Moreirense v Santa Clara prediction
Team pages: Moreirense · Santa Clara · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Moreirense v Santa Clara, Primeira Liga on Sat, 28 Nov 2026 15:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Moreirense host Santa Clara in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 28 November (kick-off 15:30 UK).
The key numbers
Santa Clara are unbeaten in their last eight matches.
Form and the table
Seven of Moreirense’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Moreirense’s last 15 results (47%). At home, Moreirense have three wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 8 home matches — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 1.38. Moreirense have scored eight goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Moreirense have conceded 15 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Six of Santa Clara’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in six of Santa Clara’s last 15 results (40%). Away from home, Santa Clara have three wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 8 away matches — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 1.13. Santa Clara have scored 12 goals, the sixth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Santa Clara have conceded four goals, the fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Moreirense (12th) and Santa Clara (fourth) are 10 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Santa Clara the stronger side, 268 rating points above Moreirense (Santa Clara 1747, Moreirense 1479, after at least 246 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
Moreirense are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Santa Clara. The most recent meeting, on 24 January 2026, finished Moreirense 1–0 Santa Clara.
Team news
Predicted Moreirense XI (4-2-3-1): A. Ferreira, G. Batista, Kiko, Maracás, D. Pinto, N. John, G. Liberato, R. Alonso, M. Mendonça, Landerson, A. Duville-Parsemain — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Tiago Andrade (4.6 per match over six appearances, one goal and one assist) and Kiko (3.7 per match over eight appearances, one goal) have been Moreirense’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Moreirense (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Tiago Andrade averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 320 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last six appearances. Kiko averages 2.4 tackles per 90 over 715 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last eight appearances.
Predicted Santa Clara XI (4-3-3): L. França, G. Romão, P. Pacheco, E. Fernandes, L. Soares, P. Ferreira, J. Tavares, T. Ribeiro, G. Paciência, B. Santos, V. Lopes — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Gonçalo Paciência (5.1 per match over eight appearances, five goals and one assist) and Vinícius Lopes (4.1 per match over eight appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Santa Clara’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Santa Clara (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Gonçalo Paciência averages 3.3 shots per 90 over 608 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last eight appearances. Vinícius Lopes averages 1.4 shots per 90 over 596 minutes, with a shot in six of the last eight appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Primeira Liga · Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
- Head-to-head (last 6): Moreirense 3 · draws 2 · Santa Clara 1 · 1.83 goals/game
- Recent form: Moreirense 1W 1D 3L · Santa Clara 3W 2D 0L
TACTIX runs Moreirense v Santa Clara (Primeira Liga) through its calibrated model across every major market, and publishes its market-by-market record openly (updated 14 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Moreirense for / against | Line | Santa Clara for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.5 for · 0.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 2.38 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.13 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 7.88 for · 15.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 13.25 for · 7.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 2.75 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.5 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 13.75 for · 13.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 13.25 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.75 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 3 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
Moreirense
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodri Alonso n 8 | 43.3 | 3.4 | 1.8 | — |
| Maranhão n 8 | 30.6 | 3.3 | 2.6 | — |
| Guilherme Liberato n 8 | 81.3 | 2.8 | 1.5 | — |
| A. Duville-Parsemain n 8 | 57.8 | 2.1 | 1 | — |
| Manuel Ascenção Bebiano Mendonça n 6 | 76.7 | 2 | 1.6 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maranhão n 8 | 30.6 | 2.2 | 0.7 |
| A. Duville-Parsemain n 8 | 57.8 | 1.6 | 1 |
| Tiago Andrade n 6 | 53.3 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| João Veloso n 8 | 32.5 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| L. Vonić n 3 | 70 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| L. Vonić n 3 | 70 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Tiago Andrade n 6 | 53.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| João Veloso n 8 | 32.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| A. Duville-Parsemain n 8 | 57.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Manuel Ascenção Bebiano Mendonça n 6 | 76.7 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Guilherme Liberato n 8 | 81.3 | 3.6 |
| Tiago Andrade n 6 | 53.3 | 3.1 |
| Kiko n 8 | 89.4 | 2.4 |
| Leandro Henrique Sousa Santos n 8 | 34.3 | 2 |
| Manuel Ascenção Bebiano Mendonça n 6 | 76.7 | 1.8 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| André Ferreira n 8 | 91 | 2.8 |
Santa Clara
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira n 8 | 17.8 | 4.4 | 3.2 | — |
| Rildo n 8 | 21.5 | 4.2 | 3.1 | — |
| Leo Jaco n 7 | 16.6 | 3.9 | 3.1 | — |
| Daniel Borges n 8 | 42.5 | 2.6 | 1.9 | — |
| Tiago Ribeiro n 8 | 48.1 | 1.9 | 1.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gonçalo Paciência n 8 | 76 | 3.3 | 1.6 |
| Rildo n 8 | 21.5 | 2.1 | 0.5 |
| Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos n 8 | 60 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| João Vasconcelos n 5 | 18.6 | 1.9 | 1 |
| Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira n 8 | 17.8 | 1.9 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| João Vasconcelos n 5 | 18.6 | 1 | 0 |
| Gonçalo Paciência n 8 | 76 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira n 8 | 17.8 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Vinícius Lopes n 8 | 74.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos n 8 | 60 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Pedro Ferreira n 8 | 90 | 4 |
| Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos n 8 | 60 | 3.2 |
| Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira n 8 | 17.8 | 3.2 |
| Welinton Torrão n 8 | 32.8 | 2.4 |
| Vitinho n 8 | 34.6 | 2.3 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Lucas França n 8 | 90 | 1.9 |
The day’s free picks, by email
Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Moreirense v Santa Clara — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-01-24 Moreirense 1–0 Santa Clara
- 2025-08-17 Santa Clara 0–1 Moreirense
- 2025-03-09 Santa Clara 1–1 Moreirense
- 2024-10-05 Moreirense 1–0 Santa Clara
- 2022-01-22 Moreirense 0–2 Santa Clara
- 2021-08-15 Santa Clara 2–2 Moreirense
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Moreirense and Santa Clara?
- In their last 6 meetings, Moreirense won 3, Santa Clara won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Moreirense and Santa Clara?
- Recent form — Moreirense 1W 1D 3L; Santa Clara 3W 2D 0L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.