FC Porto v Nacional prediction
Team pages: FC Porto · Nacional · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for FC Porto v Nacional, Primeira Liga on Sun, 27 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
FC Porto host Nacional in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 27 December (kick-off 16:00 UK).
The key numbers
Nacional have conceded 18 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Nacional have lost their last seven matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Eight of FC Porto’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of FC Porto’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, FC Porto have six wins, no draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.25 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 0.63. FC Porto have scored 20 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). FC Porto have conceded four goals, the fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Six of Nacional’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in five of Nacional’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Nacional have one win, one draw and six defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.50 points per game, scoring 0.75 and conceding 1.63. Nacional have scored nine goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).
FC Porto (first) and Nacional (16th) are 20 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have FC Porto the stronger side, 732 rating points above Nacional (FC Porto 2047, Nacional 1315, after at least 144 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
FC Porto are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Nacional. The most recent meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished Nacional 0–1 FC Porto.
Team news
Predicted FC Porto XI (4-3-3): D. Costa, J. Kiwior, J. Bednarek, A. Baio, Z. Sanusi, V. Froholdt, P. Rosario, G. Veiga, P. Aquino, A. Silva, William — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Gabri Veiga (5.2 per match over 11 appearances, five goals and three assists) and William (4.1 per match over nine appearances, two goals and two assists) have been FC Porto’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for FC Porto (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Gabri Veiga averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 741 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. William averages 2.3 shots per 90 over 589 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last nine appearances.
Predicted Nacional XI (3-4-2-1): R. Bellucci, Z. Vitor, L. Santos, F. Gonçalves, W. Gasolina, Liziero, M. Jensen, M. Djaló, F. Soares, C. Labidi, P. Ruan — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Liziero (5.3 per match over four appearances, one goal and one assist) and Francisco Gonçalves (4.0 per match over four appearances, one assist) have been Nacional’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Nacional (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Liziero averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 338 minutes. Francisco Gonçalves averages 2.3 tackles per 90 over 360 minutes.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Primeira Liga
- Head-to-head (last 6): FC Porto 5 · draws 0 · Nacional 1 · 2.33 goals/game
- Recent form: FC Porto 3W 0D 2L · Nacional 0W 0D 5L
FC Porto v Nacional (Primeira Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 16 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | FC Porto for / against | Line | Nacional for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 0.88 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.25 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.43 for · 4.86 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots | 14.25 for · 13.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11 for · 14 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.13 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3 for · 6.14 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 13 for · 13.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10.71 for · 11.86 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.38 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.43 for · 2.71 against n 7 Last 5 |
FC Porto
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alberto Baio n 8 | 80.3 | 2.4 | 2.1 | — |
| Borja Sainz n 8 | 30.3 | 1.9 | 1.5 | — |
| Gabri Veiga n 8 | 65 | 1.6 | 1.9 | — |
| William n 8 | 66.4 | 1.5 | 1.7 | — |
| O. Pietuszewski n 8 | 22.4 | 1.5 | 4.5 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| S. Giménez n 8 | 28.8 | 3.5 | 2 |
| O. Pietuszewski n 8 | 22.4 | 3.5 | 1 |
| Gabri Veiga n 8 | 65 | 2.4 | 0.9 |
| André Silva n 8 | 67.8 | 2.3 | 1 |
| William n 8 | 66.4 | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| O. Pietuszewski n 8 | 22.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Gabri Veiga n 8 | 65 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| André Silva n 8 | 67.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| William n 8 | 66.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Pepê Aquino n 8 | 83.6 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| William n 8 | 66.4 | 2.7 |
| Hwang In-Beom n 8 | 46.8 | 2.4 |
| Francisco Moura n 8 | 67.9 | 2.3 |
| Gabri Veiga n 8 | 65 | 2.3 |
| S. Giménez n 8 | 28.8 | 2.3 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Diogo Costa n 8 | 90 | 2.3 |
Nacional
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Labidi n 8 | 64.6 | 2.3 | 1.2 | — |
| Ivanildo Fernandes n 8 | 68.5 | 2.1 | 0.2 | — |
| Matheus Dias n 8 | 79.6 | 1.8 | 0.4 | — |
| Liziero n 8 | 79.9 | 1.5 | 1.8 | — |
| Pablo Ruan n 8 | 65.6 | 1.5 | 0.9 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Obando n 8 | 33.8 | 2.3 | 1 |
| Stavros Gavriel n 8 | 35.1 | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| Pablo Ruan n 8 | 65.6 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| Matchoi Djaló n 8 | 48 | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| Miguel Baeza n 8 | 70.8 | 1 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Gasolina n 8 | 73.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Matchoi Djaló n 8 | 48 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Léo Santos n 8 | 84.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Liziero n 8 | 79.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Miguel Baeza n 8 | 70.8 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| D. Dongmo n 4 | 72 | 5.6 |
| Liziero n 8 | 79.9 | 3.8 |
| Deivison n 8 | 35.3 | 3.5 |
| C. Labidi n 8 | 64.6 | 2.6 |
| M. Jensen n 8 | 51.1 | 2.4 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Renato Bellucci n 8 | 90 | 3.6 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind FC Porto v Nacional — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-02-15 Nacional 0–1 FC Porto
- 2025-09-13 FC Porto 1–0 Nacional
- 2025-05-17 FC Porto 3–0 Nacional
- 2025-01-12 Nacional 2–0 FC Porto
- 2021-04-18 Nacional 0–1 FC Porto
- 2021-01-12 Nacional 2–4 FC Porto
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between FC Porto and Nacional?
- In their last 6 meetings, FC Porto won 5, Nacional won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of FC Porto and Nacional?
- Recent form — FC Porto 3W 0D 2L; Nacional 0W 0D 5L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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