Al-Hazm v Al-Fateh prediction

Pro League · · Al Hazm Club Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh, Pro League on Thu, 15 Oct 2026 16:15 BST.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.29 at William Hill
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.1% of 4297 landed (95% range 75.9–78.4%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Al-Hazm host Al-Fateh in the Pro League (Saudi-Arabia) on Thursday 15 October (kick-off 16:15 UK); the model’s free pick is Al-Hazm or Al-Fateh (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Al-Fateh are winless in their last nine matches.

Form and the table

Six of Al-Hazm’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in eight of Al-Hazm’s last 15 results (53%). At home, Al-Hazm have four wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches — 1.75 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 0.88. Al-Hazm have scored eight goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Al-Hazm have conceded 10 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Six of Al-Fateh’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in six of Al-Fateh’s last 15 results (40%). Away from home, Al-Fateh have no wins, four draws and four defeats in their last 8 away matches — 0.50 points per game, scoring 0.63 and conceding 1.63. Al-Fateh have scored four goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Al-Fateh have conceded 15 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Al-Hazm (10th) and Al-Fateh (16th) are six points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Al-Hazm the stronger side, 142 rating points above Al-Fateh (Al-Hazm 1515, Al-Fateh 1374, after at least 166 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Al-Fateh are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Al-Hazm. The most recent meeting, on 1 February 2026, finished Al-Fateh 1–1 Al-Hazm.

Team news

Predicted Al-Hazm XI (4-2-3-1): I. Zaid, S. Al Rashed, A. Al-Dakheel, S. Tanker, A. Ben Hmida, B. Mugisha, A. Bah, S. Bendebka, A. Al Dhuwayhi, E. Acolatse, A. Pululu — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Bah (4.5 per match over eight appearances, one goal) and Abdul Aziz Sulaiman Al Dhuwayhi (4.0 per match over seven appearances, two goals) have been Al-Hazm’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Al-Hazm (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Bah averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 706 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last eight appearances. Abdul Aziz Sulaiman Al Dhuwayhi averages 1.1 key passes per 90 over 486 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last seven appearances.

Predicted Al-Fateh XI (4-2-3-1): A. Šemper, K. Boateng, M. Saâdane, A. Al Khaibari, A. Al Khaibari, Z. Youssouf, L. Haraslín, M. Batna, M. Lixandru, F. Al Abdulwahed, W. Kanga — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, M. Batna (4.3 per match over seven appearances, one goal and one assist) and Lukáš Haraslín (3.6 per match over eight appearances, one goal) have been Al-Fateh’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Al-Fateh (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), M. Batna averages 2.3 key passes per 90 over 630 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last seven appearances. Lukáš Haraslín averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 974 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Pro League · Al Hazm Club Stadium
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Al-Hazm 2 · draws 2 · Al-Fateh 2 · 1.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Al-Hazm 1W 3D 1L · Al-Fateh 0W 2D 3L

TACTIX runs Al-Hazm v Al-Fateh (Pro League) through its calibrated model across 246 markets, and publishes its market-by-market record openly (updated 14 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1 / 0.5
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
3.5 / 4
Corners
against 5 / 7.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3 / 4.5
Shots on target
against 5.13 / 5.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.5 / 2
Cards
against 1.63 / 2.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAl-Hazm for / againstLineAl-Fateh for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1.25 against n 8
3our book
0.5 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
3.5 for · 5 against n 8
9.5standard
4 for · 7.25 against n 8
Shots
9.38 for · 13.13 against n 8
19.5standard
11 for · 16.5 against n 8
Shots on target
3 for · 5.13 against n 8
8.5standard
4.5 for · 5.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.13 for · 11.88 against n 8
21.5standard
12.5 for · 12.88 against n 8
Cards shown
2.5 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 2.38 against n 8
Al-Hazm
Al-Hazm — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Walead Alshangeati n 722.6
3.43/1
1.11/1
—
Aboubacar Diakite n 831.3
2.94/2
2.53/2
—
Abdul Aziz Sulaiman Al Dhuwayhi n 864
2.56/4
1.86/2
—
A. Sayoud n 841.6
2.46/3
0.83/0
—
Afimico Pululu n 885
2.36/6
3.68/6
—
Al-Hazm — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Afimico Pululu n 885
1.67/3
0.74/1
E. Acolatse n 779.9
1.67/3
14/2
Aboubacar Diakite n 831.3
1.43/1
0.41/0
M. Al Hamdani n 823.5
1.42/1
12/0
S. Bendebka n 885.8
1.36/1
0.53/1
Al-Hazm — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Acolatse n 779.9
0.62/2
0.21/0
Abdul Aziz Sulaiman Al Dhuwayhi n 864
0.42/0
0.21/0
Ahmed Al Shamrani n 844
0.31/0
0.31/0
Afimico Pululu n 885
0.43/0
0.11/0
Ahmed Al Nakhli n 859.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
Al-Hazm — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Abdul Aziz Sulaiman Al Dhuwayhi n 864
48/7
M. Al Hamdani n 823.5
2.94/1
Ahmed Al Shamrani n 844
2.84/2
A. Ben Hmida n 869.4
2.36/5
A. Bah n 888.3
2.27/5
Al-Hazm — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Staněk n 890
5.38/6
Ibrahim Zaid n 890
3.58/6
Al-Fateh
Al-Fateh — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Abdulaziz Al Fawaz n 833.4
46/3
1.32/2
—
Ali Al Hassan n 832
2.54/2
1.83/1
—
Sattam Al Tumbukti n 832.6
2.15/1
1.74/1
—
M. Batna n 890
1.97/4
1.98/4
—
Saad Al Sharfa n 812.3
1.82/0
0.91/0
—
Al-Fateh — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Ramos Jefferson n 821.3
3.24/2
1.12/0
M. Batna n 890
2.58/5
1.67/3
L. Haraslín n 879.4
1.86/4
0.94/1
Saad Al Sharfa n 812.3
1.81/1
00/0
W. Kanga n 880
1.36/3
0.43/0
Al-Fateh — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Ramos Jefferson n 821.3
0.51/0
00/0
Fahad Zubaidi n 842.1
0.31/0
00/0
M. Batna n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
L. Haraslín n 879.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
Faisal Al Abdulwahed n 856.8
0.21/0
00/0
Al-Fateh — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Saad Al Sharfa n 812.3
4.63/1
Faisal Al Abdulwahed n 856.8
38/5
Z. Youssouf n 884.4
2.77/7
Ziyad Al Jari n 863.5
2.55/4
Sattam Al Tumbukti n 832.6
2.45/2
Al-Fateh — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Šemper n 890
3.87/3
Waleed Al Anzi n 784.6
3.57/4

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Al-Hazm v Al-Fateh — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Al-HazmDDWLD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 0.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Al-FatehDDLLL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.6 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Al-Hazm 2 · 2 draws · Al-Fateh 2 · 1.5 goals/game
  • 2026-02-01 Al-Fateh 1–1 Al-Hazm
  • 2025-09-20 Al-Hazm 0–0 Al-Fateh
  • 2024-05-23 Al-Fateh 2–1 Al-Hazm
  • 2023-12-07 Al-Hazm 2–0 Al-Fateh
  • 2022-02-18 Al-Hazm 0–1 Al-Fateh
  • 2021-09-25 Al-Fateh 0–1 Al-Hazm
League standing · 2026/27
Al-Hazm#10 pos9 pts8 pl-2 GD
Al-Fateh#16 pos3 pts8 pl-11 GD
Goals per game
Al-Hazm scored1
Al-Fateh scored0.5
Al-Hazm conceded1.25
Al-Fateh conceded1.88

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Al-Hazm v Al-Fateh is Home or Away (best price 1.29 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Al-Hazm and Al-Fateh?
In their last 6 meetings, Al-Hazm won 2, Al-Fateh won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Al-Hazm and Al-Fateh?
Recent form — Al-Hazm 1W 3D 1L; Al-Fateh 0W 2D 3L.

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