Tottenham v Bournemouth prediction

Premier League · · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Tottenham v Bournemouth, Premier League on Sat, 26 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Tottenham host Bournemouth in the Premier League on Saturday 26 December (kick-off 15:00 UK).

Form and the table

Eight of Tottenham’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Tottenham’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Tottenham have three wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.75 and conceding 1.25. Tottenham have scored six goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Tottenham have conceded 10 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Nine of Bournemouth’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Bournemouth’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Bournemouth have two wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 1.33 points per game, scoring 1.33 and conceding 1.83. Bournemouth have scored nine goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Bournemouth have conceded 13 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Tottenham (16th) and Bournemouth (15th) are level on points, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Bournemouth the stronger side, 71 rating points above Tottenham (Bournemouth 1610, Tottenham 1539, after at least 273 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Bournemouth are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Tottenham. The most recent meeting, on 7 January 2026, finished Bournemouth 3–2 Tottenham.

Team news

Predicted Tottenham XI (4-2-3-1): A. Kinský, J. van Hecke, M. van de Ven, A. Robertson, A. Gray, S. Tonali, R. Bentancur, Sávio, M. Fernandes, M. Kudus, D. Solanke — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, M. Senesi (4.6 per match over three appearances) and Mikey Moore (4.5 per match over three appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Tottenham’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Tottenham (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), M. Senesi averages 2.0 tackles per 90 over 413 minutes, with a tackle in three of the last six appearances. Mikey Moore averages 2.5 shots per 90 over 496 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last eight appearances.

Predicted Bournemouth XI (4-2-3-1): Đ. Petrović, J. Hill, A. Silva, A. Truffert, A. Smith, Rayan, M. Tavernier, T. Adams, A. Scott, J. Kluivert, Evanilson — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Alex Scott (5.4 per match over six appearances, one goal and one assist) and Evanilson (4.7 per match over nine appearances, three goals and four assists) have been Bournemouth’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Bournemouth (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Alex Scott averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 626 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last eight appearances. Evanilson averages 2.4 shots per 90 over 735 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Premier League · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Tottenham 2 · draws 1 · Bournemouth 3 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Tottenham 1W 2D 2L · Bournemouth 3W 0D 2L

Tottenham v Bournemouth (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 2
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
7.88 / 5
Corners
against 4.38 / 3.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5 / 5.63
Shots on target
against 3.38 / 2.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 3
Cards
against 2.38 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameTottenham for / againstLineBournemouth for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
2 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
7.88 for · 4.38 against n 8
9.5standard
5 for · 3.13 against n 8
Shots
15.88 for · 11.5 against n 8
19.5standard
19.25 for · 8.13 against n 8
Shots on target
5 for · 3.38 against n 8
8.5standard
5.63 for · 2.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.38 for · 13.13 against n 8
21.5standard
13 for · 12.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
3 for · 2.13 against n 8
Tottenham
Tottenham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Bentancur n 867.3
2.35/4
0.32/0
—
Mateus Fernandes n 845.5
2.25/2
0.73/0
—
D. Solanke n 851.5
24/3
1.13/2
—
C. Gallagher n 860.6
1.96/2
2.26/3
—
L. Bergvall n 860.3
1.95/2
1.14/2
—
Tottenham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Maddison n 823.5
3.44/3
1.93/1
M. Moore n 862
2.57/4
1.55/2
D. Solanke n 851.5
2.26/2
0.93/1
M. Kudus n 846.4
2.25/3
0.52/0
Mateus Fernandes n 845.5
1.75/2
0.73/0
Tottenham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Solanke n 851.5
0.42/0
0.21/0
M. Kudus n 846.4
00/0
0.52/0
Mateus Fernandes n 845.5
00/0
0.52/0
J. Maddison n 823.5
0.51/0
00/0
M. Moore n 862
0.21/0
0.21/0
Tottenham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Maddison n 823.5
3.83/2
R. Bentancur n 867.3
2.77/4
C. Gallagher n 860.6
2.67/4
D. Udogie n 855.8
2.26/4
Mateus Fernandes n 845.5
2.25/3
Tottenham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Dúbravka n 890
36/4
A. Kinský n 890
2.55/5
Bournemouth
Bournemouth — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Adams n 871.4
2.88/5
1.14/3
—
D. Brooks n 830.5
2.25/1
1.13/0
—
A. Adli n 821.1
2.12/1
0.51/0
—
J. Kluivert n 861.4
26/3
1.56/1
—
A. Tóth n 836
1.94/2
1.95/1
—
Bournemouth — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Á. Rodríguez n 837.6
3.64/3
0.92/1
Rayan n 864.4
3.17/4
1.46/1
J. Kluivert n 861.4
3.18/5
1.55/2
Evanilson n 882.5
2.77/6
1.15/2
M. Tavernier n 871.3
2.44/4
1.43/3
Bournemouth — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Evanilson n 882.5
0.43/0
0.43/0
Á. Rodríguez n 837.6
0.62/0
00/0
D. Jebbison n 835.6
00/0
0.62/0
M. Tavernier n 871.3
0.53/0
00/0
Rayan n 864.4
0.53/0
00/0
Bournemouth — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Juanlu Sánchez n 823.6
4.85/3
Adrien Truffert n 889.3
3.37/7
A. Tóth n 836
2.87/2
A. Adli n 821.1
2.72/2
Alex Scott n 878.3
2.46/6
Bournemouth — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Di Gregorio n 884.4
2.15/3
Đ. Petrović n 890
1.83/2

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Tottenham v Bournemouth — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
TottenhamDLLDW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
BournemouthWLLWW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Tottenham 2 · 1 draw · Bournemouth 3 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-01-07 Bournemouth 3–2 Tottenham
  • 2025-08-30 Tottenham 0–1 Bournemouth
  • 2025-03-09 Tottenham 2–2 Bournemouth
  • 2024-12-05 Bournemouth 1–0 Tottenham
  • 2023-12-31 Tottenham 3–1 Bournemouth
  • 2023-08-26 Bournemouth 0–2 Tottenham
League standing · 2026/27
Tottenham#16 pos6 pts7 pl-4 GD
Bournemouth#15 pos6 pts7 pl-4 GD
Goals per game
Tottenham scored0.86
Bournemouth scored1.29
Tottenham conceded1.43
Bournemouth conceded1.86

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Tottenham and Bournemouth?
In their last 6 meetings, Tottenham won 2, Bournemouth won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Tottenham and Bournemouth?
Recent form — Tottenham 1W 2D 2L; Bournemouth 3W 0D 2L.

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