Al-Fayha v Al-Ahli Jeddah prediction

Pro League · · Al Majma’a Sport City

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Away win the free pick for Al-Fayha v Al-Ahli Jeddah, Pro League on Mon, 19 Oct 2026 16:05 BST.

Free pick
Away win
Best price: 1.38 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Away win in the last 90 days, 84.6% of 91 landed (95% range 75.8–90.6%); it had given them 76.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Al-Fayha host Al-Ahli Jeddah in the Pro League (Saudi-Arabia) on Monday 19 October (kick-off 16:05 UK); the model’s free pick is Al-Ahli Jeddah to win.

The key numbers

Al-Fayha are winless in their last five matches.

Al-Ahli Jeddah have scored in six consecutive matches.

Al-Ahli Jeddah are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Al-Fayha, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Eight of Al-Fayha’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Al-Fayha’s last 15 results (53%). At home, Al-Fayha have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches — 1.14 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 1.86. Al-Fayha have scored eight goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Al-Fayha have conceded 14 goals, the seventh-most of the 18 clubs.

Al-Ahli Jeddah are unbeaten in their last four matches. 13 of Al-Ahli Jeddah’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (87%). Both teams scored in eight of Al-Ahli Jeddah’s last 15 results (53%). Away from home, Al-Ahli Jeddah have five wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches — 1.88 points per game, scoring 2.13 and conceding 1.50. Al-Ahli Jeddah have scored 20 goals, the third-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Al-Ahli Jeddah have conceded 10 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Al-Fayha (14th) and Al-Ahli Jeddah (sixth) are eight points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Al-Ahli Jeddah the stronger side, 419 rating points above Al-Fayha (Al-Ahli Jeddah 1809, Al-Fayha 1390, after at least 256 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 8 April 2026, finished Al-Fayha 1–1 Al-Ahli Jeddah.

Team news

Predicted Al-Fayha XI (4-3-3): O. Mosquera, M. Al Baqawi, M. Al Rashidi, A. Bamasud, P. Oliveira, H. Moura, A. Al Hussain, A. Semedo, Lázaro, F. Sakala, Jason — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, F. Sakala (3.5 per match over eight appearances, one goal) and Hugo Moura (3.4 per match over nine appearances, two goals) have been Al-Fayha’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Al-Fayha (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), F. Sakala averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 735 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last nine appearances. Hugo Moura averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 1775 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Al-Ahli Jeddah XI (4-2-3-1): E. Mendy, Ibanez, M. Demiral, S. Yaslam, Z. Al Hawsawi, V. Atangana, E. Spertsyan, Trincão, Galeno, Z. Al Johani, I. Toney — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, I. Toney (7.8 per match over eight appearances, 11 goals and one assist) and Trincão (6.1 per match over eight appearances, six goals and three assists) have been Al-Ahli Jeddah’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Al-Ahli Jeddah (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), I. Toney averages 3.2 shots per 90 over 778 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. Trincão averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 810 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Pro League · Al Majma’a Sport City
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Al-Fayha 0 · draws 1 · Al-Ahli Jeddah 5 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Al-Fayha 0W 3D 2L · Al-Ahli Jeddah 3W 1D 1L

TACTIX runs Al-Fayha v Al-Ahli Jeddah (Pro League) through its calibrated model across 246 markets, and publishes its market-by-market record openly (updated 17 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.88 / 2.38
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
3 / 4.14
Corners
against 6.75 / 3.71 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.63 / 5.57
Shots on target
against 5.38 / 3.29 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.13 / 1.57
Cards
against 1.38 / 2.57 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAl-Fayha for / againstLineAl-Ahli Jeddah for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 1.5 against n 8
3our book
2.38 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
3 for · 6.75 against n 8
9.5standard
4.14 for · 3.71 against n 7
Shots
11.13 for · 17.13 against n 8
19.5standard
14.71 for · 11 against n 7
Shots on target
3.63 for · 5.38 against n 8
8.5standard
5.57 for · 3.29 against n 7
Fouls committed
9 for · 9.75 against n 8
21.5standard
14.29 for · 14.14 against n 7
Cards shown
1.13 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.57 for · 2.57 against n 7
Al-Fayha
Al-Fayha — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Enad n 327.3
3.32/1
2.21/1
—
Malek Al Abdulmanam n 87.3
3.12/0
1.61/0
—
Yago Souza n 346
2.62/2
3.33/2
—
Ali Al Hussain n 863.6
2.35/4
0.93/2
—
Mansor Al Beshe n 816.4
1.42/0
00/0
—
Al-Fayha — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Ganvoula n 828.8
3.14/1
1.22/1
F. Sakala n 890
2.98/8
16/2
Lázaro n 869.8
2.67/5
1.86/3
Malek Al Abdulmanam n 87.3
1.61/0
00/0
Abdullah Al Qahtani n 845.4
1.55/1
14/0
Al-Fayha — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Lázaro n 869.8
0.52/1
0.21/0
Jason n 871.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
S. Ganvoula n 828.8
0.41/0
00/0
Ahmed Bamasud n 869.5
00/0
0.21/0
Nawaf Al-Harthi n 848.3
00/0
0.21/0
Al-Fayha — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Malek Al Abdulmanam n 87.3
4.73/0
Yago Souza n 346
3.33/2
Ahmed Bamasud n 869.5
2.66/6
Ali Al Hussain n 863.6
2.58/4
Fahad Majed Alhubayshi n 435.8
2.52/1
Al-Fayha — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
O. Mosquera n 890
3.87/6
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Ahli Jeddah — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
V. Atangana n 885.8
3.48/6
1.36/4
—
Makaya Ibrahima Diaby n 876.4
2.87/6
16/1
—
Ziyad Al Johani n 857.1
2.45/4
1.45/2
—
Meshal Al Mutairi n 820.8
2.23/1
4.95/2
—
E. Spertsyan n 874.5
1.87/3
1.56/3
—
Al-Ahli Jeddah — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
I. Toney n 881.6
3.77/7
2.56/6
Galeno n 874.6
27/4
0.85/0
Trincão n 857.6
25/4
1.65/2
Matheus Goncalves n 861.1
1.86/3
1.14/2
S. Abu Al Shamat n 836.1
1.64/1
0.62/0
Al-Ahli Jeddah — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
I. Toney n 881.6
1.56/4
0.11/0
Trincão n 857.6
14/1
0.42/0
Firas Al-Buraikan n 836.1
0.31/0
0.31/0
E. Spertsyan n 874.5
0.21/0
0.32/0
Matheus Goncalves n 861.1
0.42/0
00/0
Al-Ahli Jeddah — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Firas Al-Buraikan n 836.1
56/5
Zakaria Al Hawsawi n 851.5
4.87/5
S. Abu Al Shamat n 836.1
45/4
Naif Masoud n 833
3.85/3
Makaya Ibrahima Diaby n 876.4
3.47/7
Al-Ahli Jeddah — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Mendy n 886.6
2.76/5
Abdulrahman Al Sanbi n 890
1.64/2

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Al-Fayha v Al-Ahli Jeddah — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Al-FayhaDLDDL
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Al-Ahli JeddahLWDWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Al-Fayha 0 · 1 draw · Al-Ahli Jeddah 5 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-04-08 Al-Fayha 1–1 Al-Ahli Jeddah
  • 2025-12-30 Al-Ahli Jeddah 2–0 Al-Fayha
  • 2025-04-18 Al-Ahli Jeddah 5–0 Al-Fayha
  • 2024-11-22 Al-Fayha 0–1 Al-Ahli Jeddah
  • 2024-05-27 Al-Ahli Jeddah 1–0 Al-Fayha
  • 2023-12-14 Al-Fayha 0–4 Al-Ahli Jeddah
League standing · 2026/27
Al-Fayha#14 pos7 pts9 pl-6 GD
Al-Ahli Jeddah#6 pos15 pts8 pl+10 GD
Goals per game
Al-Fayha scored0.89
Al-Ahli Jeddah scored2.5
Al-Fayha conceded1.56
Al-Ahli Jeddah conceded1.25

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Al-Fayha v Al-Ahli Jeddah?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Al-Fayha v Al-Ahli Jeddah is Away win (best price 1.38 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Al-Fayha and Al-Ahli Jeddah?
In their last 6 meetings, Al-Fayha won 0, Al-Ahli Jeddah won 5 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Al-Fayha and Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Recent form — Al-Fayha 0W 3D 2L; Al-Ahli Jeddah 3W 1D 1L.

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