Al-Ettifaq v Al-Ittihad FC prediction

Pro League · · Abdullah Al Dabil Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for Al-Ettifaq v Al-Ittihad FC, Pro League on Tue, 20 Oct 2026 19:00 BST.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67% of 1302 landed (95% range 64.4–69.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Al-Ettifaq host Al-Ittihad FC in the Pro League (Saudi-Arabia) on Tuesday 20 October (kick-off 19:00 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or Al-Ittihad FC, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Al-Ettifaq are unbeaten in their last five matches.

Al-Ittihad FC have scored in six consecutive matches. Both teams scored in 13 of Al-Ittihad FC’s last 15 results (87%).

Form and the table

Seven of Al-Ettifaq’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Al-Ettifaq’s last 15 results (47%). At home, Al-Ettifaq have one win, three draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches — 0.86 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.71. Al-Ettifaq have scored 13 goals, the eighth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Al-Ettifaq have conceded 12 goals, the ninth-most of the 18 clubs.

Al-Ittihad FC are winless in their last three matches. 11 of Al-Ittihad FC’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (73%). Away from home, Al-Ittihad FC have four wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 8 away matches — 1.75 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.25. Al-Ittihad FC have scored 14 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Al-Ittihad FC have conceded nine goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Al-Ettifaq (seventh) and Al-Ittihad FC (fourth) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Al-Ittihad FC the stronger side, 151 rating points above Al-Ettifaq (Al-Ittihad FC 1745, Al-Ettifaq 1594, after at least 286 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 14 May 2026, finished Al-Ettifaq 1–3 Al-Ittihad FC.

Team news

Predicted Al-Ettifaq XI (4-1-4-1): T. Al Jawsh, A. Khateeb, R. Al Otaibi, J. Hendry, M. Al Olayan, Á. Medrán, O. Duda, A. Kanté, B. Celina, J. Larsson, M. Dembélé — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Álvaro Medrán (4.9 per match over eight appearances, two goals and three assists) and Madallah Al Olayan (2.9 per match over eight appearances) have been Al-Ettifaq’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Al-Ettifaq (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Álvaro Medrán averages 2.8 key passes per 90 over 674 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last eight appearances. Madallah Al Olayan averages 2.7 tackles per 90 over 527 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last eight appearances.

Predicted Al-Ittihad FC XI (4-2-3-1): P. Rajković, F. Abdi, D. Pereira, H. Kadesh, J. Šimić, H. Aouar, D. Lopy, S. Bergwijn, A. Al Ghamdi, M. Ali, Y. En-Nesyri — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, S. Bergwijn (5.6 per match over 10 appearances, five goals and two assists) and R. Rios (4.1 per match over five appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Al-Ittihad FC’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Al-Ittihad FC (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), S. Bergwijn averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 797 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. R. Rios averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 973 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Pro League · Abdullah Al Dabil Stadium
  • Model coverage: 232 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Al-Ettifaq 2 · draws 1 · Al-Ittihad FC 3 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Al-Ettifaq 2W 3D 0L · Al-Ittihad FC 2W 1D 2L

As of 17 October 2026, TACTIX’s model — calibration published live, losing picks included — covers Al-Ettifaq v Al-Ittihad FC across 232 markets; the key numbers are on this page. See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.63 / 5.25
Corners
against 4.63 / 4.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.38 / 5.75
Shots on target
against 4 / 4.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 2
Cards
against 2 / 1.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
232
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameAl-Ettifaq for / againstLineAl-Ittihad FC for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
5.63 for · 4.63 against n 8
9.5standard
5.25 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
13.38 for · 11 against n 8
19.5standard
16.38 for · 11.38 against n 8
Shots on target
4.38 for · 4 against n 8
8.5standard
5.75 for · 4.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.5 for · 10.38 against n 8
21.5standard
12 for · 10.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 1.63 against n 8
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Ettifaq — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Kanté n 883.3
2.76/5
00/0
—
Meshal Ali Khayrallah n 820.8
2.22/1
0.51/0
—
M. Gluščević n 838.5
1.85/1
1.24/0
—
Jordan Larsson n 863.4
1.65/2
1.15/1
—
Meshal Sibyani n 455.3
1.62/1
1.22/1
—
Al-Ettifaq — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Dembélé n 879.9
3.17/7
1.55/3
Álvaro Medrán n 884.3
2.48/5
0.95/2
B. Celina n 865.9
24/3
13/1
R. Messi n 847.5
1.45/1
0.94/0
Yasir Shammari n 840.4
1.45/0
0.62/0
Al-Ettifaq — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Álvaro Medrán n 884.3
0.32/0
0.43/0
O. Duda n 870.4
0.21/0
0.32/0
M. Dembélé n 879.9
0.41/1
00/0
Jordan Larsson n 863.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
B. Celina n 865.9
0.32/0
00/0
Al-Ettifaq — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Abdulelah n 811.5
3.93/1
Meshal Al Alaeli n 832.6
3.84/4
Faris Al Ghamdi n 834.8
2.95/3
Madallah Al Olayan n 865.9
2.76/6
Yasir Shammari n 840.4
2.55/2
Al-Ettifaq — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Rodák n 890
3.47/6
Turki Ba Al Jawsh n 790
2.44/3
Al-Ittihad FC
Al-Ittihad FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Saleh Al Shehri n 811
5.13/1
3.13/0
—
R. Rios n 867.9
2.78/5
1.87/2
—
Farhah Al Shamrani n 715
2.63/0
2.63/0
—
F. Abdi n 877.4
2.27/5
0.32/0
—
D. Lopy n 879
1.97/4
1.76/3
—
Al-Ittihad FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. Ilenikhena n 855.1
3.37/4
1.66/2
S. Bergwijn n 881.3
2.98/5
2.17/4
Y. En-Nesyri n 864.6
2.48/3
1.66/3
Saleh Al Shehri n 811
22/0
00/0
G. Wijnaldum n 864.4
1.94/3
1.23/2
Al-Ittihad FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
G. Ilenikhena n 855.1
0.83/1
0.41/1
S. Bergwijn n 881.3
0.73/1
0.11/0
Y. En-Nesyri n 864.6
0.73/1
00/0
Marwan Al-Sahafi n 835.5
00/0
0.62/0
R. Rios n 867.9
0.21/0
0.32/0
Al-Ittihad FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Farhah Al Shamrani n 715
4.33/2
Saleh Al Shehri n 811
4.14/0
Mukhtar Ali n 841
3.65/4
F. Abdi n 877.4
3.18/7
Ahmed Al Julaydan n 841.1
2.77/2
Al-Ittihad FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
P. Rajković n 890
3.64/4
Mohammed Al Absi n 769.7
23/2

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Al-Ettifaq v Al-Ittihad FC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Al-EttifaqWDDDW
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Al-Ittihad FCWWDLL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Al-Ettifaq 2 · 1 draw · Al-Ittihad FC 3 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2026-05-14 Al-Ettifaq 1–3 Al-Ittihad FC
  • 2026-01-16 Al-Ittihad FC 0–1 Al-Ettifaq
  • 2025-04-21 Al-Ittihad FC 3–2 Al-Ettifaq
  • 2024-11-30 Al-Ettifaq 0–4 Al-Ittihad FC
  • 2024-05-10 Al-Ittihad FC 0–5 Al-Ettifaq
  • 2023-11-24 Al-Ettifaq 1–1 Al-Ittihad FC
League standing · 2026/27
Al-Ettifaq#7 pos15 pts9 pl+1 GD
Al-Ittihad FC#4 pos17 pts8 pl+5 GD
Goals per game
Al-Ettifaq scored1.44
Al-Ittihad FC scored1.75
Al-Ettifaq conceded1.33
Al-Ittihad FC conceded1.13

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Al-Ettifaq v Al-Ittihad FC?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Al-Ettifaq v Al-Ittihad FC is Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Al-Ettifaq and Al-Ittihad FC?
In their last 6 meetings, Al-Ettifaq won 2, Al-Ittihad FC won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Al-Ettifaq and Al-Ittihad FC?
Recent form — Al-Ettifaq 2W 3D 0L; Al-Ittihad FC 2W 1D 2L.

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