Nacional v Moreirense prediction
Team pages: Nacional · Moreirense · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Nacional v Moreirense, Primeira Liga on Sun, 20 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Nacional host Moreirense in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 20 December (kick-off 16:00 UK).
The key numbers
Nacional have conceded 18 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Nacional have lost their last seven matches in all competitions. Moreirense are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Nacional are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Moreirense.
Form and the table
Six of Nacional’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in five of Nacional’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). At home, Nacional have three wins, no draws and four defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 1.71. Nacional have scored nine goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Seven of Moreirense’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Moreirense’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Moreirense have one win, two draws and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.63 points per game, scoring 0.63 and conceding 1.88. Moreirense have scored eight goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Moreirense have conceded 15 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Nacional (16th) and Moreirense (12th) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Moreirense the stronger side, 163 rating points above Nacional (Moreirense 1479, Nacional 1315, after at least 144 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 7 March 2026, finished Moreirense 1–1 Nacional.
Team news
Predicted Nacional XI (3-4-2-1): R. Bellucci, Z. Vitor, L. Santos, F. Gonçalves, W. Gasolina, Liziero, M. Jensen, M. Djaló, F. Soares, C. Labidi, P. Ruan — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Liziero (5.3 per match over four appearances, one goal and one assist) and Francisco Gonçalves (4.0 per match over four appearances, one assist) have been Nacional’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Nacional (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Liziero averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 338 minutes. Francisco Gonçalves averages 2.3 tackles per 90 over 360 minutes.
Predicted Moreirense XI (4-2-3-1): A. Ferreira, G. Batista, Kiko, Maracás, D. Pinto, N. John, G. Liberato, R. Alonso, M. Mendonça, Landerson, A. Duville-Parsemain — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Tiago Andrade (4.6 per match over six appearances, one goal and one assist) and Kiko (3.7 per match over eight appearances, one goal) have been Moreirense’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Moreirense (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Tiago Andrade averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 320 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last six appearances. Kiko averages 2.4 tackles per 90 over 715 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last eight appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Primeira Liga
- Head-to-head (last 6): Nacional 2 · draws 3 · Moreirense 1 · 2.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Nacional 0W 0D 5L · Moreirense 1W 1D 3L
Nacional v Moreirense (Primeira Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 16 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Nacional for / against | Line | Moreirense for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 0.88 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 0.75 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.43 for · 4.86 against n 7 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 1.88 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11 for · 14 against n 7 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 7 for · 13.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3 for · 6.14 against n 7 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 2.38 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.71 for · 11.86 against n 7 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11.88 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.43 for · 2.71 against n 7 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.25 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
Nacional
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Labidi n 8 | 64.6 | 2.3 | 1.2 | — |
| Ivanildo Fernandes n 8 | 68.5 | 2.1 | 0.2 | — |
| Matheus Dias n 8 | 79.6 | 1.8 | 0.4 | — |
| Liziero n 8 | 79.9 | 1.5 | 1.8 | — |
| Pablo Ruan n 8 | 65.6 | 1.5 | 0.9 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Obando n 8 | 33.8 | 2.3 | 1 |
| Stavros Gavriel n 8 | 35.1 | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| Pablo Ruan n 8 | 65.6 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| Matchoi Djaló n 8 | 48 | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| Miguel Baeza n 8 | 70.8 | 1 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Gasolina n 8 | 73.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Matchoi Djaló n 8 | 48 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Léo Santos n 8 | 84.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Liziero n 8 | 79.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Miguel Baeza n 8 | 70.8 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| D. Dongmo n 4 | 72 | 5.6 |
| Liziero n 8 | 79.9 | 3.8 |
| Deivison n 8 | 35.3 | 3.5 |
| C. Labidi n 8 | 64.6 | 2.6 |
| M. Jensen n 8 | 51.1 | 2.4 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Renato Bellucci n 8 | 90 | 3.6 |
Moreirense
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodri Alonso n 8 | 43.3 | 3.4 | 1.8 | — |
| Maranhão n 8 | 30.6 | 3.3 | 2.6 | — |
| Guilherme Liberato n 8 | 81.3 | 2.8 | 1.5 | — |
| A. Duville-Parsemain n 8 | 57.8 | 2.1 | 1 | — |
| Manuel Ascenção Bebiano Mendonça n 6 | 76.7 | 2 | 1.6 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maranhão n 8 | 30.6 | 2.2 | 0.7 |
| A. Duville-Parsemain n 8 | 57.8 | 1.6 | 1 |
| Tiago Andrade n 6 | 53.3 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| João Veloso n 8 | 32.5 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| L. Vonić n 3 | 70 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| L. Vonić n 3 | 70 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Tiago Andrade n 6 | 53.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| João Veloso n 8 | 32.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| A. Duville-Parsemain n 8 | 57.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Manuel Ascenção Bebiano Mendonça n 6 | 76.7 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Guilherme Liberato n 8 | 81.3 | 3.6 |
| Tiago Andrade n 6 | 53.3 | 3.1 |
| Kiko n 8 | 89.4 | 2.4 |
| Leandro Henrique Sousa Santos n 8 | 34.3 | 2 |
| Manuel Ascenção Bebiano Mendonça n 6 | 76.7 | 1.8 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| André Ferreira n 8 | 91 | 2.8 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Nacional v Moreirense — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-03-07 Moreirense 1–1 Nacional
- 2025-10-04 Nacional 3–2 Moreirense
- 2025-04-27 Moreirense 1–1 Nacional
- 2024-12-14 Nacional 1–0 Moreirense
- 2021-05-06 Moreirense 2–2 Nacional
- 2021-01-17 Nacional 0–1 Moreirense
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Nacional and Moreirense?
- In their last 6 meetings, Nacional won 2, Moreirense won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Nacional and Moreirense?
- Recent form — Nacional 0W 0D 5L; Moreirense 1W 1D 3L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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