Nacional v Estoril result

Full-time · Nacional 2–2 Estoril

Primeira Liga · Sat, 15 Feb 2025 17:00 GMT · Estádio da Madeira

Updated 8 May 2026, 04:57 UK · refreshed continuously

Nacional 2–2 Estoril — this Primeira Liga match was drawn.

Match report, in numbers

The result

Nacional and Estoril drew 2–2 at Estádio da Madeira in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 15 February. Estoril are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Estoril: André Lacximicant (4’, assisted by Yanis Begraoui) and Felix Bacher (90’, assisted by Jordan Holsgrove); Nacional: Dudu (45’ pen) and Daniel Penha (52’, assisted by Luís Esteves).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Nacional out-shot Estoril 18 to 7 and created the better chances, 2.39 xG to 1.48 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.

Discipline

The bookings — Nacional: Paulinho Bóia (25’), Isaac (81’) and Gustavo Garcia (83’); Estoril: Felix Bacher (39’), Jordan Holsgrove (45+2’) and Vinicius Zanocelo (90+2’).

What it changes

Estoril have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Dudu (Nacional) 8.5, Luís Esteves (Nacional) 7.5 and Gustavo Garcia (Nacional) 7.4 led the match.

Next up

Nacional next host SC Braga on 25 October 2026.

Estoril next host Moreirense on 25 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Nacional: Nacional v SC Braga, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for Estoril: Estoril v Moreirense, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Nacional 2–2 Estoril · Primeira Liga
Venue: Estádio da Madeira · Ilha da Madeira
Referee: Miguel Fonseca
Head-to-head (last 1): Nacional 0 · draws 0 · Estoril 1 · 1 goals/game
Recent form: Nacional 3W 0D 2L · Estoril 5W 0D 0L

Nacional 2–2 Estoril (Primeira Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 May 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 1.75

Goals

against 1.38 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

2.86 / 3

Corners

against 7.86 / 4.17 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 6 matches

3.43 / 4.5

Shots on target

against 4.71 / 4.67 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 6 matches

2.71 / 2

Cards

against 2.29 / 1.83 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 6 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 February 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 February 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Nacional for / against	Line	Estoril for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	2.86 for · 7.86 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	3 for · 4.17 against n 6 Last 5
Shots	11.14 for · 15.57 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	13 for · 10.5 against n 6 Last 5
Shots on target	3.43 for · 4.71 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	4.5 for · 4.67 against n 6 Last 5
Fouls committed	13 for · 14 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	15.17 for · 14.5 against n 6 Last 5
Cards shown	2.71 for · 2.29 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	2 for · 1.83 against n 6 Last 5

Nacional

Nacional — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 February 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
André Carreira Sousa n 8	11	6.1 4/2	2 1/1	—
Dyego Sousa n 8	25.5	3.1 6/1	1.3 2/1	—
Paulinho Bóia n 8	36.4	2.8 6/2	3.1 5/4	—
C. Labidi n 8	21.6	2.6 3/2	2.1 4/0	—
Matheus Dias n 8	54.5	2.3 7/3	0.6 3/0	—

Nacional — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 February 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Daniel Penha n 8	32.4	2.8 4/3	0.7 2/0
Rúben Macedo n 8	60.9	1.8 4/3	0.9 3/1
El Hadji Djibril Soumaré n 8	89.8	1.3 7/3	0.5 4/0
Dyego Sousa n 8	25.5	1.3 3/0	0 0/0
J. Tagueu n 8	57.5	1.2 2/2	0.8 2/2

Nacional — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 February 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Dudu n 8	79.9	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
Bruno Costa n 8	72.9	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0
João Aurélio n 8	21.6	0.5 1/0	0 0/0
José Gomes n 8	90	0.3 1/1	0.1 1/0
J. Tagueu n 8	57.5	0.4 1/1	0 0/0

Nacional — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 February 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
João Aurélio n 8	21.6	4.7 4/3
C. Labidi n 8	21.6	4.2 5/2
El Hadji Djibril Soumaré n 8	89.8	3.6 8/7
Zé Vitor n 8	90	2.8 7/7
Gustavo Garcia n 8	88.3	1.9 8/4

Nacional — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 February 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Lucas França n 8	84.4	3.6 7/6

Estoril

Estoril — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 February 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Xeka n 8	67.8	3.7 6/6	1.8 6/2	—
André Lacximicant n 8	33.9	3.3 6/3	1.3 3/1	—
E. Mangala n 8	52.5	3 8/4	0 0/0	—
Gonçalo Costa n 8	29	2.7 3/2	0.8 2/0	—
Fabrício Garcia n 8	67.5	2.5 7/6	3.7 7/5	—

Estoril — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 February 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
André Lacximicant n 8	33.9	3.7 7/3	1.7 4/1
Y. Begraoui n 8	50.9	2.7 6/3	1.8 6/2
Israel Salazar n 8	15.8	2.1 2/1	0.7 1/0
Alejandro Marqués n 8	51.9	1.5 5/2	0.9 3/1
João Carvalho n 8	87.4	1.4 6/3	0.6 4/1

Estoril — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 February 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Y. Begraoui n 8	50.9	1.1 4/1	0 0/0
Alejandro Marqués n 8	51.9	0.7 3/0	0 0/0
João Carvalho n 8	87.4	0.4 2/1	0 0/0
Xeka n 8	67.8	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Gonçalo Costa n 8	29	0.4 1/0	0 0/0

Estoril — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 February 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Vinicius Zanocelo n 8	43.5	3.1 6/2
R. Guitane n 8	25.5	3.1 3/1
Xeka n 8	67.8	3 8/7
Gonçalo Costa n 8	29	2.7 3/2
Fabrício Garcia n 8	67.5	2.3 6/4

Estoril — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 February 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Joel Robles n 8	90	3 8/5

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Nacional		Estoril
49%	Possession	51%
2.39	Expected goals (xG)	1.48
18	Shots	7
6	Shots on target	4
7	Shots off target	1
5	Blocked shots	2
10	Shots inside the box	6
7	Corners	3
6	Offsides	0
15	Fouls	14
3	Yellow cards	3
0	Red cards	0
2	Saves	4
327	Passes	346
74%	Pass accuracy	69%

Nacional player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Lucas França	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	7.2
Gustavo Garcia	90	0	0	0	0	3	7	Y	7.9
Zé Vitor	90	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	6.7
El Hadji Djibril Soumaré	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	6.3
Luís Esteves	90	0	1	3	1	2	3	0	8
Isaac	90	0	0	3	1	0	0	Y	6.2
Ulisses	89	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	7.2
Daniel Penha	72	1	0	1	1	2	2	0	7.7
Dudu	72	1	0	3	3	1	1	0	7
Paulinho Bóia	45	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.5
José Gomes	33	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
A. Appiah sub	57	0	0	1	0	0	3	0	6.9
Rúben Macedo sub	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
João Aurélio sub	18	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
André Carreira Sousa sub	18	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	6.7
Léo Santos sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Estoril player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Joel Robles	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
F. Bacher	90	1	0	1	1	0	2	Y	7
Pedro Álvaro	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Pedro Amaral	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6
Wagner Pina	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
J. Holsgrove	90	0	1	0	0	3	0	Y	7.2
João Carvalho	90	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.9
Fabrício Garcia	85	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.7
Xeka	63	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.5
Y. Begraoui	63	0	1	2	1	1	1	0	7
André Lacximicant	55	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	7
R. Guitane sub	35	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.3
Vinicius Zanocelo sub	27	0	0	1	1	0	2	Y	7
Alejandro Marqués sub	27	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Gonçalo Costa sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Nacional v Estoril — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

NacionalWWLLW

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game

EstorilWWWWW

Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 1

Nacional 0 · 0 draws · Estoril 1 · 1 goals/game

2024-09-15 Estoril 1–0 Nacional

League standing · 2024/25

Last recorded position — not updated during the season.

Nacional#14 pos34 pts34 pl-18 GD

Estoril#8 pos46 pts34 pl-5 GD

Goals per game

Nacional scored0.94

Estoril scored1.41

Nacional conceded1.47

Estoril conceded1.56

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Nacional and Estoril?: In their last 1 meetings, Nacional won 0, Estoril won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Nacional and Estoril?: Recent form — Nacional 3W 0D 2L; Estoril 5W 0D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 8 May 2026, 04:57 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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