Tottenham v Coventry prediction
Team pages: Tottenham · Coventry
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home fouls total over 9.5 the free pick for Tottenham vs Coventry, Premier League on Mon, 19 Oct 2026 20:00 BST.
The match
Tottenham host Coventry in the Premier League on Monday 19 October (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Tottenham fouls total over 9.5, a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
Tottenham are winless in their last six matches. Tottenham have scored three goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Form and the table
Seven of Tottenham’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in eight of Tottenham’s last 15 results (53%). At home, Tottenham have two wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches — 1.29 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 1.29. Tottenham have conceded nine goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Nine of Coventry’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in seven of Coventry’s last 15 results (47%). Away from home, Coventry have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches — 1.57 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.00. Coventry have scored five goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Coventry have conceded 11 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Tottenham (19th) and Coventry (14th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Coventry the stronger side, 155 rating points above Tottenham (Coventry 1604, Tottenham 1450, after at least six rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 18 September 2024, finished Coventry 1–2 Tottenham.
Team news
Predicted Tottenham XI (4-2-3-1): A. Kinský, J. van Hecke, M. van de Ven, A. Robertson, A. Gray, S. Tonali, R. Bentancur, Sávio, M. Fernandes, M. Tel, D. Solanke — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, M. Senesi (4.6 per match over three appearances) and Mikey Moore (4.5 per match over three appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Tottenham’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Tottenham (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), M. Senesi averages 2.0 tackles per 90 over 413 minutes, with a tackle in three of the last six appearances. Mikey Moore averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 474 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last seven appearances.
Predicted Coventry XI (3-4-2-1): C. Rushworth, B. Thomas, E. Pinnock, A. Amenda, M. Grimes, C. Yirenkyi, F. Onyeka, B. Thomas-Asante, L. Tchaouna, J. Dasilva, T. Awoniyi — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Jay Dasilva (3.8 per match over six appearances, one goal and one assist) and V. Torp (3.8 per match over six appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Coventry’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Coventry (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jay Dasilva averages 1.0 tackles per 90 over 976 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Premier League · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 1): Tottenham 1 · draws 0 · Coventry 0 · 3 goals/game
- Recent form: Tottenham 0W 3D 2L · Coventry 2W 0D 3L
TACTIX runs Tottenham v Coventry (Premier League) through its calibrated model across 246 markets, and publishes its market-by-market record openly (updated 13 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Tottenham for / against | Line | Coventry for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.13 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 3our book | 1.25 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 7.75 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3.38 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 15 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 10.88 for · 16.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.88 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.25 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11.63 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.5 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
Tottenham
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Kudus n 8 | 37.9 | 2.4 | 3.3 | — |
| R. Bentancur n 8 | 67.3 | 2.3 | 0.3 | — |
| Mateus Fernandes n 8 | 48.8 | 2.3 | 0.7 | — |
| C. Gallagher n 8 | 69.3 | 1.9 | 1.9 | — |
| L. Bergvall n 8 | 60.3 | 1.9 | 1.1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Maddison n 8 | 17.5 | 3.2 | 1.9 |
| M. Kudus n 8 | 37.9 | 2.7 | 1.2 |
| M. Moore n 8 | 69.3 | 2.4 | 1.3 |
| Richarlison n 8 | 73.5 | 2.3 | 0.9 |
| D. Solanke n 8 | 43 | 1.8 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Richarlison n 8 | 73.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| M. Moore n 8 | 69.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Mateus Fernandes n 8 | 48.8 | 0 | 0.5 |
| D. Solanke n 8 | 43 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Sávio n 8 | 61.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Maddison n 8 | 17.5 | 5.1 |
| C. Gallagher n 8 | 69.3 | 2.8 |
| R. Bentancur n 8 | 67.3 | 2.7 |
| Mateus Fernandes n 8 | 48.8 | 2.3 |
| D. Udogie n 8 | 55.8 | 2.2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Kinský n 8 | 90 | 3.1 |
| M. Dúbravka n 8 | 90 | 3 |
Coventry
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi n 8 | 60.9 | 3.1 | 1.5 | — |
| A. Amenda n 8 | 65.8 | 2.1 | 0.5 | — |
| E. Mason-Clark n 8 | 54.1 | 2.1 | 1.7 | — |
| F. Onyeka n 8 | 58.8 | 1.7 | 2.1 | — |
| G. Hamer n 8 | 56.3 | 1.6 | 0.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| V. Torp n 8 | 44.5 | 2.5 | 1.3 |
| E. Simms n 8 | 32.8 | 2.4 | 2.1 |
| T. Awoniyi n 8 | 53.1 | 2.1 | 0.8 |
| S. Cherif n 8 | 43.5 | 2.1 | 0.8 |
| B. Thomas-Asante n 8 | 44.6 | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| V. Torp n 8 | 44.5 | 1 | 0.5 |
| E. Simms n 8 | 32.8 | 1.4 | 0 |
| E. Mason-Clark n 8 | 54.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| J. Rudoni n 8 | 67 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| G. Hamer n 8 | 56.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| V. Torp n 8 | 44.5 | 2.8 |
| S. Mfuni n 8 | 77 | 2.6 |
| M. Grimes n 8 | 88 | 2 |
| Y. Gboho n 8 | 67.6 | 1.8 |
| T. Sakamoto n 8 | 66.8 | 1.5 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| D. Bentley n 8 | 90 | 3.5 |
| C. Rushworth n 8 | 90 | 2.1 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Tottenham v Coventry — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2024-09-18 Coventry 1–2 Tottenham
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Tottenham vs Coventry?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Tottenham v Coventry is Home fouls total over 9.5.
- What is the head-to-head record between Tottenham and Coventry?
- In their last 1 meetings, Tottenham won 1, Coventry won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Tottenham and Coventry?
- Recent form — Tottenham 0W 3D 2L; Coventry 2W 0D 3L.
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