Rio Ave v Famalicao prediction

Primeira Liga ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Rio Ave vs Famalicao, Primeira Liga on Sun, 25 Oct 2026 18:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Rio Ave host Famalicao in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 25 October (kick-off 18:00 UK).

The key numbers

Famalicao are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Rio Ave, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Six of Rio Ave’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in five of Rio Ave’s last 15 results (33%). At home, Rio Ave have one win, three draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches — 0.86 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 2.43. Rio Ave have scored eight goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Rio Ave have conceded 17 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Seven of Famalicao’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in nine of Famalicao’s last 15 results (60%). Away from home, Famalicao have two wins, five draws and one defeat in their last 8 away matches — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.00. Famalicao have scored 10 goals, the ninth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Famalicao have conceded 11 goals, the ninth-most of the 18 clubs.

Rio Ave (14th) and Famalicao (13th) are level on points, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Famalicao the stronger side, 87 rating points above Rio Ave (Famalicao 1552, Rio Ave 1466, after at least 246 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 1 March 2026, finished Rio Ave 0–0 Famalicao.

Team news

Predicted Rio Ave XI (4-2-3-1): E. van der Gouw, F. Petrasso, G. Mancha, G. Liavas, N. Abbey, T. Nikitscher, D. Bezerra, A. Ntoi, D. Nascimento, M. Patricío, T. Monteiro — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jalen Blesa (5.1 per match over eight appearances, three goals and one assist) and Diogo Bezerra (3.6 per match over eight appearances, one goal and three assists) have been Rio Ave’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Rio Ave (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jalen Blesa averages 1.0 shots per 90 over 696 minutes, with a shot in six of the last eight appearances. Diogo Bezerra averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 630 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last eight appearances.

Predicted Famalicao XI (4-2-3-1): L. Carević, R. Pinheiro, F. van Breemen, P. Francisco, L. Realpe, M. De Amorim, Sorriso, G. Dias, M. Peña, T. van de Looi, G. Koutsias — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Sorriso (5.3 per match over eight appearances, two goals and one assist) and Mathias De Amorim (5.1 per match over eight appearances, three assists) have been Famalicao’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Famalicao (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Sorriso averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 666 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last eight appearances. Mathias De Amorim averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 707 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Primeira Liga
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Rio Ave 0 · draws 4 · Famalicao 2 · 1.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Rio Ave 2W 1D 2L · Famalicao 1W 3D 1L

Rio Ave v Famalicao (Primeira Liga): TACTIX’s calibrated model has priced this fixture across every major market — the full record, losers included, is published live (as of 16 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 1.25
Goals
against 2 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4 / 5.75
Corners
against 6.29 / 3.88 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.29 / 3.25
Shots on target
against 6 / 3.38 · 4 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.43 / 2.38
Cards
against 1.14 / 2.63 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameRio Ave for / againstLineFamalicao for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 2 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 6.29 against n 7
9.5standard
5.75 for · 3.88 against n 8
Shots
7.86 for · 16.71 against n 7
19.5standard
10 for · 12.25 against n 8
Shots on target
3.29 for · 6 against n 7
8.5standard
3.25 for · 3.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.86 for · 12.57 against n 7
21.5standard
11.75 for · 15.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.43 for · 1.14 against n 7
3.5standard
2.38 for · 2.63 against n 8
Rio Ave
Rio Ave — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Nikitscher n 877.5
1.96/5
1.98/3
—
A. Ntoi n 866.4
1.75/3
0.73/1
—
D. Špikić n 846.8
1.76/1
13/1
—
Roland Galčík n 840.6
1.74/1
0.83/0
—
S. Garcia n 558.8
1.53/2
0.31/0
—
Rio Ave — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Sellouki n 853.3
2.16/3
0.84/0
S. Clemmensen n 862.6
1.44/3
0.53/0
Tamble Monteiro n 855.4
1.45/1
0.63/0
Roland Galčík n 840.6
1.44/1
0.62/0
Miguel Patricío n 541.8
1.31/1
0.91/1
Rio Ave — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Blesa n 887
0.43/0
0.11/0
Diogo Bezerra n 878.8
0.11/0
0.42/1
S. Clemmensen n 862.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
Roland Galčík n 840.6
0.31/0
00/0
Diogo Nascimento n 857.5
00/0
0.21/0
Rio Ave — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Vrousai n 839.9
4.86/3
N. Abbey n 873.5
3.17/5
T. Nikitscher n 877.5
38/6
G. Liavas n 868.9
26/4
Pedro Amaral n 862.3
1.85/4
Rio Ave — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. van der Gouw n 891.1
3.58/6
Famalicao
Famalicao — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Salas n 825.8
4.47/2
1.33/0
—
R. Beney n 828.1
3.25/1
2.44/2
—
U. Abubakar n 814.8
3.12/1
3.14/0
—
L. Meyer n 843.8
2.66/4
1.33/2
—
Mathis Jangeal n 418
2.52/0
1.31/0
—
Famalicao — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
U. Abubakar n 814.8
5.36/1
3.13/1
R. Almeida n 37.7
3.91/0
00/0
Óscar Aranda n 819
34/1
1.82/1
Sorriso n 883.3
1.97/4
0.95/2
G. Koutsias n 879.1
1.75/3
1.14/2
Famalicao — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
U. Abubakar n 814.8
00/0
0.81/0
G. Koutsias n 879.1
0.73/2
00/0
Óscar Aranda n 819
00/0
0.61/0
Mathias De Amorim n 888.4
00/0
0.42/1
Sorriso n 883.3
0.31/1
0.11/0
Famalicao — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Gustavo Garcia n 858.6
3.36/3
Marcos Peña n 855
3.35/3
L. Meyer n 843.8
2.86/3
Mathias De Amorim n 888.4
2.57/3
Gil Dias n 858.3
2.36/4
Famalicao — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Carević n 890
25/2

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Rio Ave v Famalicao — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Rio AveLDLWW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game
FamalicaoDDDWL
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Rio Ave 0 · 4 draws · Famalicao 2 · 1.33 goals/game
  • 2026-03-01 Rio Ave 0–0 Famalicao
  • 2025-09-28 Famalicao 0–0 Rio Ave
  • 2025-03-10 Famalicao 1–0 Rio Ave
  • 2024-10-04 Rio Ave 1–1 Famalicao
  • 2024-02-16 Famalicao 2–1 Rio Ave
  • 2023-09-16 Rio Ave 1–1 Famalicao
League standing · 2026/27
Rio Ave#14 pos7 pts8 pl-9 GD
Famalicao#13 pos7 pts8 pl-1 GD
Goals per game
Rio Ave scored1
Famalicao scored1.25
Rio Ave conceded2.13
Famalicao conceded1.38

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Rio Ave and Famalicao?
In their last 6 meetings, Rio Ave won 0, Famalicao won 2 and there were 4 draws, averaging 1.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Rio Ave and Famalicao?
Recent form — Rio Ave 2W 1D 2L; Famalicao 1W 3D 1L.

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