Tottenham v Brighton prediction
Team pages: Tottenham · Brighton · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Tottenham v Brighton, Premier League on Wed, 30 Dec 2026 20:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Tottenham host Brighton in the Premier League on Wednesday 30 December (kick-off 20:00 UK).
The key numbers
Brighton have scored 23 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Brighton have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions. Brighton are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Eight of Tottenham’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Tottenham’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Tottenham have three wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.75 and conceding 1.25. Tottenham have scored six goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Tottenham have conceded 10 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.
11 of Brighton’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in four of Brighton’s last 15 results in all competitions (27%). Away from home, Brighton have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.43. Brighton have conceded five goals, the fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Brighton have kept a clean sheet in their last four matches in all competitions. Tottenham (16th) and Brighton (third) are 10 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Brighton the stronger side, 336 rating points above Tottenham (Brighton 1874, Tottenham 1539, after at least 349 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
Brighton are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Tottenham. The most recent meeting, on 18 April 2026, finished Tottenham 2–2 Brighton.
Team news
Predicted Tottenham XI (4-2-3-1): A. Kinský, J. van Hecke, M. van de Ven, A. Robertson, A. Gray, S. Tonali, R. Bentancur, Sávio, M. Fernandes, M. Kudus, D. Solanke — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, M. Senesi (4.6 per match over three appearances) and Mikey Moore (4.5 per match over three appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Tottenham’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Tottenham (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), M. Senesi averages 2.0 tackles per 90 over 413 minutes, with a tackle in three of the last six appearances. Mikey Moore averages 2.5 shots per 90 over 496 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last eight appearances.
Predicted Brighton XI (4-2-3-1): B. Verbruggen, L. Vušković, F. Kadıoğlu, O. Boscagli, L. Dunk, D. Gómez, P. Groß, M. De Cuyper, Y. Ayari, J. Baixauli, C. Kostoulas — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Mats Wieffer (5.8 per match over four appearances, one goal) and Pascal Groß (5.1 per match over 11 appearances, four goals and four assists) have been Brighton’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Brighton (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Mats Wieffer averages 2.7 tackles per 90 over 362 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last five appearances. Pascal Groß averages 3.9 key passes per 90 over 1026 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Premier League · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
- Head-to-head (last 6): Tottenham 1 · draws 2 · Brighton 3 · 4.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Tottenham 1W 2D 2L · Brighton 5W 0D 0L
Tottenham v Brighton (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Tottenham for / against | Line | Brighton for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 3.25 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 7.88 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 6.38 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 15.88 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 19.63 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 6.25 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.38 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.88 for · 9.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.5 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.25 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
Tottenham
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Bentancur n 8 | 67.3 | 2.3 | 0.3 | — |
| Mateus Fernandes n 8 | 45.5 | 2.2 | 0.7 | — |
| D. Solanke n 8 | 51.5 | 2 | 1.1 | — |
| C. Gallagher n 8 | 60.6 | 1.9 | 2.2 | — |
| L. Bergvall n 8 | 60.3 | 1.9 | 1.1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Maddison n 8 | 23.5 | 3.4 | 1.9 |
| M. Moore n 8 | 62 | 2.5 | 1.5 |
| D. Solanke n 8 | 51.5 | 2.2 | 0.9 |
| M. Kudus n 8 | 46.4 | 2.2 | 0.5 |
| Mateus Fernandes n 8 | 45.5 | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Solanke n 8 | 51.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| M. Kudus n 8 | 46.4 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Mateus Fernandes n 8 | 45.5 | 0 | 0.5 |
| J. Maddison n 8 | 23.5 | 0.5 | 0 |
| M. Moore n 8 | 62 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Maddison n 8 | 23.5 | 3.8 |
| R. Bentancur n 8 | 67.3 | 2.7 |
| C. Gallagher n 8 | 60.6 | 2.6 |
| D. Udogie n 8 | 55.8 | 2.2 |
| Mateus Fernandes n 8 | 45.5 | 2.2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Dúbravka n 8 | 90 | 3 |
| A. Kinský n 8 | 90 | 2.5 |
Brighton
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| José María Andrés Baixauli n 8 | 60.5 | 2.4 | 0.7 | — |
| M. Svoboda n 8 | 69 | 2.3 | 0.7 | — |
| P. David n 8 | 29.3 | 2.3 | 0.8 | — |
| J. Hadjam n 8 | 48.6 | 1.9 | 0.9 | — |
| L. Vušković n 8 | 78.8 | 1.7 | 1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P. David n 8 | 29.3 | 4.6 | 0.8 |
| C. Kostoulas n 8 | 66 | 3.2 | 1.2 |
| J. Hinshelwood n 8 | 60.5 | 3 | 2.2 |
| Y. Ayari n 8 | 72.1 | 2.3 | 0.9 |
| M. O'Riley n 8 | 34.8 | 2.3 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| G. Rutter n 8 | 40.6 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| J. Hinshelwood n 8 | 60.5 | 1.1 | 0 |
| P. Groß n 8 | 83.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| C. Kostoulas n 8 | 66 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| P. David n 8 | 29.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| D. Gómez n 8 | 80.3 | 3.1 |
| J. Hadjam n 8 | 48.6 | 2.5 |
| M. De Cuyper n 8 | 64.9 | 2.4 |
| M. Wieffer n 8 | 64.4 | 2.3 |
| M. Svoboda n 8 | 69 | 2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Jason Steele n 8 | 90 | 3.6 |
| B. Verbruggen n 8 | 90 | 2.3 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Tottenham v Brighton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-04-18 Tottenham 2–2 Brighton
- 2025-09-20 Brighton 2–2 Tottenham
- 2025-05-25 Tottenham 1–4 Brighton
- 2024-10-06 Brighton 3–2 Tottenham
- 2024-02-10 Tottenham 2–1 Brighton
- 2023-12-28 Brighton 4–2 Tottenham
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Tottenham and Brighton?
- In their last 6 meetings, Tottenham won 1, Brighton won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 4.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Tottenham and Brighton?
- Recent form — Tottenham 1W 2D 2L; Brighton 5W 0D 0L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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