Maritimo v Rio Ave prediction

Primeira Liga ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Maritimo v Rio Ave, Primeira Liga on Sun, 13 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Maritimo host Rio Ave in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 13 December (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

12 of Maritimo’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Maritimo are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Rio Ave, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Both teams scored in 11 of Maritimo’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Maritimo have two wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 1.17 points per game, scoring 1.33 and conceding 1.83. Maritimo have scored nine goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Maritimo have conceded 14 goals, the sixth-most of the 18 clubs.

Six of Rio Ave’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in five of Rio Ave’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Rio Ave have three wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 0.75 and conceding 1.13. Rio Ave have scored eight goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Rio Ave have conceded 17 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Maritimo (11th) and Rio Ave (14th) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Rio Ave the stronger side, 18 rating points above Maritimo (Rio Ave 1466, Maritimo 1448, after at least 214 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 7 May 2023, finished Maritimo 2–2 Rio Ave.

Team news

Predicted Maritimo XI (4-2-3-1): A. Pastor, P. Henrique, R. Correia, I. Julião, R. Fernandes, R. Guzzo, R. Andrade, V. Danilović, M. Tejón, M. Diouri, A. Butzke — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Martín Tejón (4.1 per match over eight appearances, one goal and one assist) and Romain Correia (3.1 per match over eight appearances, one goal) have been Maritimo’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Maritimo (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Martín Tejón averages 1.1 key passes per 90 over 667 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last eight appearances. Romain Correia averages 1.0 tackles per 90 over 720 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last eight appearances.

Predicted Rio Ave XI (4-2-3-1): E. van der Gouw, F. Petrasso, G. Mancha, G. Liavas, N. Abbey, T. Nikitscher, D. Bezerra, A. Ntoi, D. Nascimento, M. Patricío, T. Monteiro — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jalen Blesa (5.1 per match over eight appearances, three goals and one assist) and Diogo Bezerra (3.6 per match over eight appearances, one goal and three assists) have been Rio Ave’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Rio Ave (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jalen Blesa averages 1.0 shots per 90 over 696 minutes, with a shot in six of the last eight appearances. Diogo Bezerra averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 630 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Primeira Liga
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Maritimo 3 · draws 3 · Rio Ave 0 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Maritimo 1W 1D 3L · Rio Ave 2W 1D 2L

Maritimo v Rio Ave (Primeira Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 16 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.88 / 2 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3 / 4
Corners
against 4.29 / 6.29 · 0 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.14 / 3.29
Shots on target
against 5.86 / 6 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.71 / 1.43
Cards
against 2.29 / 1.14 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameMaritimo for / againstLineRio Ave for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.5standard
1.13 for · 2 against n 8
Corners won
3 for · 4.29 against n 7
9.5standard
4 for · 6.29 against n 7
Shots
9.14 for · 14.86 against n 7
19.5standard
7.86 for · 16.71 against n 7
Shots on target
3.14 for · 5.86 against n 7
8.5standard
3.29 for · 6 against n 7
Fouls committed
15.29 for · 12.43 against n 7
21.5standard
8.86 for · 12.57 against n 7
Cards shown
1.71 for · 2.29 against n 7
3.5standard
1.43 for · 1.14 against n 7
Maritimo
Maritimo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Maurice Osei Boakye n 815.6
3.64/1
3.65/0
—
Rodrigo Andrade n 874.4
2.78/5
0.95/1
—
M. Dominguez n 832.3
2.44/2
1.43/1
—
M. Diouri n 552.2
2.14/2
12/1
—
Igor Julião n 888.5
27/4
0.95/2
—
Maritimo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Bassouamina n 814.4
2.33/0
0.81/0
Maurice Osei Boakye n 815.6
2.23/0
1.42/0
Martín Tejón n 883.4
1.97/4
0.73/2
Samuel Bamba n 827.3
1.23/0
0.82/0
Adrián Butzke n 880.1
1.16/2
0.11/0
Maritimo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Maurice Osei Boakye n 815.6
0.71/0
0.71/0
I. Ayuma n 831.5
0.41/0
00/0
M. Diouri n 552.2
0.31/0
00/0
M. Dominguez n 832.3
00/0
0.31/0
Martín Tejón n 883.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
Maritimo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
I. Alani n 833.4
43/3
I. Ayuma n 831.5
3.25/2
Maurice Osei Boakye n 815.6
2.94/0
G. Szalai n 859.9
2.35/3
Tomás Tavares n 836.5
2.24/1
Maritimo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Alfonso Pastor n 890
3.27/6
Fran Vieites n 893.8
2.24/4
Rio Ave
Rio Ave — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Nikitscher n 877.5
1.96/5
1.98/3
—
A. Ntoi n 866.4
1.75/3
0.73/1
—
D. Špikić n 846.8
1.76/1
13/1
—
Roland Galčík n 840.6
1.74/1
0.83/0
—
S. Garcia n 558.8
1.53/2
0.31/0
—
Rio Ave — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Sellouki n 853.3
2.16/3
0.84/0
S. Clemmensen n 862.6
1.44/3
0.53/0
Tamble Monteiro n 855.4
1.45/1
0.63/0
Roland Galčík n 840.6
1.44/1
0.62/0
Miguel Patricío n 541.8
1.31/1
0.91/1
Rio Ave — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Blesa n 887
0.43/0
0.11/0
Diogo Bezerra n 878.8
0.11/0
0.42/1
S. Clemmensen n 862.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
Roland Galčík n 840.6
0.31/0
00/0
Diogo Nascimento n 857.5
00/0
0.21/0
Rio Ave — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Vrousai n 839.9
4.86/3
N. Abbey n 873.5
3.17/5
T. Nikitscher n 877.5
38/6
G. Liavas n 868.9
26/4
Pedro Amaral n 862.3
1.85/4
Rio Ave — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. van der Gouw n 891.1
3.58/6

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Maritimo v Rio Ave — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MaritimoLLDLW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 2 conceded per game
Rio AveLDLWW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Maritimo 3 · 3 draws · Rio Ave 0 · 2 goals/game
  • 2023-05-07 Maritimo 2–2 Rio Ave
  • 2022-12-23 Rio Ave 1–1 Maritimo
  • 2021-04-21 Maritimo 1–0 Rio Ave
  • 2020-12-28 Rio Ave 1–3 Maritimo
  • 2020-07-13 Maritimo 0–0 Rio Ave
  • 2020-01-05 Rio Ave 0–1 Maritimo
League standing · 2026/27
Maritimo#11 pos8 pts8 pl-5 GD
Rio Ave#14 pos7 pts8 pl-9 GD
Goals per game
Maritimo scored1.13
Rio Ave scored1
Maritimo conceded1.75
Rio Ave conceded2.13

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Maritimo and Rio Ave?
In their last 6 meetings, Maritimo won 3, Rio Ave won 0 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Maritimo and Rio Ave?
Recent form — Maritimo 1W 1D 3L; Rio Ave 2W 1D 2L.

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