Benfica v FC Porto prediction

Primeira Liga ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Benfica · FC Porto · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Benfica v FC Porto, Primeira Liga on Sun, 28 Feb 2027 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Benfica host FC Porto in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 28 February (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

Benfica have scored 24 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). 12 of Benfica’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Benfica have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Both teams scored in nine of Benfica’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Benfica have seven wins, one draw and no defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.75 points per game, scoring 3.38 and conceding 0.88. Benfica have conceded seven goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Eight of FC Porto’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of FC Porto’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, FC Porto have five wins, no draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 2.14 points per game, scoring 2.29 and conceding 1.29. FC Porto have scored 20 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). FC Porto have conceded four goals, the fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Benfica (second) and FC Porto (first) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have FC Porto the stronger side, 108 rating points above Benfica (FC Porto 2047, Benfica 1940, after at least 314 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

FC Porto are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Benfica. The most recent meeting, on 20 September 2026, finished FC Porto 3–1 Benfica.

Team news

Predicted Benfica XI (4-2-3-1): S. Soares, S. Dahl, T. Araújo, C. Lenglet, A. Bah, G. Prestianni, Rafa, L. Barreiro, J. Palhinha, H. Sudakov, V. Pavlidis — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, G. Prestianni (8.3 per match over 10 appearances, five goals and five assists) and Vangelis Pavlidis (6.9 per match over 10 appearances, nine goals and three assists) have been Benfica’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Benfica (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), G. Prestianni averages 3.4 key passes per 90 over 873 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Vangelis Pavlidis averages 2.8 shots per 90 over 1118 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted FC Porto XI (4-3-3): D. Costa, J. Kiwior, J. Bednarek, A. Baio, Z. Sanusi, V. Froholdt, P. Rosario, G. Veiga, P. Aquino, A. Silva, William — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Gabri Veiga (5.4 per match over 10 appearances, five goals and three assists) and William (4.1 per match over nine appearances, two goals and two assists) have been FC Porto’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for FC Porto (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Gabri Veiga averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 683 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. William averages 2.3 shots per 90 over 589 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Primeira Liga
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Benfica 2 · draws 2 · FC Porto 2 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Benfica 4W 0D 1L · FC Porto 3W 0D 2L

Benfica v FC Porto (Primeira Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 16 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.63 / 2.25
Goals
against 0.75 / 1.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
7.25 / 5.5
Corners
against 3.88 / 3 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.88 / 5.88
Shots on target
against 3 / 4.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.88 / 1.5
Cards
against 2.38 / 2.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameBenfica for / againstLineFC Porto for / against
Goals scored
2.63 for · 0.75 against n 8
2.5standard
2.25 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
7.25 for · 3.88 against n 8
9.5standard
5.5 for · 3 against n 8
Shots
18.25 for · 10.13 against n 8
19.5standard
15.38 for · 11.38 against n 8
Shots on target
5.88 for · 3 against n 8
8.5standard
5.88 for · 4.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.38 for · 16.25 against n 8
21.5standard
14.13 for · 13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.88 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 2.63 against n 8
Benfica
Benfica — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Barreiro n 861.4
2.68/3
3.37/6
—
J. Duran n 829.6
1.95/0
2.33/2
—
C. Echeverri n 829.1
1.93/1
2.76/1
—
V. Pavlidis n 860.5
1.75/2
1.96/2
—
João Palhinha n 869.8
1.67/3
1.96/4
—
Benfica — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. Prestianni n 866.4
3.47/4
1.45/2
D. Lukebakio n 847.6
3.16/5
2.15/3
J. Duran n 829.6
2.73/1
1.12/1
C. Echeverri n 829.1
2.76/1
2.35/1
A. Schjelderup n 848.5
2.36/3
0.73/0
Benfica — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
G. Prestianni n 866.4
0.53/0
0.84/1
J. Duran n 829.6
1.12/1
00/0
D. Lukebakio n 847.6
0.73/0
0.21/0
C. Echeverri n 829.1
00/0
0.82/0
S. El Karouani n 865.8
0.21/0
0.53/0
Benfica — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Daniel Banjaqui n 387
3.83/3
A. Schjelderup n 848.5
3.56/3
E. Barrenechea n 838.3
2.64/2
João Palhinha n 869.8
2.16/3
G. Prestianni n 866.4
26/4
Benfica — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Trubin n 886.5
3.67/6
Samuel Soares n 890.9
1.22/1
FC Porto
FC Porto — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Gül n 831
4.44/2
0.72/0
—
Alberto Baio n 880.3
2.58/5
26/5
—
Hwang In-Beom n 846
24/3
1.23/2
—
P. Rosario n 884.4
1.76/4
1.56/4
—
Victor Mow Froholdt n 868.5
1.64/4
1.35/2
—
FC Porto — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Giménez n 828.8
3.56/2
23/2
D. Gül n 831
3.35/2
1.13/0
Gabri Veiga n 867.3
2.78/4
1.26/1
Borja Sainz n 828
2.44/1
23/1
André Silva n 872.8
2.27/4
0.84/1
FC Porto — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Gabri Veiga n 867.3
0.74/0
0.32/0
O. Pietuszewski n 823
0.51/0
0.51/0
Borja Sainz n 828
0.82/0
00/0
Pepê Aquino n 883.6
00/0
0.75/0
André Silva n 872.8
0.32/0
0.31/1
FC Porto — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
William n 866.4
2.75/4
Hwang In-Beom n 846
2.45/2
Francisco Moura n 867.9
2.36/3
S. Giménez n 828.8
2.34/1
Martim Fernandes n 853.5
2.13/3
FC Porto — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Diogo Costa n 890
2.55/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Benfica v FC Porto — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BenficaWWLWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
FC PortoLWWWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Benfica 2 · 2 draws · FC Porto 2 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2026-09-20 FC Porto 3–1 Benfica
  • 2026-03-08 Benfica 2–2 FC Porto
  • 2026-01-14 FC Porto 1–0 Benfica
  • 2025-10-05 FC Porto 0–0 Benfica
  • 2025-04-06 FC Porto 1–4 Benfica
  • 2024-11-10 Benfica 4–1 FC Porto
League standing · 2026/27
Benfica#2 pos19 pts8 pl+17 GD
FC Porto#1 pos24 pts8 pl+16 GD
Goals per game
Benfica scored3
FC Porto scored2.5
Benfica conceded0.88
FC Porto conceded0.5

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Benfica and FC Porto?
In their last 6 meetings, Benfica won 2, FC Porto won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Benfica and FC Porto?
Recent form — Benfica 4W 0D 1L; FC Porto 3W 0D 2L.

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