Moreirense v FC Porto prediction

Primeira Liga · · Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Moreirense · FC Porto · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Moreirense v FC Porto, Primeira Liga on Sun, 14 Feb 2027 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Moreirense host FC Porto in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 14 February (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

FC Porto are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Moreirense.

Form and the table

Seven of Moreirense’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Moreirense’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Moreirense have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.57 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 1.43. Moreirense have scored eight goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Moreirense have conceded 15 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Eight of FC Porto’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of FC Porto’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, FC Porto have five wins, no draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 2.14 points per game, scoring 2.29 and conceding 1.29. FC Porto have scored 20 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). FC Porto have conceded four goals, the fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Moreirense are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Moreirense (12th) and FC Porto (first) are 16 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have FC Porto the stronger side, 568 rating points above Moreirense (FC Porto 2047, Moreirense 1479, after at least 282 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 4 September 2026, finished FC Porto 2–1 Moreirense.

Team news

Predicted Moreirense XI (4-2-3-1): A. Ferreira, G. Batista, Kiko, Maracás, D. Pinto, N. John, G. Liberato, R. Alonso, M. Mendonça, Landerson, A. Duville-Parsemain — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Tiago Andrade (4.6 per match over six appearances, one goal and one assist) and Kiko (3.7 per match over eight appearances, one goal) have been Moreirense’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Moreirense (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Tiago Andrade averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 320 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last six appearances. Kiko averages 2.4 tackles per 90 over 715 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last eight appearances.

Predicted FC Porto XI (4-3-3): D. Costa, J. Kiwior, J. Bednarek, A. Baio, Z. Sanusi, V. Froholdt, P. Rosario, G. Veiga, P. Aquino, A. Silva, William — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Gabri Veiga (5.2 per match over 11 appearances, five goals and three assists) and William (4.1 per match over nine appearances, two goals and two assists) have been FC Porto’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for FC Porto (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Gabri Veiga averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 741 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. William averages 2.3 shots per 90 over 589 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Primeira Liga · Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Moreirense 1 · draws 0 · FC Porto 5 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Moreirense 1W 1D 3L · FC Porto 3W 0D 2L

Moreirense v FC Porto (Primeira Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 16 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.75 / 2
Goals
against 1.75 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 4.25
Corners
against 4.63 / 3.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 5.13
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 4.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 1.38
Cards
against 1.75 / 2.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameMoreirense for / againstLineFC Porto for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5standard
2 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
1.88 for · 4.63 against n 8
9.5standard
4.25 for · 3.13 against n 8
Shots
7 for · 13.88 against n 8
19.5standard
14.25 for · 13.13 against n 8
Shots on target
2.38 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
5.13 for · 4.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.88 for · 10.63 against n 8
21.5standard
13 for · 13.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 2.88 against n 8
Moreirense
Moreirense — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Rodri Alonso n 843.3
3.45/4
1.85/1
—
Maranhão n 830.6
3.34/3
2.66/1
—
Guilherme Liberato n 881.3
2.87/5
1.56/3
—
A. Duville-Parsemain n 857.8
2.15/4
13/1
—
Manuel Ascenção Bebiano Mendonça n 676.7
25/4
1.65/2
—
Moreirense — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Maranhão n 830.6
2.24/2
0.72/0
A. Duville-Parsemain n 857.8
1.66/2
15/0
Tiago Andrade n 653.3
1.43/2
0.62/0
João Veloso n 832.5
1.43/1
0.72/0
L. Vonić n 370
1.32/1
1.32/1
Moreirense — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Vonić n 370
0.41/0
0.41/0
Tiago Andrade n 653.3
0.31/0
0.31/0
João Veloso n 832.5
0.31/0
0.31/0
A. Duville-Parsemain n 857.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
Manuel Ascenção Bebiano Mendonça n 676.7
0.21/0
00/0
Moreirense — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Guilherme Liberato n 881.3
3.68/6
Tiago Andrade n 653.3
3.15/1
Kiko n 889.4
2.47/4
Leandro Henrique Sousa Santos n 834.3
24/1
Manuel Ascenção Bebiano Mendonça n 676.7
1.85/2
Moreirense — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
André Ferreira n 891
2.87/2
FC Porto
FC Porto — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Alberto Baio n 880.3
2.48/4
2.17/5
—
Borja Sainz n 830.3
1.94/1
1.54/0
—
Gabri Veiga n 865
1.66/2
1.96/4
—
William n 866.4
1.56/2
1.77/2
—
O. Pietuszewski n 822.4
1.53/0
4.56/2
—
FC Porto — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Giménez n 828.8
3.56/2
23/2
O. Pietuszewski n 822.4
3.53/2
12/0
Gabri Veiga n 865
2.48/3
0.95/0
André Silva n 867.8
2.37/4
15/1
William n 866.4
2.28/4
1.25/2
FC Porto — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
O. Pietuszewski n 822.4
0.51/0
0.51/0
Gabri Veiga n 865
0.53/0
0.32/0
André Silva n 867.8
0.32/0
0.31/1
William n 866.4
0.32/0
0.32/0
Pepê Aquino n 883.6
00/0
0.54/0
FC Porto — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
William n 866.4
2.75/4
Hwang In-Beom n 846.8
2.45/2
Francisco Moura n 867.9
2.36/3
Gabri Veiga n 865
2.35/4
S. Giménez n 828.8
2.34/1
FC Porto — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Diogo Costa n 890
2.35/3

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Moreirense v FC Porto — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MoreirenseLWDLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
FC PortoWWWLL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Moreirense 1 · 0 draws · FC Porto 5 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2026-09-04 FC Porto 2–1 Moreirense
  • 2026-03-15 FC Porto 3–0 Moreirense
  • 2025-10-27 Moreirense 1–2 FC Porto
  • 2025-05-02 FC Porto 3–1 Moreirense
  • 2024-12-21 Moreirense 0–3 FC Porto
  • 2024-11-24 Moreirense 2–1 FC Porto
League standing · 2026/27
Moreirense#12 pos8 pts8 pl-7 GD
FC Porto#1 pos24 pts8 pl+16 GD
Goals per game
Moreirense scored1
FC Porto scored2.5
Moreirense conceded1.88
FC Porto conceded0.5

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Moreirense and FC Porto?
In their last 6 meetings, Moreirense won 1, FC Porto won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Moreirense and FC Porto?
Recent form — Moreirense 1W 1D 3L; FC Porto 3W 0D 2L.

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