Famalicao v Estoril prediction

Primeira Liga · · Estadio Municipal de Famalicao

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Famalicao v Estoril, Primeira Liga on Sun, 17 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Famalicao host Estoril in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 17 January (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

Estoril are winless in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions. Famalicao are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Estoril.

Form and the table

Six of Famalicao’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in eight of Famalicao’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Famalicao have one win, four draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.43. Famalicao have scored 10 goals, the ninth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Famalicao have conceded 11 goals, the ninth-most of the 18 clubs.

Five of Estoril’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in nine of Estoril’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Estoril have no wins, three draws and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.38 points per game, scoring 0.63 and conceding 1.38. Estoril have scored four goals, the second-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Estoril have conceded 12 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Famalicao (13th) and Estoril (18th) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Famalicao the stronger side, 221 rating points above Estoril (Famalicao 1552, Estoril 1332, after at least 212 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 7 August 2026, finished Estoril 1–1 Famalicao.

Team news

Predicted Famalicao XI (4-2-3-1): L. Carević, R. Pinheiro, F. van Breemen, P. Francisco, L. Realpe, M. De Amorim, Sorriso, G. Dias, M. Peña, T. van de Looi, G. Koutsias — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Sorriso (5.3 per match over eight appearances, two goals and one assist) and Mathias De Amorim (5.1 per match over eight appearances, three assists) have been Famalicao’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Famalicao (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Sorriso averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 666 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last eight appearances. Mathias De Amorim averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 707 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last eight appearances.

Predicted Estoril XI (4-2-3-1): J. Robles, I. Sierra, Ferro, R. Sánchez, F. Medrano, J. Carvalho, J. Holsgrove, A. Tsoungui, A. Lacximicant, R. Guitane, Y. Begraoui — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jordan Holsgrove (4.4 per match over five appearances, one assist) and Rafik Guitane (3.4 per match over seven appearances, one goal) have been Estoril’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Estoril (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jordan Holsgrove averages 3.0 key passes per 90 over 387 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last five appearances. Rafik Guitane averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 368 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last seven appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Primeira Liga · Estadio Municipal de Famalicao
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Famalicao 4 · draws 1 · Estoril 1 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Famalicao 1W 2D 2L · Estoril 0W 2D 3L

Famalicao v Estoril (Primeira Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 16 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 0.5
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.71 / 4.57
Corners
against 3.43 / 4.57 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.29 / 5.29
Shots on target
against 3.43 / 4.57 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.43 / 2.86
Cards
against 2.86 / 1.29 · 4 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameFamalicao for / againstLineEstoril for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
0.5 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
5.71 for · 3.43 against n 7
9.5standard
4.57 for · 4.57 against n 7
Shots
10.57 for · 12 against n 7
19.5standard
12.86 for · 15.14 against n 7
Shots on target
3.29 for · 3.43 against n 7
8.5standard
5.29 for · 4.57 against n 7
Fouls committed
11.57 for · 15.86 against n 7
21.5standard
10.86 for · 13.43 against n 7
Cards shown
2.43 for · 2.86 against n 7
3.5standard
2.86 for · 1.29 against n 7
Famalicao
Famalicao — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Salas n 825.8
4.47/2
1.33/0
—
R. Beney n 828.1
3.25/1
2.44/2
—
U. Abubakar n 814.8
3.12/1
3.14/0
—
L. Meyer n 843.8
2.66/4
1.33/2
—
Mathis Jangeal n 418
2.52/0
1.31/0
—
Famalicao — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
U. Abubakar n 814.8
5.36/1
3.13/1
R. Almeida n 37.7
3.91/0
00/0
Óscar Aranda n 819
34/1
1.82/1
Sorriso n 883.3
1.97/4
0.95/2
G. Koutsias n 879.1
1.75/3
1.14/2
Famalicao — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
U. Abubakar n 814.8
00/0
0.81/0
G. Koutsias n 879.1
0.73/2
00/0
Óscar Aranda n 819
00/0
0.61/0
Mathias De Amorim n 888.4
00/0
0.42/1
Sorriso n 883.3
0.31/1
0.11/0
Famalicao — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Gustavo Garcia n 858.6
3.36/3
Marcos Peña n 855
3.35/3
L. Meyer n 843.8
2.86/3
Mathias De Amorim n 888.4
2.57/3
Gil Dias n 858.3
2.36/4
Famalicao — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Carević n 890
25/2
Estoril
Estoril — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Jordan Arnolin n 429.3
3.12/1
1.52/0
—
Tiago Brito n 822.6
35/1
12/0
—
Peixinho n 818.3
2.54/0
3.75/1
—
A. Tsoungui n 874.1
2.45/4
2.36/4
—
Xeka n 870.4
2.47/3
1.45/3
—
Estoril — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Nail Omerovic n 871.5
3.68/7
2.26/3
Jordan Arnolin n 429.3
3.13/1
1.52/0
Peixinho n 818.3
2.52/1
1.22/0
André Lacximicant n 860.3
2.47/4
1.55/3
Y. Begraoui n 890
1.68/4
17/1
Estoril — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Nail Omerovic n 871.5
0.83/1
00/0
Pedro Carvalho n 816
00/0
0.71/0
Peixinho n 818.3
0.61/0
00/0
Y. Begraoui n 890
0.32/0
00/0
M. Robin n 841.3
0.31/0
00/0
Estoril — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Pedro Carvalho n 816
4.25/1
Tiago Brito n 822.6
44/2
Ferro n 875.4
3.48/6
Fernando Medrano n 884.5
3.28/7
Peixinho n 818.3
2.53/1
Estoril — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Joel Robles n 890
2.34/3

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Famalicao v Estoril — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FamalicaoDDWLL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
EstorilDLLLD
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Famalicao 4 · 1 draw · Estoril 1 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2026-08-07 Estoril 1–1 Famalicao
  • 2026-04-26 Estoril 0–1 Famalicao
  • 2025-12-14 Famalicao 4–0 Estoril
  • 2025-11-22 Estoril 1–2 Famalicao
  • 2025-04-12 Famalicao 3–0 Estoril
  • 2024-12-01 Estoril 2–1 Famalicao
League standing · 2026/27
Famalicao#13 pos7 pts8 pl-1 GD
Estoril#18 pos2 pts8 pl-8 GD
Goals per game
Famalicao scored1.25
Estoril scored0.5
Famalicao conceded1.38
Estoril conceded1.5

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Famalicao and Estoril?
In their last 6 meetings, Famalicao won 4, Estoril won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Famalicao and Estoril?
Recent form — Famalicao 1W 2D 2L; Estoril 0W 2D 3L.

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