J. Hinshelwood n 860.5
1.15/1
00/0
P. Groß n 883.5
0.54/0
0.53/1
C. Kostoulas n 866
0.74/0
0.32/0
P. David n 829.3
0.41/0
0.41/0
Brighton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Gómez n 880.3
3.17/5
J. Hadjam n 848.6
2.57/3
M. De Cuyper n 864.9
2.47/3
M. Wieffer n 864.4
2.35/5
M. Svoboda n 869
26/3
Brighton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Jason Steele n 890
3.66/4
B. Verbruggen n 890
2.35/3

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Nottingham Forest v Brighton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Nottingham ForestDWLLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
BrightonWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 3.4 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Nottingham Forest 1 · 2 draws · Brighton 3 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-03-01 Brighton 2–1 Nottingham Forest
  • 2025-11-30 Nottingham Forest 0–2 Brighton
  • 2025-03-29 Brighton 0–0 Nottingham Forest
  • 2025-02-01 Nottingham Forest 7–0 Brighton
  • 2024-09-22 Brighton 2–2 Nottingham Forest
  • 2024-03-10 Brighton 1–0 Nottingham Forest
League standing · 2026/27
Nottingham Forest#19 pos5 pts7 pl-4 GD
Brighton#3 pos16 pts7 pl+18 GD
Goals per game
Nottingham Forest scored0.71
Brighton scored3.29
Nottingham Forest conceded1.29
Brighton conceded0.71

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Nottingham Forest and Brighton?
In their last 6 meetings, Nottingham Forest won 1, Brighton won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Nottingham Forest and Brighton?
Recent form — Nottingham Forest 1W 1D 3L; Brighton 5W 0D 0L.

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