Al-Ahli Jeddah v Al-Nassr prediction

Pro League · · King Abdullah Sports City

Postponed — this match is not being played as listed.

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Al-Ahli Jeddah · Al-Nassr · Head-to-head

Al-Ahli Jeddah v Al-Nassr, Pro League, is postponed — this match is not being played as listed. No free pick is offered while the fixture stands like this.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Al-Ahli Jeddah host Al-Nassr in the Pro League (Saudi-Arabia) on Thursday 15 October (kick-off 19:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

13 of Al-Ahli Jeddah’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (87%).

Al-Ahli Jeddah have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions. Al-Ahli Jeddah are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Both teams scored in eight of Al-Ahli Jeddah’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Al-Ahli Jeddah have six wins, one draw and no defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.71 points per game, scoring 3.29 and conceding 0.43. Al-Ahli Jeddah have scored 20 goals, the third-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Al-Ahli Jeddah have conceded 10 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 18 clubs.

12 of Al-Nassr’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%). Both teams scored in 10 of Al-Nassr’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Al-Nassr have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 2.00. Al-Nassr have scored 19 goals, the fourth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Al-Nassr have conceded seven goals, the fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Al-Ahli Jeddah (sixth) and Al-Nassr (third) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Al-Nassr the stronger side, 72 rating points above Al-Ahli Jeddah (Al-Nassr 1882, Al-Ahli Jeddah 1809, after at least 256 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 29 April 2026, finished Al-Nassr 2–0 Al-Ahli Jeddah.

Team news

Predicted Al-Ahli Jeddah XI (4-2-3-1): E. Mendy, Ibanez, M. Demiral, S. Yaslam, Z. Al Hawsawi, V. Atangana, E. Spertsyan, Trincão, Galeno, Z. Al Johani, I. Toney — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, I. Toney (7.8 per match over eight appearances, 11 goals and one assist) and Trincão (6.1 per match over eight appearances, six goals and three assists) have been Al-Ahli Jeddah’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Al-Ahli Jeddah (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), I. Toney averages 3.2 shots per 90 over 778 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. Trincão averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 810 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Al-Nassr XI (4-4-2): Bento, N. Boushal, Í. Martínez, M. Simakan, A. Al Amri, S. Mané, S. Costa, Ângelo, K. Coman, J. Félix, C. Ronaldo — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, S. Mané (5.2 per match over 10 appearances, two goals and three assists) and Ângelo (4.7 per match over nine appearances, four goals and two assists) have been Al-Nassr’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Al-Nassr (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), S. Mané averages 2.6 key passes per 90 over 1285 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Ângelo averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 634 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Pro League · King Abdullah Sports City
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Al-Ahli Jeddah 1 · draws 1 · Al-Nassr 4 · 3.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Al-Ahli Jeddah 3W 1D 1L · Al-Nassr 3W 1D 1L

Al-Ahli Jeddah v Al-Nassr (Pro League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 19 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.38 / 1.88
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
4.14 / 8.5
Corners
against 3.71 / 3.75 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5.57 / 5.75
Shots on target
against 3.29 / 3 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.57 / 1.75
Cards
against 2.57 / 2.38 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAl-Ahli Jeddah for / againstLineAl-Nassr for / against
Goals scored
2.38 for · 1.5 against n 8
3our book
1.88 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
4.14 for · 3.71 against n 7
9.5standard
8.5 for · 3.75 against n 8
Shots
14.71 for · 11 against n 7
19.5standard
16 for · 9.63 against n 8
Shots on target
5.57 for · 3.29 against n 7
8.5standard
5.75 for · 3 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.29 for · 14.14 against n 7
21.5standard
11.63 for · 10 against n 8
Cards shown
1.57 for · 2.57 against n 7
3.5standard
1.75 for · 2.38 against n 8
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Ahli Jeddah — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
V. Atangana n 885.8
3.48/6
1.36/4
—
Makaya Ibrahima Diaby n 876.4
2.87/6
16/1
—
Ziyad Al Johani n 857.1
2.45/4
1.45/2
—
Meshal Al Mutairi n 820.8
2.23/1
4.95/2
—
E. Spertsyan n 874.5
1.87/3
1.56/3
—
Al-Ahli Jeddah — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
I. Toney n 881.6
3.77/7
2.56/6
Galeno n 874.6
27/4
0.85/0
Trincão n 857.6
25/4
1.65/2
Matheus Goncalves n 861.1
1.86/3
1.14/2
S. Abu Al Shamat n 836.1
1.64/1
0.62/0
Al-Ahli Jeddah — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
I. Toney n 881.6
1.56/4
0.11/0
Trincão n 857.6
14/1
0.42/0
Firas Al-Buraikan n 836.1
0.31/0
0.31/0
E. Spertsyan n 874.5
0.21/0
0.32/0
Matheus Goncalves n 861.1
0.42/0
00/0
Al-Ahli Jeddah — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Firas Al-Buraikan n 836.1
56/5
Zakaria Al Hawsawi n 851.5
4.87/5
S. Abu Al Shamat n 836.1
45/4
Naif Masoud n 833
3.85/3
Makaya Ibrahima Diaby n 876.4
3.47/7
Al-Ahli Jeddah — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Mendy n 886.6
2.76/5
Abdulrahman Al Sanbi n 890
1.64/2
Al-Nassr
Al-Nassr — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Samú Costa n 883.5
36/5
1.66/3
—
Abdullah Al Hamdan n 822
2.63/1
23/1
—
Nader Al Sharari n 89.8
2.32/0
2.32/0
—
Saad Al Nasser n 837.3
2.16/1
0.92/1
—
Abdullah Al Khaibari n 848.5
1.44/2
0.92/1
—
Al-Nassr — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Abdullah Al Hamdan n 822
4.16/1
1.53/0
Cristiano Ronaldo n 885.9
3.78/7
1.77/4
S. Mané n 888.8
1.86/5
0.94/2
João Félix n 878.3
1.77/5
15/2
K. Coman n 869
1.55/3
13/2
Al-Nassr — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Abdullah Al Hamdan n 822
12/0
00/0
Ângelo n 868
0.53/0
0.32/0
João Félix n 878.3
0.43/0
0.32/0
Ayman Yahya n 831
00/0
0.72/0
S. Mané n 888.8
0.31/1
0.32/0
Al-Nassr — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Al Ghamdi n 324.7
4.92/2
Saad Al Nasser n 837.3
36/1
Abdullah Al Hamdan n 822
2.63/1
Nawaf Boushal n 890
2.17/6
Samú Costa n 883.5
27/5
Al-Nassr — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Nawaf Al Aqidi n 886.8
2.25/3
Bento n 880.3
11/1

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Al-Ahli Jeddah v Al-Nassr — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Al-Ahli JeddahLWDWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Al-NassrWDLWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Al-Ahli Jeddah 1 · 1 draw · Al-Nassr 4 · 3.67 goals/game
  • 2026-04-29 Al-Nassr 2–0 Al-Ahli Jeddah
  • 2026-01-02 Al-Ahli Jeddah 3–2 Al-Nassr
  • 2025-02-13 Al-Ahli Jeddah 2–3 Al-Nassr
  • 2024-09-13 Al-Nassr 1–1 Al-Ahli Jeddah
  • 2024-03-15 Al-Ahli Jeddah 0–1 Al-Nassr
  • 2023-09-22 Al-Nassr 4–3 Al-Ahli Jeddah
League standing · 2026/27
Al-Ahli Jeddah#6 pos15 pts8 pl+10 GD
Al-Nassr#3 pos19 pts8 pl+12 GD
Goals per game
Al-Ahli Jeddah scored2.5
Al-Nassr scored2.38
Al-Ahli Jeddah conceded1.25
Al-Nassr conceded0.88

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Al-Ahli Jeddah v Al-Nassr?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Al-Ahli Jeddah v Al-Nassr is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.60 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Al-Ahli Jeddah and Al-Nassr?
In their last 6 meetings, Al-Ahli Jeddah won 1, Al-Nassr won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Al-Ahli Jeddah and Al-Nassr?
Recent form — Al-Ahli Jeddah 3W 1D 1L; Al-Nassr 3W 1D 1L.

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