Rio Ave v Moreirense prediction

Primeira Liga ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Rio Ave vs Moreirense, Primeira Liga on Sun, 10 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

Form and momentum

Rio Ave are winless in their last four matches (last 15 results). Seven of Rio Ave’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Rio Ave’s last 15 results (40%).

Seven of Moreirense’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Moreirense’s last 15 results (47%).

The shape of the game

At home, Rio Ave have no wins, three draws and four defeats in their last 7 home matches — 0.43 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 2.43. Rio Ave have scored five goals, the 14th-highest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Rio Ave have conceded 15 goals, the 16th-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

At away, Moreirense have one win, two draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches — 0.71 points per game, scoring 0.71 and conceding 2.00. Moreirense have scored eight goals, the 10th-highest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Moreirense have conceded 14 goals, the 14th-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Rio Ave (16th) and Moreirense (12th) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Moreirense the stronger side, 101 rating points above Rio Ave (1439 v 1540, after at least 281 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 16 February 2026, finished Rio Ave 1–2 Moreirense.

Players to watch

By TACTIX Impact, J. Blesa (4.6 per match over seven appearances, two goals and one assist) and Diogo Bezerra (3.2 per match over seven appearances, three assists) have been Rio Ave’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Rio Ave: J. Blesa 0.9 shots per 90 (618 minutes), a shot in 5 of the last 7 appearances; Diogo Bezerra 1.3 key passes per 90 (554 minutes), a key pass in 3 of the last 7 appearances (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off).

By TACTIX Impact, L. Vonić (5.0 per match over two appearances, one goal and one assist) and Kiko (4.0 per match over seven appearances, one goal) have been Moreirense’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Moreirense: Kiko 2.7 tackles per 90 (625 minutes), a tackle in 7 of the last 7 appearances (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off).

Predicted line-ups

Predicted Rio Ave XI (4-2-3-1): E. van der Gouw, F. Petrasso, Gustavo Mancha, G. Liavas, N. Abbey, T. Nikitscher, A. Ntoi, Diogo Bezerra, Diogo Nascimento, Roland Galčík, Tamble Monteiro — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven.

Predicted Moreirense XI (4-2-3-1): André Ferreira, Gilberto Batista, Kiko, Maracás, Dinis Pinto, N. John, Rodri Alonso, Guilherme Liberato, Landerson, M. Stjepanović, A. Duville-Parsemain — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

Rio Ave vs Moreirense (Primeira Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.75 / 1
Goals
against 2 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 2.5
Corners
against 6.25 / 4.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.63 / 3
Shots on target
against 5.75 / 4.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.38 / 2.63
Cards
against 1.25 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 September 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameRio Ave for / againstLineMoreirense for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 2 against n 8
2.5standard
1 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
2.75 for · 6.25 against n 8
9.5standard
2.5 for · 4.88 against n 8
Shots
7 for · 17.13 against n 8
19.5standard
8 for · 14.75 against n 8
Shots on target
2.63 for · 5.75 against n 8
8.5standard
3 for · 4.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.63 for · 12.75 against n 8
21.5standard
13.5 for · 12.88 against n 8
Cards shown
1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8
3.5standard
2.63 for · 1.75 against n 8
Rio Ave
Rio Ave — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Ntoi n 866.4
26/4
0.83/2
—
T. Nikitscher n 877.5
1.96/5
1.98/3
—
D. Špikić n 846.8
1.76/1
13/1
—
S. Garcia n 470
1.63/2
0.31/0
—
Roland Galčík n 742.6
1.53/1
0.93/0
—
Rio Ave — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Sellouki n 853.1
1.95/3
0.63/0
S. Clemmensen n 864.9
1.44/3
0.32/0
Diogo Nascimento n 858.4
1.24/2
0.42/0
D. Špikić n 846.8
1.23/2
00/0
Roland Galčík n 742.6
1.23/1
0.62/0
Rio Ave — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Blesa n 888.5
0.43/0
0.11/0
Diogo Bezerra n 879.5
00/0
0.42/1
Roland Galčík n 742.6
0.31/0
00/0
Tamble Monteiro n 864.9
0.21/0
00/0
Diogo Nascimento n 858.4
00/0
0.21/0
Rio Ave — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Vrousai n 836.6
5.26/3
A. Papakanellos n 819.5
3.53/3
N. Abbey n 873.5
3.17/5
T. Nikitscher n 877.5
38/6
G. Liavas n 858.8
2.56/4
Rio Ave — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. van der Gouw n 891.1
3.58/6
Moreirense
Moreirense — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Maranhão n 830.6
3.34/3
2.25/1
—
Rodri Alonso n 851.5
2.85/4
1.75/2
—
Guilherme Liberato n 879.6
2.57/5
2.37/4
—
A. Duville-Parsemain n 857.8
2.15/4
13/1
—
Dinis Pinto n 880
27/4
1.46/2
—
Moreirense — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Diogo Travassos n 853.1
1.96/2
0.84/0
Maranhão n 830.6
1.83/2
0.41/0
A. Duville-Parsemain n 857.8
1.66/2
15/0
Tiago Andrade n 546
1.62/2
0.82/0
Dinis Pinto n 880
1.36/2
0.63/1
Moreirense — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Tiago Andrade n 546
0.41/0
0.41/0
João Veloso n 833.9
0.31/0
0.31/0
A. Duville-Parsemain n 857.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
Kiko Bondoso n 843.6
00/0
0.31/0
Manuel Ascenção Bebiano Mendonça n 576.6
0.21/0
00/0
Moreirense — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Guilherme Liberato n 879.6
3.27/5
Kiko n 885.9
2.88/5
Diogo Travassos n 853.1
2.35/3
Leandro Henrique Sousa Santos n 834.3
24/1
Manuel Ascenção Bebiano Mendonça n 576.6
1.94/2
Moreirense — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
André Ferreira n 891
3.17/3

TACTIX model preview

The TACTIX model has priced Rio Ave vs Moreirense across every betting markets. Here’s a free pick to get you started:

Today’s free pick for this match posts shortly before kick-off.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Rio Ave v Moreirense — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Rio AveWLLDL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
MoreirenseWLLWD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Rio Ave 2 · 1 draw · Moreirense 3 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-02-16 Rio Ave 1–2 Moreirense
  • 2025-09-13 Moreirense 3–1 Rio Ave
  • 2025-04-13 Moreirense 0–2 Rio Ave
  • 2024-11-30 Rio Ave 3–2 Moreirense
  • 2024-03-02 Moreirense 0–0 Rio Ave
  • 2023-10-01 Rio Ave 0–4 Moreirense
League standing · 2026/27
Rio Ave#16 pos4 pts7 pl-10 GD
Moreirense#12 pos8 pts7 pl-6 GD
Goals per game
Rio Ave scored0.71
Moreirense scored1.14
Rio Ave conceded2.14
Moreirense conceded2

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value vs the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Rio Ave and Moreirense?
In their last 6 meetings, Rio Ave won 2, Moreirense won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Rio Ave and Moreirense?
Recent form — Rio Ave 1W 1D 3L; Moreirense 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works →

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & value vs the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →