Shakhtar Donetsk vs Karpaty prediction

Premier League – Ukraine ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Karpaty, Premier League – Ukraine on Sat, 20 Mar 2027 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

Form and momentum

Karpaty have scored in nine consecutive matches (last 15 results). Seven of Karpaty’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in five of Karpaty’s last 15 results (33%).

Shakhtar Donetsk are unbeaten in their last four matches (last 15 results). Nine of Shakhtar Donetsk’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of Shakhtar Donetsk’s last 15 results (53%).

Head-to-head

Shakhtar Donetsk are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Karpaty — every one in the last 6 meetings. The most recent meeting, on 5 September 2026, finished Karpaty 1–2 Shakhtar Donetsk.

The shape of the game

At home, Shakhtar Donetsk have four wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches — 1.71 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.14. Shakhtar Donetsk have scored 15 goals, the most (shared) of the 16 clubs (2026/27 so far). Shakhtar Donetsk have conceded four goals, the 2nd-fewest (shared) of the 16 clubs (2026/27 so far).

At away, Karpaty have four wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 7 away matches — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 0.57. Karpaty have scored 15 goals, the most (shared) of the 16 clubs (2026/27 so far). Karpaty have conceded five goals, the 4th-fewest (shared) of the 16 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Shakhtar Donetsk (2nd) and Karpaty (3rd) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Shakhtar Donetsk the stronger side, 174 rating points above Karpaty (1995 v 1822, after at least 155 rated matches each).

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Karpaty (Premier League – Ukraine): TACTIX’s calibrated model has priced this fixture across every major market — the full record, losers included, is published live (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

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Markets analysed

TACTIX model preview

The TACTIX model has priced Shakhtar Donetsk vs Karpaty across every betting markets. Here’s a free pick to get you started:

Today’s free pick for this match posts shortly before kick-off.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Shakhtar Donetsk v Karpaty — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Shakhtar DonetskLWDWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
KarpatyWWLWD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Shakhtar Donetsk 4 · 2 draws · Karpaty 0 · 3.67 goals/game
  • 2026-09-05 Karpaty 1–2 Shakhtar Donetsk
  • 2026-02-22 Shakhtar Donetsk 3–0 Karpaty
  • 2025-08-10 Karpaty 3–3 Shakhtar Donetsk
  • 2025-03-11 Karpaty 0–0 Shakhtar Donetsk
  • 2024-09-14 Shakhtar Donetsk 5–2 Karpaty
  • 2019-11-02 Karpaty 0–3 Shakhtar Donetsk
League standing · 2026/27
Shakhtar Donetsk#2 pos18 pts7 pl+11 GD
Karpaty#3 pos14 pts7 pl+10 GD
Goals per game
Shakhtar Donetsk scored2.14
Karpaty scored2.14
Shakhtar Donetsk conceded0.57
Karpaty conceded0.71

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Shakhtar Donetsk and Karpaty?
In their last 6 meetings, Shakhtar Donetsk won 4, Karpaty won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Shakhtar Donetsk and Karpaty?
Recent form — Shakhtar Donetsk 3W 1D 1L; Karpaty 3W 1D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works →

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