Nottingham Forest v Liverpool prediction

Premier League · · City Ground

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Nottingham Forest v Liverpool, Premier League on Sat, 17 Apr 2027 15:00 BST posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Nottingham Forest host Liverpool in the Premier League on Saturday 17 April (kick-off 15:00 UK).

The key numbers

Nottingham Forest have scored five goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Form and the table

Seven of Nottingham Forest’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Nottingham Forest’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Nottingham Forest have one win, three draws and four defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 0.75 points per game, scoring 0.38 and conceding 0.88. Nottingham Forest have conceded nine goals, the ninth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

10 of Liverpool’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Liverpool’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Liverpool have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.86 points per game, scoring 2.43 and conceding 1.86. Liverpool have scored nine goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Liverpool have conceded eight goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Nottingham Forest have lost their last three matches in all competitions. Liverpool have won their last three matches in all competitions. Nottingham Forest (19th) and Liverpool (fifth) are seven points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Liverpool the stronger side, 230 rating points above Nottingham Forest (Liverpool 1712, Nottingham Forest 1482, after at least 159 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 29 August 2026, finished Liverpool 2–2 Nottingham Forest.

Team news

Predicted Nottingham Forest XI (3-4-2-1): M. Sels, Murillo, Jair, O. Diomande, N. Williams, J. McAtee, X. Schlager, D. Muñoz, O. Aina, I. Sangaré, L. Delap — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Morgan Gibbs-White (4.7 per match over six appearances, one goal and two assists) and Xaver Schlager (3.6 per match over eight appearances) have been Nottingham Forest’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Nottingham Forest (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Morgan Gibbs-White averages 1.4 shots per 90 over 591 minutes, with a shot in five of the last 10 appearances. Xaver Schlager averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 1361 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Liverpool XI (4-2-3-1): A. Becker, V. van Dijk, J. Jacquet, M. Kerkez, R. Araújo, F. Wirtz, A. Mac Allister, D. Szoboszlai, V. Muñoz, C. Gakpo, A. Isak — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Cody Gakpo (7.0 per match over seven appearances, two goals and five assists) and Florian Wirtz (4.6 per match over 10 appearances, one goal and three assists) have been Liverpool’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Liverpool (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Cody Gakpo averages 1.6 shots per 90 over 1327 minutes, with a shot in five of the last 10 appearances. Florian Wirtz averages 3.1 key passes per 90 over 1656 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Premier League · City Ground
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Nottingham Forest 2 · draws 2 · Liverpool 2 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Nottingham Forest 1W 1D 3L · Liverpool 4W 0D 1L

Nottingham Forest v Liverpool (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.63 / 2.25
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 6.5
Corners
against 4.5 / 4.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.5 / 5.38
Shots on target
against 3.5 / 3.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.5 / 1.75
Cards
against 1.88 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameNottingham Forest for / againstLineLiverpool for / against
Goals scored
0.63 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
2.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
4.5 for · 4.5 against n 8
9.5standard
6.5 for · 4.88 against n 8
Shots
16 for · 10.88 against n 8
19.5standard
16.75 for · 12 against n 8
Shots on target
3.5 for · 3.5 against n 8
8.5standard
5.38 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.25 for · 11.63 against n 8
21.5standard
12.25 for · 9.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.5 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 2 against n 8
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Muñoz n 862
2.46/3
0.93/1
—
X. Schlager n 887
1.88/5
1.46/3
—
L. Delap n 868.3
1.86/4
1.36/2
—
Murillo n 882.3
1.55/2
0.32/0
—
Igor Jesus n 861.3
1.55/1
27/2
—
Nottingham Forest — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Ndoye n 876.6
3.78/8
1.96/4
L. Delap n 868.3
2.66/4
0.53/0
C. Wood n 833.1
1.44/0
0.72/0
N. Williams n 890
1.36/3
0.43/0
Igor Jesus n 861.3
1.36/1
1.16/0
Nottingham Forest — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Ndoye n 876.6
0.43/0
0.42/1
C. Hudson-Odoi n 835.8
00/0
0.62/0
O. Hutchinson n 844.3
00/0
0.52/0
L. Delap n 868.3
0.21/0
00/0
Igor Jesus n 861.3
0.21/0
00/0
Nottingham Forest — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Domínguez n 855
3.37/6
I. Sangaré n 850.9
3.35/3
L. Netz n 844.1
3.35/2
X. Schlager n 887
3.17/5
O. Aina n 877.3
2.66/6
Nottingham Forest — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Sels n 890
2.36/3
Liverpool
Liverpool — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Chiesa n 89.5
3.63/0
2.42/0
—
J. McConnell n 833.4
2.45/1
23/2
—
J. Gomez n 824.1
2.33/2
00/0
—
L. Koumas n 860.4
26/4
0.73/1
—
Víctor Muñoz n 842.9
1.84/2
1.64/2
—
Liverpool — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Wirtz n 870.9
2.96/4
13/3
Víctor Muñoz n 842.9
2.97/2
1.34/1
B. Barcola n 855.3
2.64/4
1.23/1
A. Mac Allister n 867.1
2.55/5
14/2
A. Isak n 865
2.48/5
15/1
Liverpool — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Gakpo n 871
0.32/0
0.84/1
A. Isak n 865
0.94/1
0.21/0
B. Barcola n 855.3
0.61/1
0.21/0
Jeremie Frimpong n 851.4
0.21/0
0.41/1
K. Tsimikas n 874.1
00/0
0.63/1
Liverpool — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Gomez n 824.1
3.33/1
Jérémy Jacquet n 878.6
3.17/7
T. Nyoni n 844.3
2.86/3
Jeremie Frimpong n 851.4
2.25/2
J. McConnell n 833.4
25/1
Liverpool — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Mamardashvili n 886
3.98/5
Alisson Becker n 890
2.35/3

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Nottingham Forest v Liverpool — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Nottingham ForestDWLLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
LiverpoolWLWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.6 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Nottingham Forest 2 · 2 draws · Liverpool 2 · 2 goals/game
  • 2026-08-29 Liverpool 2–2 Nottingham Forest
  • 2026-02-22 Nottingham Forest 0–1 Liverpool
  • 2025-11-22 Liverpool 0–3 Nottingham Forest
  • 2025-01-14 Nottingham Forest 1–1 Liverpool
  • 2024-09-14 Liverpool 0–1 Nottingham Forest
  • 2024-03-02 Nottingham Forest 0–1 Liverpool
League standing · 2026/27
Nottingham Forest#19 pos5 pts7 pl-4 GD
Liverpool#5 pos12 pts7 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
Nottingham Forest scored0.71
Liverpool scored1.29
Nottingham Forest conceded1.29
Liverpool conceded1.14

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Nottingham Forest and Liverpool?
In their last 6 meetings, Nottingham Forest won 2, Liverpool won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Nottingham Forest and Liverpool?
Recent form — Nottingham Forest 1W 1D 3L; Liverpool 4W 0D 1L.

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