Al Diriyah v Al Riyadh prediction

Pro League · · Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for Al Diriyah v Al Riyadh, Pro League on Tue, 20 Oct 2026 16:00 BST.

Free pick
Home or Draw
Best price: 1.16 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.5% of 1546 landed (95% range 73.3–77.6%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Al Diriyah host Al Riyadh in the Pro League (Saudi-Arabia) on Tuesday 20 October (kick-off 16:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Al Diriyah or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

Form and the table

Three of Al Diriyah’s last 9 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in three of Al Diriyah’s last 9 results in all competitions (33%). At home, Al Diriyah have no wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 5 home matches in all competitions — 0.60 points per game, scoring 0.40 and conceding 1.00. Al Diriyah have scored eight goals, the third-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Al Diriyah have conceded nine goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Eight of Al Riyadh’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of Al Riyadh’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Al Riyadh have one win, four draws and four defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 0.78 points per game, scoring 1.44 and conceding 2.44. Al Riyadh have scored nine goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Al Riyadh have conceded 17 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Al Diriyah are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Al Riyadh are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Al Diriyah (eighth) and Al Riyadh (12th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Al Diriyah the stronger side, 16 rating points above Al Riyadh (Al Diriyah 1554, Al Riyadh 1538, after at least nine rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Al Diriyah XI (4-4-2): N. Vasilj, C. Mbemba, B. Djimsiti, A. Al Faraj, H. Al Sibyani, I. Gueye, E. Millot, C. Diandy, A. Boulbina, D. Núñez, Ó. Rodríguez — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Boulbina (4.2 per match over six appearances, two goals) and I. Gueye (4.1 per match over eight appearances) have been Al Diriyah’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Al Diriyah (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Boulbina averages 1.5 shots per 90 over 535 minutes, with a shot in five of the last nine appearances. I. Gueye averages 0.7 key passes per 90 over 1159 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Al Riyadh XI (4-1-4-1): M. Borjan, M. Al-Khaibari, S. Hazazi, S. Alessa, R. Abascal, V. Lekhal, T. Okou, B. Mensah, K. Keita, F. Al Jayzani, Trézéguet — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, B. Mensah (4.3 per match over five appearances, one goal and one assist) and Teddy Okou (4.2 per match over eight appearances, three goals) have been Al Riyadh’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Al Riyadh (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), B. Mensah averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 450 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last five appearances. Teddy Okou averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 662 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Pro League · Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Al Diriyah 1W 2D 2L · Al Riyadh 2W 2D 1L

Al Diriyah v Al Riyadh (Pro League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 20 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1 / 1.13
Goals
against 1 / 2.13 · 0 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
5.13 / 3.5
Corners
against 4.25 / 7.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.63 / 2.63
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 5.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 2.25
Cards
against 2.25 / 1 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAl Diriyah for / againstLineAl Riyadh for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1 against n 8
3our book
1.13 for · 2.13 against n 8
Corners won
5.13 for · 4.25 against n 8
9.5standard
3.5 for · 7.13 against n 8
Shots
11.25 for · 10.88 against n 8
19.5standard
11 for · 15.75 against n 8
Shots on target
2.63 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
2.63 for · 5.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.13 for · 10.13 against n 8
21.5standard
10.63 for · 9 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 1 against n 8
Al Diriyah
Al Diriyah — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Meshari Al Nemer n 812.5
4.55/0
4.54/1
—
Khalid Al Asiri n 328.3
3.22/1
2.12/0
—
S. Al Farhan n 838.6
2.96/2
0.31/0
—
Abdulaziz Al Faraj n 879.5
1.86/3
1.13/3
—
A. Al Malki n 855.9
1.84/2
1.85/2
—
Al Diriyah — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Meshari Al Nemer n 812.5
4.53/1
1.82/0
Óscar Rodríguez n 863.8
2.37/4
0.73/1
G. Laborde n 879.1
2.15/5
13/3
Lucas Pasquoto n 832.3
2.12/2
0.31/0
D. Núñez n 885
1.67/4
0.84/2
Al Diriyah — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Meshari Al Nemer n 812.5
0.91/0
00/0
Óscar Rodríguez n 863.8
00/0
0.73/1
D. Núñez n 885
0.53/1
0.11/0
C. Diandy n 869
0.21/0
0.21/0
A. Boulbina n 863.8
0.42/0
00/0
Al Diriyah — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
I. Gueye n 888.1
3.78/6
S. Al Farhan n 838.6
2.95/3
A. Al Malki n 855.9
2.45/5
Abdulaziz Al Faraj n 879.5
2.38/5
C. Diandy n 869
26/3
Al Diriyah — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Amin Al Bukhari n 876.8
3.14/4
N. Vasilj n 890
2.87/4
W. Abdullah n 590
2.43/2
Al Riyadh
Al Riyadh — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Hussain Al-Raqwani n 513.6
2.61/1
00/0
—
b. A. Al Shurafaa H. b. A. n 329
2.12/0
4.12/1
—
B. Mensah n 882.4
28/3
2.38/6
—
Faisal Al Sobhi n 542.2
1.73/1
00/0
—
A. M. Al Harthi n 541.2
1.74/0
3.54/2
—
Al Riyadh — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Leandro Antunes n 874.1
3.27/5
2.16/3
C. Fall n 872.8
2.27/4
0.63/1
Trézéguet n 856.8
1.85/4
0.42/0
B. Mensah n 882.4
1.47/2
0.32/0
Hussain Al-Raqwani n 513.6
1.31/0
1.31/0
Al Riyadh — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Trézéguet n 856.8
0.42/0
0.21/0
Leandro Antunes n 874.1
0.32/0
0.21/0
Teddy Okou n 882.8
0.43/0
00/0
B. Mensah n 882.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
R. Abascal n 879.5
0.11/0
0.11/0
Al Riyadh — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Sultan Alessa n 888.8
2.57/5
Sulaiman Hazazi n 878.3
2.47/5
Hussain Qasim n 843.5
2.35/3
b. A. Al Shurafaa H. b. A. n 329
2.12/0
B. Mensah n 882.4
1.96/4
Al Riyadh — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Milan Borjan n 890
3.57/6

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Al Diriyah v Al Riyadh — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Al DiriyahLWDLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Al RiyadhWLDWD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 0.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Al Diriyah#8 pos12 pts9 pl-1 GD
Al Riyadh#12 pos9 pts8 pl-8 GD
Goals per game
Al Diriyah scored0.89
Al Riyadh scored1.13
Al Diriyah conceded1
Al Riyadh conceded2.13

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Al Diriyah v Al Riyadh?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Al Diriyah v Al Riyadh is Home or Draw (best price 1.16 at Betano).
What is the recent form of Al Diriyah and Al Riyadh?
Recent form — Al Diriyah 1W 2D 2L; Al Riyadh 2W 2D 1L.

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